Questions — OCR S3 (139 questions)

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OCR S3 2011 June Q2
2 The population proportion of all men with red-green colour blindness is denoted by \(p\). Each of a random sample of 80 men was tested and it was found that 6 had red-green colour blindness.
  1. Calculate an approximate \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\).
  2. For a different random sample of men, the proportion with red-green colour blindness is denoted by \(p _ { s }\). Estimate the sample size required in order that \(\left| p _ { s } - p \right| \leqslant 0.05\) with probability \(95 \%\).
  3. Give one reason why the calculated sample size is an estimate.
OCR S3 2011 June Q3
3 The monthly demand for a product, \(X\) thousand units, is modelled by the random variable \(X\) with probability density function given by $$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} a x & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 1
a ( x - 2 ) ^ { 2 } & 1 < x \leqslant 2
0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$ where \(a\) is a positive constant. Find
  1. the value of \(a\),
  2. the probability that the monthly demand is at most 1500 units,
  3. the expected monthly demand.
OCR S3 2011 June Q4
4 An experiment by Lord Rutherford at Cambridge in 1909 involved measuring the numbers of \(\alpha\)-particles emitted during radioactive decay. The following table shows emissions during 2608 intervals of 7.5 seconds.
Number of particles emitted, \(x\)012345678910\(\geqslant 11\)
Frequency572033835255324082731394527106
It is given that the mean number of particles emitted per interval, calculated from the data, is 3.87 , correct to 3 significant figures.
  1. Find the contribution to the \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) value of the frequency of 273 corresponding to \(x = 6\) in a goodness of fit test for a Poisson distribution.
  2. Given that no cells need to be combined, state why the number of degrees of freedom is 10 .
  3. Given also that the calculated value of \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) is 13.0 , correct to 3 significant figures, carry out the test at the 10\% significance level.
OCR S3 2011 June Q5
5 The continuous random variable \(X\) has (cumulative) distribution function given by $$\mathrm { F } ( x ) = \begin{cases} 0 & x < 1 ,
\frac { 4 } { 3 } \left( 1 - \frac { 1 } { x ^ { 2 } } \right) & 1 \leqslant x \leqslant 2 ,
1 & x > 2 . \end{cases}$$
  1. Find the median value of \(X\).
  2. Find the (cumulative) distribution function of \(Y\), where \(Y = \frac { 1 } { X ^ { 2 } }\), and hence find the probability density function of \(Y\).
  3. Evaluate \(\mathrm { E } \left( 2 - \frac { 2 } { X ^ { 2 } } \right)\).
OCR S3 2011 June Q6
6 The Body Mass Index (BMI) of each of a random sample of 100 army recruits from a large intake in 2008 was measured. The results are summarised by $$\Sigma x = 2605.0 , \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 68636.41 .$$ It may be assumed that BMI has a normal distribution.
  1. Find a 98\% confidence interval for the mean BMI of all recruits in 2008.
  2. Estimate the percentage of the intake with a BMI greater than 30.0.
  3. The BMIs of two randomly chosen recruits are denoted by \(\boldsymbol { B } _ { 1 }\) and \(\boldsymbol { B } _ { 2 }\). Estimate \(\mathrm { P } \left( \boldsymbol { B } _ { 1 } - \boldsymbol { B } _ { 2 } < 5 \right)\).
  4. State, giving a reason, for which of the above calculations the normality assumption is unnecessary.
OCR S3 2011 June Q7
7 In order to improve their mathematics results 10 students attended an intensive Summer School course. Each student took a test at the start of the course and a similar test at the end of the course. The table shows the scores achieved in each test.
Student12345678910
First test score37273847542752396223
Second test score47295044723763457632
It is desired to test whether there has been an increase in the population mean score.
  1. Explain why a two-sample \(t\)-test would not be appropriate.
  2. Stating any necessary assumptions, carry out a suitable \(t\)-test at the \(\frac { 1 } { 2 } \%\) significance level.
  3. The Summer School director claims that after taking the course the population mean score increases by more than 5 . Is there sufficient evidence for this claim?
OCR S3 Specimen Q1
1 A car repair firm receives call-outs both as a result of breakdowns and also as a result of accidents. On weekdays (Monday to Friday), call-outs resulting from breakdowns occur at random, at an average rate of 6 per 5 -day week; call-outs resulting from accidents occur at random, at an average rate of 2 per 5 -day week. The two types of call-out occur independently of each other. Find the probability that the total number of call-outs received by the firm on one randomly chosen weekday is more than 3 .
OCR S3 Specimen Q2
7 marks
2 Boxes of matches contain 50 matches. Full boxes have mean mass 20.0 grams and standard deviation 0.4 grams. Empty boxes have mean mass 12.5 grams and standard deviation 0.2 grams. Stating any assumptions that you need to make, calculate the mean and standard deviation of the mass of a match. [7]
OCR S3 Specimen Q3
3 A random sample of 80 precision-engineered cylindrical components is checked as part of a quality control process. The diameters of the cylinders should be 25.00 cm . Accurate measurements of the diameters, \(x \mathrm {~cm}\), for the sample are summarised by $$\Sigma ( x - 25 ) = 0.44 , \quad \Sigma ( x - 25 ) ^ { 2 } = 0.2287 .$$
  1. Calculate a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean diameter of the components.
  2. For the calculation in part (i) to be valid, is it necessary to assume that component diameters are normally distributed? Justify your answer.
OCR S3 Specimen Q4
4 The lengths of time, in seconds, between vehicles passing a fixed observation point on a road were recorded at a time when traffic was flowing freely. The frequency distribution in Table 1 is a summary of the data from 100 observations. \begin{table}[h]
Time interval \(( x\) seconds \()\)\(0 < x \leqslant 5\)\(5 < x \leqslant 10\)\(10 < x \leqslant 20\)\(20 < x \leqslant 40\)\(40 < x\)
Observed frequency49222072
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 1}
\end{table} It is thought that the distribution of times might be modelled by the continuous random variable \(X\) with probability density function given by $$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} 0.1 e ^ { - 0.1 x } & x > 0
0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$ Using this model, the expected frequencies (correct to 2 decimal places) for the given time intervals are shown in Table 2. \begin{table}[h]
Time interval \(( x\) seconds \()\)\(0 < x \leqslant 5\)\(5 < x \leqslant 10\)\(10 < x \leqslant 20\)\(20 < x \leqslant 40\)\(40 < x\)
Expected frequency39.3523.8723.2511.701.83
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 2}
\end{table}
  1. Show how the expected frequency of 23.87, corresponding to the interval \(5 < x \leqslant 10\), is obtained.
  2. Test, at the 10\% significance level, the goodness of fit of the model to the data.
OCR S3 Specimen Q5
5 The continuous random variable \(X\) has a triangular distribution with probability density function given by $$f ( x ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { l r } 1 + x & - 1 \leqslant x \leqslant 0
1 - x & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 1
0 & \text { otherwise } \end{array} \right.$$
  1. Show that, for \(0 \leqslant a \leqslant 1\), $$\mathrm { P } ( | X | \leqslant a ) = 2 a - a ^ { 2 } .$$ The random variable \(Y\) is given by \(Y = X ^ { 2 }\).
  2. Express \(\mathrm { P } ( Y \leqslant y )\) in terms of \(y\), for \(0 \leqslant y \leqslant 1\), and hence show that the probability density function of \(Y\) is given by $$g ( y ) = \frac { 1 } { \sqrt { } y } - 1 , \quad \text { for } 0 < y \leqslant 1 .$$
  3. Use the probability density function of \(Y\) to find \(\mathrm { E } ( Y )\), and show how the value of \(\mathrm { E } ( Y )\) may also be obtained directly using the probability density function of \(X\).
  4. Find \(\mathrm { E } ( \sqrt { } Y )\).
OCR S3 Specimen Q6
6 Certain types of food are now sold in metric units. A random sample of 1000 shoppers was asked whether they were in favour of the change to metric units or not. The results, classified according to age, were as shown in the table.
\cline { 2 - 4 } \multicolumn{1}{c|}{}Age of shopper
\cline { 2 - 4 } \multicolumn{1}{c|}{}Under 3535 and overTotal
In favour of change187161348
Not in favour of change283369652
Total4705301000
  1. Use a \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) test to show that there is very strong evidence that shoppers' views about changing to metric units are not independent of their ages.
  2. The data may also be regarded as consisting of two random samples of shoppers; one sample consists of 470 shoppers aged under 35 , of whom 187 were in favour of change, and the second sample consists of 530 shoppers aged 35 or over, of whom 161 were in favour of change. Determine whether a test for equality of population proportions supports the conclusion in part (i).
OCR S3 Specimen Q7
7 A factory manager wished to compare two methods of assembling a new component, to determine which method could be carried out more quickly, on average, by the workforce. A random sample of 12 workers was taken, and each worker tried out each of the methods of assembly. The times taken, in seconds, are shown in the table.
Worker\(A\)\(B\)\(C\)\(D\)\(E\)\(F\)\(G\)\(H\)\(I\)\(J\)\(K\)\(L\)
Time in seconds for Method 1483847596241505258544960
Time in seconds for Method 2474038555742424062474751
  1. (a) Carry out an appropriate \(t\)-test, using a \(2 \%\) significance level, to test whether there is any difference in the times for the two methods of assembly.
    (b) State an assumption needed in carrying out this test.
    (c) Calculate a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean time difference for the two methods of assembly.
  2. Instead of using the same 12 workers to try both methods, the factory manager could have used two independent random samples of workers, allocating Method 1 to the members of one sample and Method 2 to the members of the other sample.
    (a) State one disadvantage of a procedure based on two independent random samples.
    (b) State any assumptions that would need to be made to carry out a \(t\)-test based on two independent random samples.
OCR S3 2014 June Q1
1 The independent random variables \(X\) and \(Y\) have Poisson distributions with parameters 16 and 2 respectively, and \(Z = \frac { 1 } { 2 } X - Y\).
  1. Find \(\mathrm { E } ( Z )\) and \(\operatorname { Var } ( Z )\).
  2. State whether \(Z\) has a Poisson distribution, giving a reason for your answer.
OCR S3 2014 June Q2
2 In a study of the inheritance of skin colouration in corn snakes, a researcher found 865 snakes with black and orange bodies, 320 snakes with black bodies, 335 snakes with orange bodies and 112 snakes with bodies of other colours. Theory predicts that snakes of these colours should occur in the ratios \(9 : 3 : 3 : 1\). Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether these experimental results are compatible with theory.
OCR S3 2014 June Q3
3 An athlete finds that her times for running 100 m are normally distributed. Before a period of intensive training, her mean time is 11.8 s . After the period of intensive training, five randomly selected times, in seconds, are as follows. $$\begin{array} { l l l l l } 11.70 & 11.65 & 11.80 & 11.75 & 11.60 \end{array}$$ Carry out a suitable test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, to investigate whether times after the training are less, on average, than times before the training.
OCR S3 2014 June Q4
4 Cola is sold in bottles and cans. The volume of cola in a bottle is normally distributed with mean 500 ml and standard deviation 10 ml . The volume of cola in a can is normally distributed with mean 330 ml and standard deviation 8 ml . Find the probability that the total volume of cola in 2 randomly selected bottles is greater than 3 times the volume of cola in a randomly selected can.
OCR S3 2014 June Q5
5 The day before the 1992 General Election, an opinion poll showed that \(37.6 \%\) of a random sample of 1731 voters intended to vote for the Conservative party.
  1. Calculate an approximate \(99.9 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of voters intending to vote Conservative. The actual proportion voting Conservative was above the upper limit of the confidence interval.
  2. Give two possible reasons for this occurrence.
  3. What sample size would be required to produce a \(99.9 \%\) confidence interval of width 0.05 ?
OCR S3 2014 June Q6
6 The continuous random variable \(X\) has probability density function given by $$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { c l } k \sin x & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant \frac { 1 } { 2 } \pi ,
k \left( 2 - \frac { 2 x } { \pi } \right) & \frac { 1 } { 2 } \pi \leqslant x \leqslant \pi ,
0 & \text { otherwise, } \end{array} \right.$$ where \(k\) is a constant.
  1. Show that \(k = \frac { 4 } { 4 + \pi }\).
  2. Find \(\mathrm { E } ( X )\), correct to 3 significant figures, showing all necessary working.
OCR S3 2014 June Q7
7 A random sample of 100 adults with a chronic disease was chosen. Each adult was randomly assigned to one of three different treatments. After six months of treatment, each adult was then assessed and classified as 'much improved', 'improved', 'slightly improved' or 'no change'. The results are summarised in Table 1. \begin{table}[h]
Treatment \(A\)Treatment \(B\)Treatment \(C\)
Much improved12164
Improved13126
Slightly improved767
No change539
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 1}
\end{table} A \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, is to be carried out.
  1. State suitable hypotheses. Combining the last two rows of Table 1 gives Table 2. \begin{table}[h]
    Treatment \(A\)Treatment \(B\)Treatment \(C\)
    Much improved12164
    Improved13126
    Slightly improved/ No change12916
    \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 2}
    \end{table}
  2. By considering the expected frequencies for Treatment \(C\) in Table 1, explain why it was necessary to combine rows.
  3. Show that the contribution to the \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) value for the cell 'slightly improved/no change, Treatment \(C\) ' is 4.231 , correct to 3 decimal places. You are given that the \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) test statistic is 10.51 , correct to 2 decimal places.
  4. Carry out the test.
OCR S3 2014 June Q8
8 A random sample of 20 plots of land, each of equal area, was used to test whether the addition of phosphorus would increase the yield of corn. 10 plots were treated with phosphorus and 10 plots were untreated. The yields of corn, in litres, on a treated plot and on an untreated plot are denoted by \(X\) and \(Y\) respectively. You are given that $$\sum x = 2112 , \quad \sum y = 2008$$ You are also given that an unbiased estimate for the variance of treated plots is 87.96 and an unbiased estimate for the variance of untreated plots is 31.96 , both correct to 4 significant figures.
  1. You may assume that the population variance estimates are sufficiently similar for the assumption of common variance to be made. What other assumption needs to be made for a \(t\)-test to be valid?
  2. Carry out a suitable \(t\)-test at the \(1 \%\) significance level, to test whether the use of phosphorus increases the yield of corn.
OCR S3 2014 June Q9
9 A rectangle of area \(A \mathrm {~m} ^ { 2 }\) has a perimeter of 20 m and each of the two shorter sides are of length \(X \mathrm {~m}\), where \(X\) is uniformly distributed between 0 and 2 .
  1. Write down an expression for \(A\) in terms of \(X\), and hence show that \(A = 25 - ( X - 5 ) ^ { 2 }\).
  2. Write down the probability density function of \(X\).
  3. Show that the cumulative distribution function of \(A\) is $$\mathrm { F } ( a ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { l r } 0 & a < 0 ,
    \frac { 1 } { 2 } ( 5 - \sqrt { 25 - a } ) & 0 \leqslant a \leqslant 16 ,
    1 & a > 16 . \end{array} \right.$$
  4. Find the probability density function of \(A\). \section*{END OF QUESTION PAPER} \section*{\(\mathrm { OCR } ^ { \text {勾 } }\)}
OCR S3 2015 June Q1
1 A laminate consists of 4 layers of material \(C\) and 3 layers of material \(D\). The thickness of a layer of material \(C\) has a normal distribution with mean 1 mm and standard deviation 0.1 mm , and the thickness of a layer of material \(D\) has a normal distribution with mean 8 mm and standard deviation 0.2 mm . The layers are independent of one another.
  1. Find the mean and variance of the total thickness of the laminate.
  2. What total thickness is exceeded by \(1 \%\) of the laminates?
OCR S3 2015 June Q2
2 In a poll of people aged 18-21, 46 out of 200 randomly chosen university students agreed with a proposition. 51 out of 300 randomly chosen others who were not university students agreed with it. Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether the proportion of university students who agree with the proposition differs from the proportion of those who are not university students.
OCR S3 2015 June Q3
3 A tutor gave an assessment to 6 randomly chosen new eleven-year-old students. After each student had received 30 hours of tuition, they were given a second assessment. The scores are shown in the table.
Student\(A\)\(B\)\(C\)\(D\)\(E\)\(F\)
1st assessment124121111113118119
2nd assessment127119114110120122
  1. Show that, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, there is insufficient evidence that students' scores are higher, on average, after tuition than before tuition. State a necessary assumption.
  2. Disappointed by this result, the tutor looked again at the first assessment. She discovered that the first assessment was too easy, in fact being a test for ten-year-olds, not eleven-year-olds. She decided to reduce each score for the first assessment by a constant integer \(k\). Find the least value of \(k\) for which there is evidence at the \(5 \%\) significance level that the students' scores have, on average, improved.