AQA Paper 3 2018 June — Question 15 7 marks

Exam BoardAQA
ModulePaper 3 (Paper 3)
Year2018
SessionJune
Marks7
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicBinomial Distribution
TypeE(X) and Var(X) with probability calculations
DifficultyEasy -1.3 This is a straightforward binomial distribution question requiring only standard recall and basic calculations. Parts (a) and (d) are direct recall, part (b) is a single probability calculation, part (c) uses complement rule (routine technique), and part (e) asks for standard binomial assumptions. No problem-solving or novel insight requiredβ€”purely textbook application.
Spec2.04b Binomial distribution: as model B(n,p)2.04c Calculate binomial probabilities

Abu visits his local hardware store to buy six light bulbs. He knows that 15% of all bulbs at this store are faulty.
  1. State a distribution which can be used to model the number of faulty bulbs he buys. [1 mark]
  2. Find the probability that all of the bulbs he buys are faulty. [1 mark]
  3. Find the probability that at least two of the bulbs he buys are faulty. [2 marks]
  4. Find the mean of the distribution stated in part (a). [1 mark]
  5. State two necessary assumptions in context so that the distribution stated in part (a) is valid. [2 marks]

Question 15:

AnswerMarks Guidance
15(a)States the correct binomial
distributionAO3.3 B1

AnswerMarks Guidance
15(b)Calculates the correct probability AO1.1b

AnswerMarks Guidance
15(c)Calculates or
using the binomial distributionAO1.1a M1
𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 β‰₯ 2)= 1βˆ’π‘ƒπ‘ƒ(𝑋𝑋 ≀ 1)
( )
𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 ≀ 1) 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 ≀ 2)
AnswerMarks Guidance
Obtains the correct answerAO1.1b A1

AnswerMarks Guidance
15(d)Finds the correct mean AO1.1b
0.9

AnswerMarks Guidance
15(e)States a first appropriate
assumption in contextAO3.5b B1
faulty is fixed
A light bulb being faulty is
independent of any other light bulb
being faulty
States a second appropriate
AnswerMarks Guidance
assumption in contextAO3.5b B1
Total7
QMarking Instructions AO
Question 15:
--- 15(a) ---
15(a) | States the correct binomial
distribution | AO3.3 | B1 | B(6, 0.15)
--- 15(b) ---
15(b) | Calculates the correct probability | AO1.1b | B1 | 0.0000114
--- 15(c) ---
15(c) | Calculates or
using the binomial distribution | AO1.1a | M1 | 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 ≀ 1) = 0.7764
𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 β‰₯ 2)= 1βˆ’π‘ƒπ‘ƒ(𝑋𝑋 ≀ 1)
( )
𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 ≀ 1) 𝑃𝑃(𝑋𝑋 ≀ 2)
Obtains the correct answer | AO1.1b | A1
--- 15(d) ---
15(d) | Finds the correct mean | AO1.1b | B1 | 𝑃𝑃 𝑋𝑋 β‰₯ 2 = 0.224
0.9
--- 15(e) ---
15(e) | States a first appropriate
assumption in context | AO3.5b | B1 | The probability of a light bulb being
faulty is fixed
A light bulb being faulty is
independent of any other light bulb
being faulty
States a second appropriate
assumption in context | AO3.5b | B1
Total | 7
Q | Marking Instructions | AO | Marks | Typical Solution
Abu visits his local hardware store to buy six light bulbs.

He knows that 15% of all bulbs at this store are faulty.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item State a distribution which can be used to model the number of faulty bulbs he buys.
[1 mark]

\item Find the probability that all of the bulbs he buys are faulty.
[1 mark]

\item Find the probability that at least two of the bulbs he buys are faulty.
[2 marks]

\item Find the mean of the distribution stated in part (a).
[1 mark]

\item State two necessary assumptions in context so that the distribution stated in part (a) is valid.
[2 marks]
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA Paper 3 2018 Q15 [7]}}