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OCR S1 2011 June Q3
10 marks Moderate -0.3
3
  1. A random variable, \(X\), has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 12,0.85 )\). Find
    (a) \(\mathrm { P } ( X > 10 )\),
    (b) \(\mathrm { P } ( X = 10 )\),
    (c) \(\operatorname { Var } ( X )\).
  2. A random variable, \(Y\), has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } \left( 2 , \frac { 1 } { 4 } \right)\). Two independent values of \(Y\) are found. Find the probability that the sum of these two values is 1 .
OCR S1 2011 June Q4
16 marks Moderate -0.8
4 The table shows information about the time, \(t\) minutes correct to the nearest minute, taken by 50 people to complete a race.
Time (minutes)\(t \leqslant 27\)\(28 \leqslant t \leqslant 30\)\(31 \leqslant t \leqslant 35\)\(36 \leqslant t \leqslant 45\)\(46 \leqslant t \leqslant 60\)\(t \geqslant 61\)
Number of people04281440
  1. In a histogram illustrating the data, the height of the block for the \(31 \leqslant t \leqslant 35\) class is 5.6 cm . Find the height of the block for the \(28 \leqslant t \leqslant 30\) class. (There is no need to draw the histogram.)
  2. The data in the table are used to estimate the median time. State, with a reason, whether the estimated median time is more than 33 minutes, less than 33 minutes or equal to 33 minutes.
  3. Calculate estimates of the mean and standard deviation of the data.
  4. It was found that the winner's time had been incorrectly recorded and that it was actually less than 27 minutes 30 seconds. State whether each of the following will increase, decrease or remain the same:
    (a) the mean,
    (b) the standard deviation,
    (c) the median,
    (d) the interquartile range.
OCR S1 2011 June Q5
9 marks Moderate -0.8
5 A bag contains 4 blue discs and 6 red discs. Chloe takes a disc from the bag. If this disc is red, she takes 2 more discs. If not, she takes 1 more disc. Each disc is taken at random and no discs are replaced.
  1. Complete the probability tree diagram in your Answer Book, showing all the probabilities. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{48ffcd44-d933-40e0-818a-20d6db607298-4_730_1203_529_511} The total number of blue discs that Chloe takes is denoted by \(X\).
  2. Show that \(\mathrm { P } ( X = 1 ) = \frac { 3 } { 5 }\). The complete probability distribution of \(X\) is given below.
    \(x\)012
    \(\mathrm { P } ( X = x )\)\(\frac { 1 } { 6 }\)\(\frac { 3 } { 5 }\)\(\frac { 7 } { 30 }\)
  3. Calculate \(\mathrm { E } ( X )\) and \(\operatorname { Var } ( X )\).
OCR S1 2011 June Q6
9 marks Moderate -0.3
6 A group of 7 students sit in random order on a bench.
  1. (a) Find the number of orders in which they can sit.
    (b) The 7 students include Tom and Jerry. Find the probability that Tom and Jerry sit next to each other.
  2. The students consist of 3 girls and 4 boys. Find the probability that
    (a) no two boys sit next to each other,
    (b) all three girls sit next to each other.
OCR S1 2011 June Q7
6 marks Moderate -0.8
7 The diagram shows the results of an experiment involving some bivariate data. The least squares regression line of \(y\) on \(x\) for these results is also shown. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{48ffcd44-d933-40e0-818a-20d6db607298-5_748_919_390_612}
  1. Given that the least squares regression line of \(y\) on \(x\) is used for an estimation, state which of \(x\) or \(y\) is treated as the independent variable.
  2. Use the diagram to explain what is meant by 'least squares'.
  3. State, with a reason, the value of Spearman's rank correlation coefficient for these data.
  4. What can be said about the value of the product moment correlation coefficient for these data?
OCR S1 2011 June Q8
10 marks Standard +0.3
8 Ann, Bill, Chris and Dipak play a game with a fair cubical die. Starting with Ann they take turns, in alphabetical order, to throw the die. This process is repeated as many times as necessary until a player throws a 6 . When this happens, the game stops and this player is the winner. Find the probability that
  1. Chris wins on his first throw,
  2. Dipak wins on his second throw,
  3. Ann gets a third throw,
  4. Bill throws the die exactly three times.
OCR S1 2012 June Q1
9 marks Moderate -0.8
1 For each of the last five years the number of tourists, \(x\) thousands, visiting Sackton, and the average weekly sales, \(\pounds y\) thousands, in Sackton Stores were noted. The table shows the results.
Year20072008200920102011
\(x\)250270264290292
\(y\)4.23.73.23.53.0
  1. Calculate the product moment correlation coefficient \(r\) between \(x\) and \(y\).
  2. It is required to estimate the average weekly sales at Sackton Stores in a year when the number of tourists is 280000 . Calculate the equation of an appropriate regression line, and use it to find this estimate.
  3. Over a longer period the value of \(r\) is - 0.8 . The mayor says, "This shows that having more tourists causes sales at Sackton Stores to decrease." Give a reason why this statement is not correct.
OCR S1 2012 June Q2
6 marks Easy -1.2
2 The masses, \(x \mathrm {~kg}\), of 50 bags of flour were measured and the results were summarised as follows. $$n = 50 \quad \Sigma ( x - 1.5 ) = 1.4 \quad \Sigma ( x - 1.5 ) ^ { 2 } = 0.05$$ Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the masses of these bags of flour.
OCR S1 2012 June Q3
7 marks Easy -1.3
3 The test marks of 14 students are displayed in a stem-and-leaf diagram, as shown below. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{e23cb28b-49e5-436a-942d-e6320029c634-2_234_261_1425_482} Key: 1 | 6 means 16 marks
  1. Find the lower quartile.
  2. Given that the median is 32 , find the values of \(w\) and \(x\).
  3. Find the possible values of the upper quartile.
  4. State one advantage of a stem-and-leaf diagram over a box-and-whisker plot.
  5. State one advantage of a box-and-whisker plot over a stem-and-leaf diagram.
OCR S1 2012 June Q4
7 marks Easy -1.2
4 A bag contains 5 red discs and 1 black disc. Tina takes two discs from the bag at random without replacement.
  1. The diagram shows part of a tree diagram to illustrate this situation. \section*{First disc}
    \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}]{e23cb28b-49e5-436a-942d-e6320029c634-3_264_494_479_550}
    Complete the tree diagram in your Answer Book showing all the probabilities. \section*{Second disc}
  2. Find the probability that exactly one of the two discs is red. All the discs are replaced in the bag. Tony now takes three discs from the bag at random without replacement.
  3. Given that the first disc Tony takes is red, find the probability that the third disc Tony takes is also red.
OCR S1 2012 June Q5
8 marks Easy -1.2
5
  1. Write down the value of Spearman's rank correlation coefficent, \(r _ { s }\), for the following sets of ranks. All the discs are replaced in the bag. Tony now takes three discs from the bag at random without replacement.
  2. Given that the first disc Tony takes is red, find the probability that the third disc Tony takes is also red.
    [0pt] [2
  3. Write down the value of Spearman's rank correlation coefficent, \(r _ { s }\), for the following sets of ranks.
    (b)
    Judge \(A\) ranks1234
    Judge \(C\) ranks4321
    (a)
    (a)
    Judge \(A\) ranks1234
    Judge \(B\) ranks1234
  4. Calculate the value of \(r _ { s }\) for the following ranks.
    Judge \(A\) ranks1234
    Judge \(D\) ranks2413
  5. For each of parts (i)(a), (i)(b) and (ii), describe in everyday terms the relationship between the two judges’ opinions.
OCR S1 2012 June Q6
5 marks Moderate -0.3
6 A six-sided die is biased so that the probability of scoring 6 is 0.1 and the probabilities of scoring \(1,2,3,4\), and 5 are all equal. In a game at a fête, contestants pay \(\pounds 3\) to roll this die. If the score is 6 they receive \(\pounds 10\) back. If the score is 5 they receive \(\pounds 5\) back. Otherwise they receive no money back. Find the organiser's expected profit for 100 rolls of the die.
OCR S1 2012 June Q7
9 marks Moderate -0.8
7
  1. 5 of the 7 letters \(\mathrm { A } , \mathrm { B } , \mathrm { C } , \mathrm { D } , \mathrm { E } , \mathrm { F } , \mathrm { G }\) are arranged in a random order in a straight line.
    (a) How many different arrangements of 5 letters are possible?
    (b) How many of these arrangements end with a vowel (A or E)?
  2. A group of 5 people is to be chosen from a list of 7 people.
    (a) How many different groups of 5 people can be chosen?
    (b) The list of 7 people includes Jill and Jo. A group of 5 people is chosen at random from the list. Given that either Jill and Jo are both chosen or neither of them is chosen, find the probability that both of them are chosen.
OCR S1 2012 June Q8
10 marks Standard +0.8
8
  1. The random variable \(X\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 30,0.6 )\). Find \(\mathrm { P } ( X \geqslant 16 )\).
  2. The random variable \(Y\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 4,0.7 )\).
    (a) Find \(\mathrm { P } ( Y = 2 )\).
    (b) Three values of \(Y\) are chosen at random. Find the probability that their total is 10 .
OCR S1 2012 June Q9
11 marks Standard +0.3
9
  1. A clock is designed to chime once each hour, on the hour. The clock has a fault so that each time it is supposed to chime there is a constant probability of \(\frac { 1 } { 10 }\) that it will not chime. It may be assumed that the clock never stops and that faults occur independently. The clock is started at 5 minutes past midnight on a certain day. Find the probability that the first time it does not chime is
    (a) at 0600 on that day,
    (b) before 0600 on that day.
  2. Another clock is designed to chime twice each hour: on the hour and at 30 minutes past the hour. This clock has a fault so that each time it is supposed to chime there is a constant probability of \(\frac { 1 } { 20 }\) that it will not chime. It may be assumed that the clock never stops and that faults occur independently. The clock is started at 5 minutes past midnight on a certain day.
    (a) Find the probability that the first time it does not chime is at either 0030 or 0130 on that day.
    (b) Use the formula for the sum to infinity of a geometric progression to find the probability that the first time it does not chime is at 30 minutes past some hour.
OCR S1 2014 June Q1
7 marks Easy -1.8
1 The stem-and-leaf diagram shows the heights, in metres to the nearest 0.1 m , of a random sample of trees of species \(A\).
5
59
614
6559
72334
7566678
8034
85
means 6.4 m
  1. Find the median and interquartile range of the heights.
  2. The heights, in metres to the nearest 0.1 m , of a random sample of trees of species \(B\) are given below. \(\begin{array} { l l l } 7.6 & 5.2 & 8.5 \end{array}\) 5.2
    6.3
    6.3
    6.8
    7.2
    6.7
    7.3
    5.4
    7.5
    7.4
    6.0
    6.7 In the answer book, complete the back-to-back stem-and-leaf diagram.
  3. Make two comparisons between the heights of the two species of tree.
OCR S1 2014 June Q2
7 marks Moderate -0.8
2
  1. The probability distribution of a random variable \(W\) is shown in the table.
    \(w\)024
    \(\mathrm { P } ( W = w )\)0.30.40.3
    Calculate \(\operatorname { Var } ( W )\).
  2. The random variable \(X\) has probability distribution given by $$\mathrm { P } ( X = x ) = k ( x + 1 ) \quad \text { for } x = 1,2,3,4 .$$
    1. Show that \(k = \frac { 1 } { 14 }\).
    2. Calculate \(\mathrm { E } ( X )\).
OCR S1 2014 June Q3
7 marks Easy -1.2
3 The table shows information about the numbers of people per household in 280900 households in the northwest of England in 2001.
Number of
people
12345 or more
Number of
households
8690092500450003710019400
  1. Taking ' 5 or more' to mean ' 5 or 6 ', calculate estimates of the mean and standard deviation of the number of people per household.
  2. State the values of the median and upper quartile of the number of people per household.
OCR S1 2014 June Q4
10 marks Moderate -0.8
4 Each time Ben attempts to complete a crossword in his daily newspaper, the probability that he succeeds is \(\frac { 2 } { 3 }\). The random variable \(X\) denotes the number of times that Ben succeeds in 9 attempts.
  1. Find
    (a) \(\mathrm { P } ( X = 6 )\),
    (b) \(\mathrm { P } ( X < 6 )\),
    (c) \(\mathrm { E } ( X )\) and \(\operatorname { Var } ( X )\). Ben notes three values, \(X _ { 1 } , X _ { 2 }\) and \(X _ { 3 }\), of \(X\).
  2. State the total number of attempts to complete a crossword that are needed to obtain three values of \(X\). Hence find \(\mathrm { P } \left( X _ { 1 } + X _ { 2 } + X _ { 3 } = 18 \right)\).
OCR S1 2014 June Q5
9 marks Moderate -0.8
5 Tariq collected information about typical prices, \(\pounds y\) million, of four-bedroomed houses at varying distances, \(x\) miles, from a large city. He chose houses at 10 -mile intervals from the city. His results are shown below.
\(x\)1020304050607080
\(y\)1.21.41.20.90.80.50.50.3
$$n = 8 \quad \Sigma x = 360 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 20400 \quad \Sigma y = 6.8 \quad \Sigma y ^ { 2 } = 6.88 \quad \Sigma x y = 241$$
  1. Use an appropriate formula to calculate the product moment correlation coefficient, \(r\), showing that \(- 1.0 < r < - 0.9\).
  2. State what this value of \(r\) shows in this context.
  3. Tariq decides to recalculate the value of \(r\) with the house prices measured in hundreds of thousands of pounds, instead of millions of pounds. State what effect, if any, this will have on the value of \(r\).
  4. Calculate the equation of the regression line of \(y\) on \(x\).
  5. Explain why the regression line of \(y\) on \(x\), rather than \(x\) on \(y\), should be used for estimating a value of \(x\) from a given value of \(y\).
OCR S1 2014 June Q6
5 marks Moderate -0.8
6 Fiona and James collected the results for six hockey teams at the end of the season. They then carried out various calculations using Spearman's rank correlation coefficient, \(r _ { s }\).
  1. Fiona calculated the value of \(r _ { s }\) between the number of goals scored FOR each team and the number of goals scored AGAINST each team. She found that \(r _ { s } = - 1\). Complete the table in the answer book showing the ranks.
    TeamABCDEF
    Number of goals FOR (rank)123456
    Number of goals AGAINST (rank)
  2. James calculated the value of \(r _ { s }\) between the number of goals scored and the number of points gained by the 6 teams. He found the value of \(r _ { s }\) to be 1 . He then decided to include the results of another two teams in the calculation of \(r _ { s }\). The table shows the ranks for these two teams.
    TeamGH
    Number of goals scored (rank)78
    Number of points gained (rank)87
    Calculate the value of \(r _ { s }\) for all 8 teams.
OCR S1 2014 June Q7
8 marks Moderate -0.3
7 The table shows the numbers of members of a swimming club in certain categories.
\cline { 2 - 3 } \multicolumn{1}{c|}{}MaleFemale
Adults7845
Children52\(n\)
It is given that \(\frac { 5 } { 8 }\) of the female members are children.
  1. Find the value of \(n\).
  2. Find the probability that a member chosen at random is either female or a child (or both). The table below shows the corresponding numbers for an athletics club.
    \cline { 2 - 3 } \multicolumn{1}{c|}{}MaleFemale
    Adults64
    Children510
  3. Two members of the athletics club are chosen at random for a photograph.
    (a) Find the probability that one of these members is a female child and the other is an adult male.
    (b) Find the probability that exactly one of these members is female and exactly one is a child.
OCR S1 2014 June Q8
9 marks Moderate -0.3
8 A group of 8 people, including Kathy, David and Harpreet, are planning a theatre trip.
  1. Four of the group are chosen at random, without regard to order, to carry the refreshments. Find the probability that these 4 people include Kathy and David but not Harpreet.
  2. The 8 people sit in a row. Kathy and David sit next to each other and Harpreet sits at the left-hand end of the row. How many different arrangements of the 8 people are possible?
  3. The 8 people stand in a line to queue for the exit. Kathy and David stand next to each other and Harpreet stands next to them. How many different arrangements of the 8 people are possible?
OCR S1 2014 June Q9
10 marks Moderate -0.3
9 Each day Harry makes repeated attempts to light his gas fire. If the fire lights he makes no more attempts. On each attempt, the probability that the fire will light is 0.3 independent of all other attempts. Find the probability that
  1. the fire lights on the 5th attempt,
  2. Harry needs more than 1 attempt but fewer than 5 attempts to light the fire. If the fire does not light on the 6th attempt, Harry stops and the fire remains unlit.
  3. Find the probability that, on a particular day, the fire lights.
  4. Harry's week starts on Monday. Find the probability that, during a certain week, the first day on which the fire lights is Wednesday.
OCR S1 2015 June Q1
6 marks Moderate -0.8
1 For the top 6 clubs in the 2010/11 season of the English Premier League, the table shows the annual salary, \(\pounds x\) million, of the highest paid player and the number of points scored, \(y\).
ClubManchester UnitedManchester CityChelseaArsenalTottenhamLiverpool
\(x\)5.67.46.54.13.66.5
\(y\)807171686258
$$n = 6 \quad \sum x = 33.7 \quad \sum x ^ { 2 } = 200.39 \quad \sum y = 410 \quad \sum y ^ { 2 } = 28314 \quad \sum x y = 2313.9$$
  1. Use a suitable formula to calculate the product moment correlation coefficient, \(r\), between \(x\) and \(y\), showing that \(0 < r < 0.2\).
  2. State what this value of \(r\) shows in this context.
  3. A fan suggests that the data should be used to draw a regression line in order to estimate the number of points that would be scored by another Premier League club, whose highest paid player's salary is \(\pounds 1.7\) million. Give two reasons why such an estimate would be unlikely to be reliable.