| Exam Board | AQA |
|---|---|
| Module | Paper 3 (Paper 3) |
| Year | 2018 |
| Session | June |
| Marks | 7 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Binomial Distribution |
| Type | E(X) and Var(X) with probability calculations |
| Difficulty | Easy -1.3 This is a straightforward binomial distribution question requiring only standard recall and basic calculations. Parts (a) and (d) are direct recall, part (b) is a single probability calculation, part (c) uses complement rule (routine technique), and part (e) asks for standard binomial assumptions. No problem-solving or novel insight requiredβpurely textbook application. |
| Spec | 2.04b Binomial distribution: as model B(n,p)2.04c Calculate binomial probabilities |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| 15(a) | States the correct binomial | |
| distribution | AO3.3 | B1 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| 15(b) | Calculates the correct probability | AO1.1b |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| 15(c) | Calculates or | |
| using the binomial distribution | AO1.1a | M1 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Obtains the correct answer | AO1.1b | A1 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| 15(d) | Finds the correct mean | AO1.1b |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| 15(e) | States a first appropriate | |
| assumption in context | AO3.5b | B1 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| assumption in context | AO3.5b | B1 |
| Total | 7 | |
| Q | Marking Instructions | AO |
Question 15:
--- 15(a) ---
15(a) | States the correct binomial
distribution | AO3.3 | B1 | B(6, 0.15)
--- 15(b) ---
15(b) | Calculates the correct probability | AO1.1b | B1 | 0.0000114
--- 15(c) ---
15(c) | Calculates or
using the binomial distribution | AO1.1a | M1 | ππ(ππ β€ 1) = 0.7764
ππ(ππ β₯ 2)= 1βππ(ππ β€ 1)
( )
ππ(ππ β€ 1) ππ(ππ β€ 2)
Obtains the correct answer | AO1.1b | A1
--- 15(d) ---
15(d) | Finds the correct mean | AO1.1b | B1 | ππ ππ β₯ 2 = 0.224
0.9
--- 15(e) ---
15(e) | States a first appropriate
assumption in context | AO3.5b | B1 | The probability of a light bulb being
faulty is fixed
A light bulb being faulty is
independent of any other light bulb
being faulty
States a second appropriate
assumption in context | AO3.5b | B1
Total | 7
Q | Marking Instructions | AO | Marks | Typical Solution
Abu visits his local hardware store to buy six light bulbs.
He knows that 15% of all bulbs at this store are faulty.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item State a distribution which can be used to model the number of faulty bulbs he buys.
[1 mark]
\item Find the probability that all of the bulbs he buys are faulty.
[1 mark]
\item Find the probability that at least two of the bulbs he buys are faulty.
[2 marks]
\item Find the mean of the distribution stated in part (a).
[1 mark]
\item State two necessary assumptions in context so that the distribution stated in part (a) is valid.
[2 marks]
\end{enumerate}
\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA Paper 3 2018 Q15 [7]}}