AQA AS Paper 2 2023 June — Question 17 5 marks

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleAS Paper 2 (AS Paper 2)
Year2023
SessionJune
Marks5
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicBinomial Distribution
TypeE(X) and Var(X) with probability calculations
DifficultyEasy -1.3 This is a straightforward binomial distribution question requiring only direct application of standard formulas and calculator functions. Part (a) uses μ=np, parts (b)-(d) require calculator computation of binomial probabilities with clearly stated parameters (n=30, p=0.79). No problem-solving, interpretation, or conceptual understanding beyond basic binomial distribution recall is needed.
Spec2.04b Binomial distribution: as model B(n,p)2.04c Calculate binomial probabilities

An archer is training for the Olympics. Each of the archer's training sessions consists of 30 attempts to hit the centre of a target. The archer consistently hits the centre of the target with 79% of their attempts. It can be assumed that the number of times the centre of the target is hit in any training session can be modelled by a binomial distribution.
  1. Find the mean of the number of times that the archer hits the centre of the target during a training session. [1 mark]
  2. Find the probability that the archer hits the centre of the target exactly 22 times during a particular training session. [1 mark]
  3. Find the probability that the archer hits the centre of the target 18 times or less during a particular training session. [1 mark]
  4. Find the probability that the archer hits the centre of the target more than 26 times in a training session. [2 marks]

Question 17:

AnswerMarks Guidance
17(a)Obtains correct mean
CAO3.4 B1
= 23.7
AnswerMarks Guidance
Subtotal1
QMarking instructions AO

AnswerMarks Guidance
17(b)States correct answer
AWRT 0.123.4 B1
Subtotal1
QMarking instructions AO

AnswerMarks Guidance
17(c)States correct answer
AWRT 0.0143.4 B1
= 0.014
AnswerMarks Guidance
Subtotal1
QMarking instructions AO

AnswerMarks
17(d)States or finds 1 – P(X ≤ 25 or
26)
PI by correct answer or
AnswerMarks Guidance
AWRT 0.21(5)3.4 M1
= 1 – P(X ≤ 26)
= 1 – 0.9015596
= 0.0984404
= 0.0984
Obtains correct answer
AnswerMarks Guidance
AWRT 0.0981.1b A1
Subtotal2
Question 17 Total5
QMarking instructions AO
Question 17:
--- 17(a) ---
17(a) | Obtains correct mean
CAO | 3.4 | B1 | Mean = 30 × 0.79
= 23.7
Subtotal | 1
Q | Marking instructions | AO | Marks | Typical solution
--- 17(b) ---
17(b) | States correct answer
AWRT 0.12 | 3.4 | B1 | 0.124
Subtotal | 1
Q | Marking instructions | AO | Marks | Typical solution
--- 17(c) ---
17(c) | States correct answer
AWRT 0.014 | 3.4 | B1 | P(X ≤ 18) = 0.01399
= 0.014
Subtotal | 1
Q | Marking instructions | AO | Marks | Typical solution
--- 17(d) ---
17(d) | States or finds 1 – P(X ≤ 25 or
26)
PI by correct answer or
AWRT 0.21(5) | 3.4 | M1 | P(X > 26) = P(X ≥ 27)
= 1 – P(X ≤ 26)
= 1 – 0.9015596
= 0.0984404
= 0.0984
Obtains correct answer
AWRT 0.098 | 1.1b | A1
Subtotal | 2
Question 17 Total | 5
Q | Marking instructions | AO | Marks | Typical solution
An archer is training for the Olympics.

Each of the archer's training sessions consists of 30 attempts to hit the centre of a target.

The archer consistently hits the centre of the target with 79% of their attempts.

It can be assumed that the number of times the centre of the target is hit in any training session can be modelled by a binomial distribution.

\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Find the mean of the number of times that the archer hits the centre of the target during a training session. [1 mark]

\item Find the probability that the archer hits the centre of the target exactly 22 times during a particular training session. [1 mark]

\item Find the probability that the archer hits the centre of the target 18 times or less during a particular training session. [1 mark]

\item Find the probability that the archer hits the centre of the target more than 26 times in a training session. [2 marks]
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA AS Paper 2 2023 Q17 [5]}}