AQA D2 2007 June — Question 3

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleD2 (Decision Mathematics 2)
Year2007
SessionJune
TopicDynamic Programming

3 Two people, Rose and Callum, play a zero-sum game. The game is represented by the following pay-off matrix for Rose.
Callum
\cline { 2 - 5 }\(\mathbf { C } _ { \mathbf { 1 } }\)\(\mathbf { C } _ { \mathbf { 2 } }\)\(\mathbf { C } _ { \mathbf { 3 } }\)
\cline { 2 - 5 }\(\mathbf { R } _ { \mathbf { 1 } }\)52- 1
\cline { 2 - 5 } Rose\(\mathbf { R } _ { \mathbf { 2 } }\)- 3- 15
\cline { 2 - 5 }\(\mathbf { R } _ { \mathbf { 3 } }\)41- 2
\cline { 2 - 5 }
\cline { 2 - 5 }
    1. State the play-safe strategy for Rose and give a reason for your answer.
    2. Show that there is no stable solution for this game.
  1. Explain why Rose should never play strategy \(\mathbf { R } _ { \mathbf { 3 } }\).
  2. Rose adopts a mixed strategy, choosing \(\mathbf { R } _ { \mathbf { 1 } }\) with probability \(p\) and \(\mathbf { R } _ { \mathbf { 2 } }\) with probability \(1 - p\).
    1. Find expressions for the expected gain for Rose when Callum chooses each of his three possible strategies. Simplify your expressions.
    2. Illustrate graphically these expected gains for \(0 \leqslant p \leqslant 1\).
    3. Hence determine the optimal mixed strategy for Rose.
    4. Find the value of the game.