OCR S1 2012 June — Question 9

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2012
SessionJune
TopicGeometric Distribution
TypeFirst success before/after trial n

9
  1. A clock is designed to chime once each hour, on the hour. The clock has a fault so that each time it is supposed to chime there is a constant probability of \(\frac { 1 } { 10 }\) that it will not chime. It may be assumed that the clock never stops and that faults occur independently. The clock is started at 5 minutes past midnight on a certain day. Find the probability that the first time it does not chime is
    (a) at 0600 on that day,
    (b) before 0600 on that day.
  2. Another clock is designed to chime twice each hour: on the hour and at 30 minutes past the hour. This clock has a fault so that each time it is supposed to chime there is a constant probability of \(\frac { 1 } { 20 }\) that it will not chime. It may be assumed that the clock never stops and that faults occur independently. The clock is started at 5 minutes past midnight on a certain day.
    (a) Find the probability that the first time it does not chime is at either 0030 or 0130 on that day.
    (b) Use the formula for the sum to infinity of a geometric progression to find the probability that the first time it does not chime is at 30 minutes past some hour.