OCR S3 2014 June — Question 5

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2014
SessionJune
TopicCentral limit theorem
TypeProportion confidence interval

5 The day before the 1992 General Election, an opinion poll showed that \(37.6 \%\) of a random sample of 1731 voters intended to vote for the Conservative party.
  1. Calculate an approximate \(99.9 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of voters intending to vote Conservative. The actual proportion voting Conservative was above the upper limit of the confidence interval.
  2. Give two possible reasons for this occurrence.
  3. What sample size would be required to produce a \(99.9 \%\) confidence interval of width 0.05 ?