5 An airline has 300 seats available on a flight to Australia. It is known from experience that on average only \(99 \%\) of those who have booked seats actually arrive to take the flight, the remaining \(1 \%\) being called 'no-shows'. The airline therefore sells more than 300 seats. If more than 300 passengers then arrive, the flight is over-booked. Assume that the number of no-show passengers can be modelled by a binomial distribution.
- If the airline sells 303 seats, state a suitable distribution for the number of no-show passengers, and state a suitable approximation to this distribution, giving the values of any parameters.
Using the distribution and approximation in part (i),
- show that the probability that the flight is over-booked is 0.4165 , correct to 4 decimal places,
- find the largest number of seats that can be sold for the probability that the flight is over-booked to be less than 0.2.