Trees in a forest may be affected by one of two types of fungal disease, but not by both.
The number of trees affected by disease A, \(n_A\), can be modelled by the formula
$$n_A = ae^{0.1t}$$
where \(t\) is the time in years after 1 January 2017.
The number of trees affected by disease B, \(n_B\), can be modelled by the formula
$$n_B = be^{0.2t}$$
On 1 January 2017 a total of 290 trees were affected by a fungal disease.
On 1 January 2018 a total of 331 trees were affected by a fungal disease.
- Show that \(b = 90\), to the nearest integer, and find the value of \(a\). [3 marks]
- Estimate the total number of trees that will be affected by a fungal disease on 1 January 2020. [1 mark]
- Find the year in which the number of trees affected by disease B will first exceed the number affected by disease A. [3 marks]
- Comment on the long-term accuracy of the model. [1 mark]