CAIE Further Paper 4 2023 November — Question 1 6 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleFurther Paper 4 (Further Paper 4)
Year2023
SessionNovember
Marks6
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicT-tests (unknown variance)
TypeSingle sample t-test
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward one-sample t-test with clearly stated hypotheses (one-tailed test for improvement). Students must calculate sample mean and standard deviation from summary statistics, then apply the standard t-test procedure. While it requires multiple steps, each is routine for Further Statistics students, and the context makes the direction of the test obvious.
Spec5.05c Hypothesis test: normal distribution for population mean

1 Maya is an athlete who competes in 1500-metre races. Last summer her practice run times had mean 4.22 minutes. Over the winter she has done some intense training to try to improve her times. A random sample of 10 of her practice run times, \(x\) minutes, this summer are summarised as follows. $$\sum x = 42.05 \quad \sum x ^ { 2 } = 176.83$$ Maya's new practice run times are normally distributed. She believes that on average her times have improved as a result of her training. Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether Maya's belief is supported by the data.

Question 1:
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(H_0: \mu = 4.22 \quad H_1: \mu < 4.22\)B1
\(\bar{x} = \frac{42.05}{10} [= 4.205]\), \(\quad s^2 = \frac{1}{9}\left(176.83 - \frac{42.05^2}{10}\right)\left[= \frac{13}{12000} = 0.0010833\right]\)M1
\(t = \dfrac{4.205 - 4.22}{\sqrt{\dfrac{s^2}{10}}}\)M1 Their \(4.205\), their \(s^2\)
\(t = -1.44\)A1 Condone sign
Tabular value \(= 1.833\): \(\{-1.44}\ < 1.833\), accept \(H_0\)
There is insufficient evidence to support Maya's belief.A1 Correct conclusion in context, following correct work, level of uncertainty in language. A0 if hypotheses wrong way round or missing.
6
## Question 1:

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $H_0: \mu = 4.22 \quad H_1: \mu < 4.22$ | B1 | |
| $\bar{x} = \frac{42.05}{10} [= 4.205]$, $\quad s^2 = \frac{1}{9}\left(176.83 - \frac{42.05^2}{10}\right)\left[= \frac{13}{12000} = 0.0010833\right]$ | M1 | |
| $t = \dfrac{4.205 - 4.22}{\sqrt{\dfrac{s^2}{10}}}$ | M1 | Their $4.205$, their $s^2$ |
| $t = -1.44$ | A1 | Condone sign |
| Tabular value $= 1.833$: $\|{-1.44}\| < 1.833$, accept $H_0$ | M1 | Compare *their* value with **correct** tabular value, **signs consistent**, allow 'not significant' |
| There is insufficient evidence to support Maya's belief. | A1 | Correct conclusion in context, following correct work, level of uncertainty in language. A0 if hypotheses wrong way round or missing. |
| | **6** | |
1 Maya is an athlete who competes in 1500-metre races. Last summer her practice run times had mean 4.22 minutes. Over the winter she has done some intense training to try to improve her times. A random sample of 10 of her practice run times, $x$ minutes, this summer are summarised as follows.

$$\sum x = 42.05 \quad \sum x ^ { 2 } = 176.83$$

Maya's new practice run times are normally distributed. She believes that on average her times have improved as a result of her training.

Test, at the $5 \%$ significance level, whether Maya's belief is supported by the data.\\

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE Further Paper 4 2023 Q1 [6]}}