Questions — OCR (4907 questions)

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OCR S3 2007 January Q7
15 marks Standard +0.3
7 It is thought that a person's eye colour is related to the reaction of the person's skin to ultra-violet light. As part of a study, a random sample of 140 people were treated with a standard dose of ultra-violet light. The degree of reaction was classified as None, Mild or Strong. The results are given in Table 1. The corresponding expected frequencies for a \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) test of association between eye colour and reaction are shown in Table 2. \begin{table}[h]
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 1
Observed frequencies}
Eye colour
BlueBrownOtherTotal
None12171039
ReactionMild31211163
Strong2241238
Total654233140
\end{table} \begin{table}[h]
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 2
Expected frequencies}
Eye colour
BlueBrownOther
None18.1111.709.19
ReactionMild29.2518.9014.85
Strong17.6411.408.96
\end{table}
  1. (a) State suitable hypotheses for the test.
    (b) Show how the expected frequency of 18.11 in Table 2 is obtained.
    (c) Show that the three cells in the top row together contribute 4.53 to the calculated value of \(\chi ^ { 2 }\), correct to 2 decimal places.
    (d) You are given that the total calculated value of \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) is 12.78 , correct to 2 decimal places. Give the smallest value of \(\alpha\) obtained from the tables for which the null hypothesis would be rejected at the \(\alpha \%\) significance level.
  2. Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether the proportions of people in the whole population with blue eyes, brown eyes and other colours are in the ratios \(2 : 2 : 1\).
OCR S3 2008 January Q1
6 marks Standard +0.3
1 A blueberry farmer increased the amount of water sprayed over his berries to see what effect this had on their weight. The farmer weighed each of a random sample of 80 berries of the previous season's crop and each of a random sample of 100 berries of the new crop. The results are summarised in the following table, in which \(\bar { x }\) denotes the sample mean weight in grams, and \(s ^ { 2 }\) denotes an unbiased estimate of the relevant population variance.
Sample size\(\bar { x }\)\(s ^ { 2 }\)
Previous season's crop \(( P )\)801.240.00356
New crop \(( N )\)1001.360.00340
  1. Calculate an estimate of \(\operatorname { Var } \left( \bar { X } _ { N } - \bar { X } _ { P } \right)\).
  2. Calculate a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference in population mean weights.
  3. Give a reason why it is unnecessary to use a \(t\)-distribution in calculating the confidence interval.
OCR S3 2008 January Q2
8 marks Standard +0.3
2 The times taken for customers' phone complaints to be handled were monitored regularly by a company. During a particular week a researcher checked a random sample of 20 complaints and the times, \(x\) minutes, taken to handle the complaints are summarised by \(\Sigma x = 337.5\). Handling times may be assumed to have a normal distribution with mean \(\mu\) minutes and standard deviation 3.8 minutes.
  1. Calculate a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\). During the same week two other researchers each calculated a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu\) based on independent samples.
  2. Calculate the probability that at least one of the three intervals does not contain \(\mu\).
  3. State two ways in which the calculation in part (i) would differ if the standard deviation were unknown.
OCR S3 2008 January Q3
9 marks Standard +0.3
3 A transport authority wished to compare the performance of two rail companies, Western and Northern. They noted that the number of 'on-time' arrivals for a random sample of 80 Western trains over a particular route was 71 . The corresponding number for a random sample of 90 Northern trains over a similar route was 73 .
  1. Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether the population proportion of on-time Western trains exceeds the population proportion of on-time Northern trains.
  2. Ranjit wishes to test whether the population proportion of on-time Western trains exceeds the population proportion of on-time Northern trains by more than 0.01 . What variance estimate should she use?
OCR S3 2008 January Q4
11 marks Standard +0.3
4 Eezimix flour is sold in small bags of weight \(S\) grams, where \(S \sim \mathrm {~N} \left( 502.1,0.31 ^ { 2 } \right)\). It is also sold in large bags of weight \(L\) grams, where \(L \sim \mathrm {~N} \left( 1004.9,0.58 ^ { 2 } \right)\).
  1. Find the probability that a randomly chosen large bag weighs at least 1 gram more than two randomly chosen small bags.
  2. Find the probability that a randomly chosen large bag weighs less than twice the weight of a randomly chosen small bag.
OCR S3 2008 January Q5
11 marks Standard +0.3
5 Of two brands of lawnmower, \(A\) and \(B\), brand \(A\) was claimed to take less time, on average, than brand \(B\) to mow similar stretches of lawn. In order to test this claim, 9 randomly selected gardeners were each given the task of mowing two regions of lawn, one with each brand of mower. All the regions had the same size and shape and had grass of the same height. The times taken, in seconds, are given in the table.
Gardener123456789
Brand \(A\)412386389401396394397411391
Brand \(B\)422394385408394399397410397
  1. Test the claim using a paired-sample \(t\)-test at the \(5 \%\) significance level. State a distributional assumption required for the test to be valid.
  2. Give a reason why a paired-sample \(t\)-test should be used, rather than a 2 -sample \(t\)-test, in this case.
OCR S3 2008 January Q6
15 marks Standard +0.3
6 The Research and Development department of a paint manufacturer has produced paint of three different shades of grey, \(G _ { 1 } , G _ { 2 }\) and \(G _ { 3 }\). In order to find the reaction of the public to these shades, each of a random sample of 120 people was asked to state which shade they preferred. The results, classified by gender, are shown in Table 1. \begin{table}[h]
Shade
\cline { 2 - 5 }\(G _ { 1 }\)\(G _ { 2 }\)\(G _ { 3 }\)
\cline { 2 - 5 } GenderMale112423
Female181331
\cline { 2 - 5 }
\cline { 2 - 5 }
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 1}
\end{table} Table 2 shows the corresponding expected values, correct to 2 decimal places, for a test of independence. \begin{table}[h]
Shade
\cline { 2 - 5 }\(G _ { 1 }\)\(G _ { 2 }\)\(G _ { 3 }\)
\cline { 2 - 5 } GenderMale14.0217.8826.10
Female14.9819.1227.90
\cline { 2 - 5 }
\cline { 2 - 5 }
\captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 2}
\end{table}
  1. Show how the value 17.88 for Male, \(G _ { 2 }\) was obtained.
  2. Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether gender and preferred shade are independent.
  3. Determine the smallest significance level obtained from tables or calculator for which there is evidence that not all shades are equally preferred by people in general, irrespective of gender.
OCR S3 2008 January Q7
12 marks Standard +0.3
7 The continuous random variable \(T\) has probability density function given by $$f ( t ) = \begin{cases} 4 t ^ { 3 } & 0 < t \leqslant 1 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$
  1. Obtain the cumulative distribution function of \(T\).
  2. Find the cumulative distribution function of \(H\), where \(H = \frac { 1 } { T ^ { 4 } }\), and hence show that the probability density function of \(H\) is given by \(\mathrm { g } ( h ) = \frac { 1 } { h ^ { 2 } }\) over an interval to be stated.
  3. Find \(\mathrm { E } \left( 1 + 2 H ^ { - 1 } \right)\).
OCR S3 2011 January Q1
5 marks Moderate -0.8
1 A random variable has a normal distribution with unknown mean \(\mu\) and known standard deviation 0.19 . In order to estimate \(\mu\) a random sample of five observations of the random variable was taken. The values were as follows. $$\begin{array} { l l l l l } 5.44 & 4.93 & 5.12 & 5.36 & 5.40 \end{array}$$ Using these five values, calculate,
  1. an estimate of \(\mu\),
  2. a 95\% confidence interval for \(\mu\).
OCR S3 2011 January Q2
5 marks Standard +0.3
2 In a Year 8 internal examination in a large school the Geography marks, \(G\), and Mathematics marks, \(M\), had means and standard deviations as follows.
MeanStandard deviation
\(G\)36.426.87
\(M\)42.6510.25
Assuming that \(G\) and \(M\) have independent normal distributions, find the probability that a randomly chosen Geography candidate scores at least 10 marks more than a randomly chosen Mathematics candidate. Do not use a continuity correction.
OCR S3 2011 January Q3
7 marks Standard +0.3
3 The continuous random variable \(T\) has probability density function given by $$\mathrm { f } ( t ) = \begin{cases} 0 & t < 0 , \\ \frac { a } { \mathrm { e } } & 0 \leqslant t < 2 , \\ a \mathrm { e } ^ { - \frac { 1 } { 2 } t } & t \geqslant 2 , \end{cases}$$ where \(a\) is a positive constant.
  1. Show that \(a = \frac { 1 } { 4 } \mathrm { e }\).
  2. Find the upper quartile of \(T\).
OCR S3 2011 January Q4
7 marks Standard +0.8
4 A study in 1981 investigated the effect of water fluoridation on children's dental health. In a town with fluoridation, 61 out of a random sample of 107 children showed signs of increased tooth decay after six months. In a town without fluoridation the corresponding number was 106 out of a random sample of 143 children. The population proportions of children with increased tooth decay are denoted by \(p _ { 1 }\) and \(p _ { 2 }\) for the towns with fluoridation and without fluoridation respectively. A test is carried out of the null hypothesis \(p _ { 1 } = p _ { 2 }\) against the alternative hypothesis \(p _ { 1 } < p _ { 2 }\). Find the smallest significance level at which the null hypothesis is rejected.
OCR S3 2011 January Q5
9 marks Moderate -0.3
5 An experiment with hybrid corn resulted in yellow kernels and purple kernels. Of a random sample of 90 kernels, 18 were yellow and 72 were purple.
  1. Calculate an approximate \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of yellow kernels produced in all such experiments.
  2. Deduce an approximate \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of purple kernels produced in all such experiments.
  3. Explain what is meant by a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for a population proportion.
  4. Mendel's theory of inheritance predicts that \(25 \%\) of all such kernels will be yellow. State, giving a reason, whether or not your calculations support the theory.
OCR S3 2011 January Q6
12 marks Challenging +1.2
6 The continuous random variable \(X\) has (cumulative) distribution function given by $$\mathrm { F } ( x ) = \begin{cases} 0 & x < \frac { 1 } { 2 } \\ \frac { 2 x - 1 } { x + 1 } & \frac { 1 } { 2 } \leqslant x \leqslant 2 \\ 1 & x > 2 . \end{cases}$$
  1. Given that \(Y = \frac { 1 } { X }\), find the (cumulative) distribution function of \(Y\), and deduce that \(Y\) and \(X\) have identical distributions.
  2. Find \(\mathrm { E } ( X + 1 )\) and deduce the value of \(\mathrm { E } \left( \frac { 1 } { X } \right)\).
OCR S3 2011 January Q7
11 marks Standard +0.3
7
  1. When should Yates' correction be applied when carrying out a \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) test? Two vaccines against typhoid fever, \(A\) and \(B\), were tested on a total of 700 people in Nepal during a particular year. The vaccines were allocated randomly and whether or not typhoid had developed was noted during the following year. The results are shown in the table.
    \multirow{2}{*}{}Vaccines
    \cline { 2 - 3 }\(A\)\(B\)
    Developed typhoid194
    Did not develop typhoid310367
  2. Carry out a suitable \(\chi ^ { 2 }\) test at the \(1 \%\) significance level to determine whether the outcome depends on the vaccine used. Comment on the result.
OCR S3 2011 January Q8
16 marks Standard +0.3
8
  1. State circumstances under which it would be necessary to calculate a pooled estimate of variance when carrying out a two-sample hypothesis test.
  2. An investigation into whether passive smoking affects lung capacity considered a random sample of 20 children whose parents did not smoke and a random sample of 22 children whose parents did smoke. None of the children themselves smoked. The lung capacity, in litres, of each child was measured and the results are summarised as follows. For the children whose parents did not smoke: \(n _ { 1 } = 20 , \Sigma x _ { 1 } = 42.4\) and \(\Sigma x _ { 1 } ^ { 2 } = 90.43\).
    For the children whose parents did smoke: \(\quad n _ { 2 } = 22 , \Sigma x _ { 2 } = 42.5\) and \(\Sigma x _ { 2 } ^ { 2 } = 82.93\).
    The means of the two populations are denoted by \(\mu _ { 1 }\) and \(\mu _ { 2 }\) respectively.
    1. State conditions for which a \(t\)-test would be appropriate for testing whether \(\mu _ { 1 }\) exceeds \(\mu _ { 2 }\).
    2. Assuming the conditions are valid, carry out the test at the \(1 \%\) significance level and comment on the result.
    3. Calculate a 99\% confidence interval for \(\mu _ { 1 } - \mu _ { 2 }\).
OCR S3 2006 June Q1
4 marks Standard +0.8
1 The numbers of \(\alpha\)-particles emitted per minute from two types of source, \(A\) and \(B\), have the distributions \(\operatorname { Po } ( 1.5 )\) and \(\operatorname { Po } ( 2 )\) respectively. The total number of \(\alpha\)-particles emitted over a period of 2 minutes from three sources of type \(A\) and two sources of type \(B\), all of which are independent, is denoted by \(X\). Calculate \(\mathrm { P } ( X = 27 )\).
OCR S3 2006 June Q2
6 marks Standard +0.3
2 The manager of a factory with a large number of employees investigated when accidents to employees occurred during 8-hour shifts. An analysis was made of 600 randomly chosen accidents that occurred over a year. The following table shows the numbers of accidents occurring in the four consecutive 2-hour periods of the 8-hour shifts.
Period1234
Number of accidents138127165170
Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether the proportions of all accidents that occur in the four time periods differ.
OCR S3 2006 June Q3
7 marks Standard +0.3
3 Ten randomly chosen athletes were coached for a 200 m event. For each athlete, the times taken to run 200 m before and after coaching were measured. The sample mean times before and after coaching were 23.43 seconds and 22.84 seconds respectively. For each athlete the difference, \(d\) seconds, in the times before and after coaching was calculated and an unbiased estimate of the population variance of \(d\) was found to be 0.548 . Stating any required assumption, test at the \(5 \%\) significance level whether the population mean time for the 200 m run decreased after coaching.
OCR S3 2006 June Q4
9 marks Standard +0.3
4 The continuous random variable \(X\) has probability density function given by $$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 4 } { 3 x ^ { 3 } } & 1 \leqslant x < 2 \\ \frac { 1 } { 12 } x & 2 \leqslant x \leqslant 4 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$
  1. Find the upper quartile of \(X\).
  2. Find the value of \(a\) for which \(\mathrm { E } \left( X ^ { 2 } \right) = a \mathrm { E } ( X )\).
OCR S3 2006 June Q5
9 marks Moderate -0.3
5 Gloria is a market trader who sells jeans. She trades on Mondays, Wednesdays and Fridays. Wishing to investigate whether the volume of trade depends on the day of the week, Gloria analysed a random sample of 150 days' sales and classified them by day and volume (low, medium and high). The results are given in the table below.
Day
MondayWednesdayFriday
\multirow{3}{*}{Volume}Low15132
Medium232623
High12927
Gloria asked a statistician to perform a suitable test of independence and, as part of this test, expected frequencies were calculated. These are shown in the table below.
Day
MondayWednesdayFriday
Low10.009.6010.40
VolumeMedium24.0023.0424.96
High16.0015.3616.64
  1. Show how the value 23.04 for medium volume on Wednesday has been obtained.
  2. State, giving a reason, if it is necessary to combine any rows or columns in order to carry out the test. The value of the test statistic is found to be 21.15, correct to 2 decimal places.
  3. Stating suitable hypotheses for the test, give its conclusion using a \(1 \%\) significance level. Gloria wishes to hold a sale and asks the statistician to advise her on which day to hold it in order to sell as much as possible.
  4. State the day that the statistician should advise and give a reason for the choice.
OCR S3 2006 June Q6
11 marks Standard +0.3
6 An anthropologist was studying the inhabitants of two islands, Raloa and Tangi. Part of the study involved the incidence of blood group type A. The blood of 80 randomly chosen inhabitants of Raloa and 85 randomly chosen inhabitants of Tangi was tested. The number of inhabitants with type A blood was 28 for the Raloa sample and 46 for the Tangi sample. The anthropologist calculated \(90 \%\) confidence intervals for the population proportions of inhabitants with type A blood. They were \(( 0.262,0.438 )\) for Raloa and \(( 0.452,0.630 )\) for Tangi, where each figure is correct to 3 decimal places. It is known that \(43 \%\) of the world's population have type A blood.
  1. State, giving your reasons, whether there is evidence for the following assertions about the proportions of people with type A blood.
    1. The proportion in Raloa is different from the world proportion.
    2. The proportion in Tangi is different from the world proportion.
    3. Carry out a suitable test, at the \(2 \%\) significance level, of whether the proportions of people with type A blood differ on the two islands.
OCR S3 2006 June Q7
12 marks Challenging +1.2
7 A queue of cars has built up at a set of traffic lights which are at red. When the lights turn green, the time for the first car to start to move has a normal distribution with mean 2.2 s and standard deviation 0.75 s . This time is the reaction time for the first car. For each subsequent car the reaction time is the time taken for it to start to move after the car in front starts to move. These reaction times have identical normal distributions with mean 1.8 s and standard deviation 0.70 s . It may be assumed that all reaction times are independent.
  1. Calculate the probability that the reaction time for the second car in the queue is less than half of the reaction time for the first car.
  2. Calculate the probability that the fifth car in the queue starts to move less than 10 seconds after the lights turn green.
  3. State where, in part (i), independence is required.
OCR S3 2006 June Q8
14 marks Standard +0.8
8 Two machines, \(A\) and \(B\), produce metal rods. Machine \(B\) is new and it is required that its accuracy should be checked against that of machine \(A\). The observed variable is the length of a rod. Random samples of rods, 40 from machine \(A\) and 50 from machine \(B\), are taken and their lengths, \(x _ { A } \mathrm {~cm}\) and \(x _ { B } \mathrm {~cm}\), are measured. The results are summarised by $$\Sigma x _ { A } = 136.48 , \quad \Sigma x _ { B } = 176.35 , \quad \Sigma x _ { B } ^ { 2 } = 630.1940 .$$ The variance of the length of the rods produced by machine \(A\) is known to be \(0.0490 \mathrm {~cm} ^ { 2 }\). The mean lengths of the rods produced by the machines are denoted by \(\mu _ { A } \mathrm {~cm}\) and \(\mu _ { B } \mathrm {~cm}\) respectively.
  1. Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, the hypothesis \(\mu _ { B } > \mu _ { A }\).
  2. Find the set of values of \(a\) for which the null hypothesis \(\mu _ { B } - \mu _ { A } = 0.025\) would not be rejected in favour of the alternative hypothesis \(\mu _ { B } - \mu _ { A } > 0.025\) at the \(a \%\) significance level.
  3. For the test in part (i) to be valid,
    1. state whether it is necessary to assume that the two population variances are equal,
    2. state, giving a reason, whether it is necessary to assume that the lengths of rods are normally distributed.
OCR S3 2007 June Q1
4 marks Moderate -0.8
1 The continuous random variable \(X\) has probability density function given by $$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = \begin{cases} a & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 1 , \\ \frac { a } { x ^ { 2 } } & x > 1 , \\ 0 & \text { otherwise. } \end{cases}$$ Find the value of the constant \(a\).