Questions — CAIE S2 (737 questions)

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CAIE S2 2017 June Q7
9 marks Standard +0.3
7
  1. A random variable \(X\) is normally distributed with mean 4.2 and standard deviation 1.1. Find the probability that the sum of two randomly chosen values of \(X\) is greater than 10 .
  2. Each candidate's overall score for an essay is calculated as follows. The mark for creativity is denoted by \(C\), the penalty mark for spelling errors is denoted by \(S\) and the overall score is defined by \(C - \frac { 1 } { 2 } S\). The variables \(C\) and \(S\) are independent and have distributions \(\mathrm { N } ( 29,105 )\) and \(\mathrm { N } ( 17,15 )\) respectively. Find the proportion of candidates receiving a negative overall score.
CAIE S2 2017 June Q1
3 marks Easy -1.8
1 A residents' association has 654 members, numbered from 1 to 654 . The secretary wishes to send a questionnaire to a random sample of members. In order to choose the members for the sample she uses a table of random numbers. The first line in the table is as follows. $$\begin{array} { l l l l l l } 1096 & 4357 & 3765 & 0431 & 0928 & 9264 \end{array}$$ The numbers of the first two members in the sample are 109 and 643. Find the numbers of the next three members in the sample.
CAIE S2 2017 June Q2
4 marks Moderate -0.8
2 In a random sample of 200 shareholders of a company, 103 said that they wanted a change in the management.
  1. Find an approximate \(92 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion, \(p\), of all shareholders who want a change in the management.
  2. State the probability that a \(92 \%\) confidence interval does not contain \(p\).
CAIE S2 2017 June Q3
5 marks Standard +0.3
3 The mass, in tonnes, of iron ore produced per day at a mine is normally distributed with mean 7.0 and standard deviation 0.46. Find the probability that the total amount of iron ore produced in 10 randomly chosen days is more than 71 tonnes.
CAIE S2 2017 June Q4
8 marks Moderate -0.3
4 Last year the mean level of a certain pollutant in a river was found to be 0.034 grams per millilitre. This year the levels of pollutant, \(X\) grams per millilitre, were measured at a random sample of 200 locations in the river. The results are summarised below. $$n = 200 \quad \Sigma x = 6.7 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 0.2312$$
  1. Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance.
  2. Test, at the \(10 \%\) significance level, whether the mean level of pollutant has changed.
CAIE S2 2017 June Q5
9 marks Standard +0.3
5
  1. A random variable \(X\) has the distribution \(\operatorname { Po } ( 42 )\).
    1. Use an appropriate approximating distribution to find \(\mathrm { P } ( X \geqslant 40 )\).
    2. Justify your use of the approximating distribution.
    3. A random variable \(Y\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 60,0.02 )\).
      (a) Use an appropriate approximating distribution to find \(\mathrm { P } ( Y > 2 )\).
      (b) Justify your use of the approximating distribution.
CAIE S2 2017 June Q6
10 marks Moderate -0.3
6 \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{395f7f2c-42db-4fb6-9b22-3b0f46ad16d3-08_355_670_260_735} The diagram shows the graph of the probability density function, f , of a continuous random variable \(X\), where f is defined by $$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = \begin{cases} k \left( x - x ^ { 2 } \right) & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 1 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$
  1. Show that the value of the constant \(k\) is 6 .
  2. State the value of \(\mathrm { E } ( X )\) and find \(\operatorname { Var } ( X )\).
  3. Find \(\mathrm { P } ( 0.4 < X < 2 )\).
CAIE S2 2017 June Q7
11 marks Standard +0.3
7 In the past the number of accidents per month on a certain road was modelled by a random variable with distribution \(\operatorname { Po } ( 0.47 )\). After the introduction of speed restrictions, the government wished to test, at the 5\% significance level, whether the mean number of accidents had decreased. They noted the number of accidents during the next 12 months. It is assumed that accidents occur randomly and that a Poisson model is still appropriate.
  1. Given that the total number of accidents during the 12 months was 2 , carry out the test.
  2. Explain what is meant by a Type II error in this context.
    It is given that the mean number of accidents per month is now in fact 0.05 .
  3. Using another random sample of 12 months the same test is carried out again, with the same significance level. Find the probability of a Type II error.
CAIE S2 2018 June Q1
4 marks Moderate -0.8
1 A random variable \(X\) has the distribution \(\mathrm { B } ( 75,0.03 )\).
  1. Use the Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution to calculate \(\mathrm { P } ( X < 3 )\).
  2. Justify the use of the Poisson approximation.
CAIE S2 2018 June Q2
6 marks Easy -1.3
2 Amy has to choose a random sample from the 265 students in her year at college. She numbers the students from 1 to 265 and then uses random numbers generated by her calculator. The first two random numbers produced by her calculator are 0.213165448 and 0.073165196 .
  1. Use these figures to find the numbers of the first four students in her sample.
    There were 25 students in Amy's sample. She asked each of them how much money, \(\\) x$, they earned in a week, on average. Her results are summarised below. $$n = 25 \quad \Sigma x = 510 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 13225$$
  2. Find unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance.
  3. Explain briefly what is meant by 'population' in this question.
CAIE S2 2018 June Q3
5 marks Standard +0.3
3 A researcher wishes to estimate the proportion, \(p\), of houses in London Road that have only one occupant. He takes a random sample of 64 houses in London Road and finds that 8 houses in the sample have only one occupant. Using this sample, he calculates that an approximate \(\alpha \%\) confidence interval for \(p\) has width 0.130 . Find \(\alpha\) correct to the nearest integer.
CAIE S2 2018 June Q4
7 marks Standard +0.8
4 The numbers, \(M\) and \(F\), of male and female students who leave a particular school each year to study engineering have means 3.1 and 0.8 respectively.
  1. State, in context, one condition required for \(M\) to have a Poisson distribution.
    Assume that \(M\) and \(F\) can be modelled by independent Poisson distributions.
  2. Find the probability that the total number of students who leave to study engineering in a particular year is more than 3 .
  3. Given that the total number of students who leave to study engineering in a particular year is more than 3 , find the probability that no female students leave to study engineering in that year.
CAIE S2 2018 June Q5
8 marks Standard +0.3
5 The time taken for a particular train journey is normally distributed. In the past, the time had mean 2.4 hours and standard deviation 0.3 hours. A new timetable is introduced and on 30 randomly chosen occasions the time for this journey is measured. The mean time for these 30 occasions is found to be 2.3 hours.
  1. Stating any assumption(s), test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether the mean time for this journey has changed.
  2. A similar test at the \(5 \%\) significance level was carried out using the times from another randomly chosen 30 occasions.
    1. State the probability of a Type I error.
    2. State what is meant by a Type II error in this context.
CAIE S2 2018 June Q6
9 marks Standard +0.8
6 The times, in minutes, taken to complete the two parts of a task are normally distributed with means 4.5 and 2.3 respectively and standard deviations 1.1 and 0.7 respectively.
  1. Find the probability that the total time taken for the task is less than 8.5 minutes.
  2. Find the probability that the time taken for the first part of the task is more than twice the time taken for the second part.
CAIE S2 2018 June Q7
11 marks Standard +0.3
7 A random variable \(X\) has probability density function defined by $$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} k \left( \frac { 1 } { x ^ { 2 } } + \frac { 1 } { x ^ { 3 } } \right) & 1 \leqslant x \leqslant 2 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$ where \(k\) is a constant.
  1. Show that \(k = \frac { 8 } { 7 }\).
  2. Find \(\mathrm { E } ( X )\).
  3. Three values of \(X\) are chosen at random. Find the probability that one of these values is less than 1.5 and the other two are greater than 1.5.
    If you use the following lined page to complete the answer(s) to any question(s), the question number(s) must be clearly shown.
CAIE S2 2011 June Q1
4 marks Moderate -0.3
1 On average, 2 people in every 10000 in the UK have a particular gene. A random sample of 6000 people in the UK is chosen. The random variable \(X\) denotes the number of people in the sample who have the gene. Use an approximating distribution to calculate the probability that there will be more than 2 people in the sample who have the gene.
CAIE S2 2011 June Q2
5 marks Standard +0.3
2
  1. The time taken by a worker to complete a task was recorded for a random sample of 50 workers. The sample mean was 41.2 minutes and an unbiased estimate of the population variance was 32.6 minutes \({ } ^ { 2 }\). Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean time taken to complete the task.
  2. The probability that an \(\alpha \%\) confidence interval includes only values that are lower than the population mean is \(\frac { 1 } { 16 }\). Find the value of \(\alpha\).
CAIE S2 2011 June Q3
6 marks Standard +0.3
3 Past experience has shown that the heights of a certain variety of rose bush have been normally distributed with mean 85.0 cm . A new fertiliser is used and it is hoped that this will increase the heights. In order to test whether this is the case, a botanist records the heights, \(x \mathrm {~cm}\), of a large random sample of \(n\) rose bushes and calculates that \(\bar { x } = 85.7\) and \(s = 4.8\), where \(\bar { x }\) is the sample mean and \(s ^ { 2 }\) is an unbiased estimate of the population variance. The botanist then carries out an appropriate hypothesis test.
  1. The test statistic, \(z\), has a value of 1.786 correct to 3 decimal places. Calculate the value of \(n\).
  2. Using this value of the test statistic, carry out the test at the \(5 \%\) significance level.
CAIE S2 2011 June Q4
10 marks Moderate -0.5
4
  1. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{7c9a87ac-69c6-4850-82aa-8235bba581e8-2_611_712_1466_358} \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{7c9a87ac-69c6-4850-82aa-8235bba581e8-2_618_716_1464_1155} The diagrams show the graphs of two functions, \(g\) and \(h\). For each of the functions \(g\) and \(h\), give a reason why it cannot be a probability density function.
  2. The distance, in kilometres, travelled in a given time by a cyclist is represented by the continuous random variable \(X\) with probability density function given by $$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 30 } { x ^ { 2 } } & 10 \leqslant x \leqslant 15 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$
    1. Show that \(\mathrm { E } ( X ) = 30 \ln 1.5\).
    2. Find the median of \(X\). Find also the probability that \(X\) lies between the median and the mean.
CAIE S2 2011 June Q5
11 marks Standard +0.3
5 Cans of drink are packed in boxes, each containing 4 cans. The weights of these cans are normally distributed with mean 510 g and standard deviation 14 g . The weights of the boxes, when empty, are independently normally distributed with mean 200 g and standard deviation 8 g .
  1. Find the probability that the total weight of a full box of cans is between 2200 g and 2300 g .
  2. Two cans of drink are chosen at random. Find the probability that they differ in weight by more than 20 g .
CAIE S2 2011 June Q6
14 marks Standard +0.3
6 The number of injuries per month at a certain factory has a Poisson distribution. In the past the mean was 2.1 injuries per month. New safety procedures are put in place and the management wishes to use the next 3 months to test, at the \(2 \%\) significance level, whether there are now fewer injuries than before, on average.
  1. Find the critical region for the test.
  2. Find the probability of a Type I error.
  3. During the next 3 months there are a total of 3 injuries. Carry out the test.
  4. Assuming that the mean remains 2.1 , calculate an estimate of the probability that there will be fewer than 20 injuries during the next 12 months.
CAIE S2 2012 June Q1
3 marks Moderate -0.8
1 The weights, in grams, of packets of sugar are distributed with mean \(\mu\) and standard deviation 23. A random sample of 150 packets is taken. The mean weight of this sample is found to be 494 g . Calculate a 98\% confidence interval for \(\mu\).
CAIE S2 2012 June Q2
3 marks Moderate -0.8
2 An examination consists of a written paper and a practical test. The written paper marks ( \(M\) ) have mean 54.8 and standard deviation 16.0. The practical test marks ( \(P\) ) are independent of the written paper marks and have mean 82.4 and standard deviation 4.8. The final mark is found by adding \(75 \%\) of \(M\) to \(25 \%\) of \(P\). Find the mean and standard deviation of the final marks for the examination. [3]
CAIE S2 2012 June Q3
5 marks Moderate -0.3
3 When the council published a plan for a new road, only \(15 \%\) of local residents approved the plan. The council then published a revised plan and, out of a random sample of 300 local residents, 60 approved the revised plan. Is there evidence, at the \(2.5 \%\) significance level, that the proportion of local residents who approve the revised plan is greater than for the original plan?
CAIE S2 2012 June Q4
7 marks Moderate -0.3
4 The random variable \(X\) has probability density function given by $$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} \frac { k } { ( x + 1 ) ^ { 2 } } & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 1 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$ where \(k\) is a constant.
  1. Show that \(k = 2\).
  2. Find \(a\) such that \(\mathrm { P } ( X < a ) = \frac { 1 } { 5 }\).
  3. \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{18cef198-5ca2-4700-88e9-1a2bd55f841e-2_367_524_1548_849} The diagram shows the graph of \(y = \mathrm { f } ( x )\). The median of \(X\) is denoted by \(m\). Use the diagram to explain whether \(m < 0.5\), \(m = 0.5\) or \(m > 0.5\).