6 The table below gives the population of breeding pairs of red kites in Yorkshire from 2001 to 2008.
| Year | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 |
| Number of breeding pairs | 8 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 33 | 40 | 47 | 69 |
Source: \href{http://www.gigrin.co.uk}{www.gigrin.co.uk}
The following model for the population has been proposed:
$$N = a \times b ^ { t } ,$$
where \(N\) is the number of breeding pairs \(t\) years after the year 2000, and \(a\) and \(b\) are constants.
- Show that the model can be transformed to a linear relationship between \(\log _ { 10 } N\) and \(t\).
- On graph paper, plot \(\log _ { 10 } N\) against \(t\) and draw by eye a line of best fit. Use your line to estimate the values of \(a\) and \(b\) in the equation for \(N\) in terms of \(t\).
- What values of \(N\) does the model give for the years 2008 and 2020?
- In which year will the number of breeding pairs first exceed 500 according to the model?
- Comment on the suitability of the model to predict the population of breeding pairs of red kites in Yorkshire.