AQA Further AS Paper 2 Statistics Specimen — Question 7 9 marks

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleFurther AS Paper 2 Statistics (Further AS Paper 2 Statistics)
SessionSpecimen
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicChi-squared test of independence
TypeExpected frequencies partially provided
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a standard chi-squared test of independence with straightforward calculations. Part (a) requires simple expected frequency calculations using row×column totals divided by grand total. Part (b)(i) involves comparing a given test statistic to critical values from tables. Part (b)(ii) asks for contextual interpretation by comparing observed vs expected values. All steps are routine applications of the chi-squared test procedure taught in Further Statistics, with no novel problem-solving required.
Spec5.06a Chi-squared: contingency tables

7 A dairy industry researcher, Robyn, decided to investigate the milk yield, classified as low, medium or high, obtained from four different breeds of cow, \(\mathrm { A } , \mathrm { B } , \mathrm { C }\) and D . The milk yield of a sample of 105 cows was monitored and the results are summarised in contingency Table 1.
\multirow{2}{*}{Table 1}Yield
LowMediumHighTotal
\multirow{4}{*}{Breed}A451221
B106420
C817732
D520732
Total274830105
The sample of cows may be regarded as random.
Robyn decides to carry out a \(\chi ^ { 2 }\)-test for association between milk yield and breed using the information given in Table 1. 7
  1. Contingency Table 2 gives some of the expected frequencies for this test.
    Complete Table 2 with the missing expected values.
    \multirow[t]{2}{*}{Table 2}Yield
    LowMediumHigh
    \multirow{4}{*}{Breed}A6
    B5.149.145.71
    C
    D8.2314.639.14
    7
  2. (i) For Robyn's test, the test statistic \(\sum \frac { ( O - E ) ^ { 2 } } { E } = 19.4\) correct to three significant figures.
    Use this information to carry out Robyn's test, using the \(1 \%\) level of significance.
    7 (b) (ii) By considering the observed frequencies given in Table 1 with the expected frequencies in Table 2, interpret, in context, the association, if any, between milk yield and breed.

Question 7(a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Part 1: Expected values e.g. Low, Breed A \(= \frac{21\times27}{105} = 5.4\); one correct valueM1
Part 2: Full table: A: 5.4, 9.6, 6; B: 5.14, 9.14, 5.71; C: 8.23, 14.63, 9.14; D: 8.23, 14.63, 9.14A1 A0 if integers given
Question 7(b)(i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Part 1: \(H_0\): Milk yield is independent of breed; \(H_1\): Milk yield is not independent of breed; 1 tail 1%B1
Part 2: \(\chi^2\) critical value for 6 df \(= 16.81\) (or \(p = 0.00275\))B1
Part 3: \(ts = \sum\frac{(O-E)^2}{E} = 19.4\); compare with cvR1
Part 4: \(19.4 > 16.81\) so reject \(H_0\)E1
Part 5: Evidence to suggest milk yield is not independent of breedE1 Conclusion should not be definite
Question 7(b)(ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Part 1: Consider \(\frac{(O-E)^2}{E}\) or \((O-E)\) to identify largest sources; largest are Breed A/High and Breed B/LowE1 Do not allow if no reference to why source selected
Part 2: Far more than expected Breed A cows observed to have high milk yield, or far more than expected Breed B cows observed to have low milk yieldE1dep
## Question 7(a):

**Part 1:** Expected values e.g. Low, Breed A $= \frac{21\times27}{105} = 5.4$; one correct value | M1 |

**Part 2:** Full table: A: 5.4, 9.6, 6; B: 5.14, 9.14, 5.71; C: 8.23, 14.63, 9.14; D: 8.23, 14.63, 9.14 | A1 | A0 if integers given

---

## Question 7(b)(i):

**Part 1:** $H_0$: Milk yield is independent of breed; $H_1$: Milk yield is not independent of breed; 1 tail 1% | B1 |

**Part 2:** $\chi^2$ critical value for 6 df $= 16.81$ (or $p = 0.00275$) | B1 |

**Part 3:** $ts = \sum\frac{(O-E)^2}{E} = 19.4$; compare with cv | R1 |

**Part 4:** $19.4 > 16.81$ so reject $H_0$ | E1 |

**Part 5:** Evidence to suggest milk yield is not independent of breed | E1 | Conclusion should not be definite

---

## Question 7(b)(ii):

**Part 1:** Consider $\frac{(O-E)^2}{E}$ or $(O-E)$ to identify largest sources; largest are Breed A/High and Breed B/Low | E1 | Do not allow if no reference to why source selected

**Part 2:** Far more than expected Breed A cows observed to have high milk yield, or far more than expected Breed B cows observed to have low milk yield | E1dep |

---
7 A dairy industry researcher, Robyn, decided to investigate the milk yield, classified as low, medium or high, obtained from four different breeds of cow, $\mathrm { A } , \mathrm { B } , \mathrm { C }$ and D .

The milk yield of a sample of 105 cows was monitored and the results are summarised in contingency Table 1.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|l|l|l|}
\hline
\multicolumn{2}{|c|}{\multirow{2}{*}{Table 1}} & \multicolumn{4}{|c|}{Yield} \\
\hline
 &  & Low & Medium & High & Total \\
\hline
\multirow{4}{*}{Breed} & A & 4 & 5 & 12 & 21 \\
\hline
 & B & 10 & 6 & 4 & 20 \\
\hline
 & C & 8 & 17 & 7 & 32 \\
\hline
 & D & 5 & 20 & 7 & 32 \\
\hline
 & Total & 27 & 48 & 30 & 105 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

The sample of cows may be regarded as random.\\
Robyn decides to carry out a $\chi ^ { 2 }$-test for association between milk yield and breed using the information given in Table 1.

7
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Contingency Table 2 gives some of the expected frequencies for this test.\\
Complete Table 2 with the missing expected values.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|l|l|}
\hline
\multicolumn{2}{|l|}{\multirow[t]{2}{*}{Table 2}} & \multicolumn{3}{|c|}{Yield} \\
\hline
 &  & Low & Medium & High \\
\hline
\multirow{4}{*}{Breed} & A &  &  & 6 \\
\hline
 & B & 5.14 & 9.14 & 5.71 \\
\hline
 & C &  &  &  \\
\hline
 & D & 8.23 & 14.63 & 9.14 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

7
\item (i) For Robyn's test, the test statistic $\sum \frac { ( O - E ) ^ { 2 } } { E } = 19.4$ correct to three significant figures.\\
Use this information to carry out Robyn's test, using the $1 \%$ level of significance.\\

7 (b) (ii) By considering the observed frequencies given in Table 1 with the expected frequencies in Table 2, interpret, in context, the association, if any, between milk yield and breed.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA Further AS Paper 2 Statistics  Q7 [9]}}