OCR S3 Specimen — Question 1 5 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
SessionSpecimen
Marks5
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Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicSum of Poisson processes
TypeBasic sum of two Poissons
DifficultyStandard +0.8 This question requires understanding that two independent Poisson distributions sum to another Poisson distribution, converting weekly rates to daily rates (6/5 and 2/5), then calculating P(X > 3) = 1 - P(X ≤ 3) with parameter λ = 8/5. While conceptually straightforward for S3 students, it involves multiple steps including rate conversion, distribution addition, and cumulative probability calculation, making it moderately above average difficulty.
Spec5.02i Poisson distribution: random events model5.02n Sum of Poisson variables: is Poisson

1 A car repair firm receives call-outs both as a result of breakdowns and also as a result of accidents. On weekdays (Monday to Friday), call-outs resulting from breakdowns occur at random, at an average rate of 6 per 5 -day week; call-outs resulting from accidents occur at random, at an average rate of 2 per 5 -day week. The two types of call-out occur independently of each other. Find the probability that the total number of call-outs received by the firm on one randomly chosen weekday is more than 3 .

AnswerMarks Guidance
Poisson model for call-outs with mean \(\frac{1}{2}(6+2) = 1.6\)B1 For any implication of Poisson
Probability is \(1 - 0.9212 = 0.0788\)M1 For summing two relevant parameters
A1For correct mean of 1.6
M1For relevant use of tables
A15 For correct answer
Poisson model for call-outs with mean $\frac{1}{2}(6+2) = 1.6$ | B1 | For any implication of Poisson
Probability is $1 - 0.9212 = 0.0788$ | M1 | For summing two relevant parameters
| A1 | For correct mean of 1.6
| M1 | For relevant use of tables
| A1 | 5 | For correct answer
1 A car repair firm receives call-outs both as a result of breakdowns and also as a result of accidents. On weekdays (Monday to Friday), call-outs resulting from breakdowns occur at random, at an average rate of 6 per 5 -day week; call-outs resulting from accidents occur at random, at an average rate of 2 per 5 -day week. The two types of call-out occur independently of each other. Find the probability that the total number of call-outs received by the firm on one randomly chosen weekday is more than 3 .

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR S3  Q1 [5]}}