AQA Further Paper 2 2022 June — Question 14 14 marks

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleFurther Paper 2 (Further Paper 2)
Year2022
SessionJune
Marks14
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicSystems of differential equations
TypeInterpret model parameters from equations
DifficultyChallenging +1.8 This is a challenging Further Maths question requiring interpretation of a predator-prey model, extraction of parameters from coupled DEs, then solving the system using eigenvalues/eigenvectors or substitution methods. Part (a) requires careful modeling interpretation, while part (b) involves substantial algebraic manipulation typical of second-order DE solving at FM level.
Spec4.10h Coupled systems: simultaneous first order DEs

14 On an isolated island some rabbits have been accidently introduced. In order to eliminate them, conservationists have introduced some birds of prey.
At time \(t\) years \(( t \geq 0 )\) there are \(x\) rabbits and \(y\) birds of prey.
At time \(t = 0\) there are 1755 rabbits and 30 birds of prey.
When \(t > 0\) it is assumed that:
  • the rabbits will reproduce at a rate of \(a \%\) per year
  • each bird of prey will kill, on average, \(b\) rabbits per year
  • the death rate of the birds of prey is \(c\) birds per year
  • the number of birds of prey will increase at a rate of \(d \%\) of the rabbit population per year.
This system is represented by the coupled differential equations: $$\begin{aligned} & \frac { \mathrm { d } x } { \mathrm {~d} t } = 0.4 x - 13 y \\ & \frac { \mathrm {~d} y } { \mathrm {~d} t } = 0.01 x - 1.95 \end{aligned}$$ 14
  1. State the value of \(a\), the value of \(b\), the value of \(c\) and the value of \(d\) [0pt] [2 marks]
    14
  2. Solve the coupled differential equations to find both \(x\) and \(y\) in terms of \(t\)

Question 14(a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(a=40\), \(b=13\)B1 Obtains two correct values
\(c=1.95\), \(d=1\)B1 Obtains four correct values; condone "40%" and "1%"; do not accept \(-1.95\)
Question 14(b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(13y = 0.4x - \dot{x}\) (1), giving \(y = \frac{2}{65}x - \frac{1}{13}\dot{x}\)M1 Differentiates one equation
\(\dot{y} = \frac{2}{65}\dot{x} - \frac{1}{13}\ddot{x}\); substitute into (2)M1 Substitutes for \(\dot{y}\) or for \(x\) and \(\dot{x}\) in the other equation to eliminate one variable
\(\frac{2}{65}\dot{x} - \frac{1}{13}\ddot{x} = 0.01x - 1.95\); so \(5\ddot{x} - 2\dot{x} + 0.65x = 126.75\)A1 Forms correct simplified second order differential equation
CF: \(5m^2 - 2m + 0.65 = 0\); \(m = 0.2 \pm 0.3i\)M1 Obtains roots of auxiliary equation
PI: \(x = 195\)M1 Uses valid method to find particular integral
\(\therefore x = Ae^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + Be^{0.2t}\sin(0.3t) + 195\)
\(y = \frac{1}{65}Ae^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + \frac{3}{130}Ae^{0.2t}\sin(0.3t) + \frac{1}{65}Be^{0.2t}\sin(0.3t) - \frac{3}{130}Be^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + 6\)A1F States general solution for either \(x\) or \(y\) with non-zero particular integral
When \(t=0\): \(x=1755\) and \(y=30\); so \(1755 = A + 195\) and \(30 = \frac{A}{65} - \frac{3B}{130} + 6\); \(\Rightarrow A = 1560, B = 0\)M1 Uses initial conditions to find a value for each constant
\(x = 1560e^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + 195\)A1 States general solutions for both \(x\) and \(y\) (CAO)
\(y = 24e^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + 36e^{0.2t}\sin(0.3t) + 6\)A1 Writes correct solutions for both \(x\) and \(y\)
Question 14(c):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance Notes
Using calculator: When \(t = 5.38\), \(x = 0\)M1 (3.2a) Investigates values of \(x\) for \(t > 5\); PI by \(t = 5.38\), \(x = 0\)
At this time \(y \approx 108\) so there are still birds of prey. The rabbits die out first.A1 (3.2a) Obtains a time when \(x = 0\) or \(x < 0\), and states that the rabbits die out
So the conservationists' plan succeeds.E1 (3.5a) Obtains a positive value of \(y\) for a value of \(t\) for which \(x \leq 0\) and uses their correct answers to show that the rabbits die out first. Condone no investigation of values of \(y\) between \(t = 5\) and their \(5.38\)
Question total: 14 marks
Paper total: 100 marks
## Question 14(a):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $a=40$, $b=13$ | B1 | Obtains two correct values |
| $c=1.95$, $d=1$ | B1 | Obtains four correct values; condone "40%" and "1%"; do not accept $-1.95$ |

---

## Question 14(b):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $13y = 0.4x - \dot{x}$ (1), giving $y = \frac{2}{65}x - \frac{1}{13}\dot{x}$ | M1 | Differentiates one equation |
| $\dot{y} = \frac{2}{65}\dot{x} - \frac{1}{13}\ddot{x}$; substitute into (2) | M1 | Substitutes for $\dot{y}$ or for $x$ and $\dot{x}$ in the other equation to eliminate one variable |
| $\frac{2}{65}\dot{x} - \frac{1}{13}\ddot{x} = 0.01x - 1.95$; so $5\ddot{x} - 2\dot{x} + 0.65x = 126.75$ | A1 | Forms correct simplified second order differential equation |
| CF: $5m^2 - 2m + 0.65 = 0$; $m = 0.2 \pm 0.3i$ | M1 | Obtains roots of auxiliary equation |
| PI: $x = 195$ | M1 | Uses valid method to find particular integral |
| $\therefore x = Ae^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + Be^{0.2t}\sin(0.3t) + 195$ | | |
| $y = \frac{1}{65}Ae^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + \frac{3}{130}Ae^{0.2t}\sin(0.3t) + \frac{1}{65}Be^{0.2t}\sin(0.3t) - \frac{3}{130}Be^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + 6$ | A1F | States general solution for either $x$ or $y$ with non-zero particular integral |
| When $t=0$: $x=1755$ and $y=30$; so $1755 = A + 195$ and $30 = \frac{A}{65} - \frac{3B}{130} + 6$; $\Rightarrow A = 1560, B = 0$ | M1 | Uses initial conditions to find a value for each constant |
| $x = 1560e^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + 195$ | A1 | States general solutions for both $x$ and $y$ (CAO) |
| $y = 24e^{0.2t}\cos(0.3t) + 36e^{0.2t}\sin(0.3t) + 6$ | A1 | Writes correct solutions for both $x$ and $y$ |

## Question 14(c):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Using calculator: When $t = 5.38$, $x = 0$ | M1 (3.2a) | Investigates values of $x$ for $t > 5$; PI by $t = 5.38$, $x = 0$ |
| At this time $y \approx 108$ so there are still birds of prey. The rabbits die out first. | A1 (3.2a) | Obtains a time when $x = 0$ or $x < 0$, and states that the rabbits die out |
| So the conservationists' plan succeeds. | E1 (3.5a) | Obtains a positive value of $y$ for a value of $t$ for which $x \leq 0$ and uses their correct answers to show that the rabbits die out first. Condone no investigation of values of $y$ between $t = 5$ and their $5.38$ |

**Question total: 14 marks**

**Paper total: 100 marks**
14 On an isolated island some rabbits have been accidently introduced.

In order to eliminate them, conservationists have introduced some birds of prey.\\
At time $t$ years $( t \geq 0 )$ there are $x$ rabbits and $y$ birds of prey.\\
At time $t = 0$ there are 1755 rabbits and 30 birds of prey.\\
When $t > 0$ it is assumed that:

\begin{itemize}
  \item the rabbits will reproduce at a rate of $a \%$ per year
  \item each bird of prey will kill, on average, $b$ rabbits per year
  \item the death rate of the birds of prey is $c$ birds per year
  \item the number of birds of prey will increase at a rate of $d \%$ of the rabbit population per year.
\end{itemize}

This system is represented by the coupled differential equations:

$$\begin{aligned}
& \frac { \mathrm { d } x } { \mathrm {~d} t } = 0.4 x - 13 y \\
& \frac { \mathrm {~d} y } { \mathrm {~d} t } = 0.01 x - 1.95
\end{aligned}$$

14
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item State the value of $a$, the value of $b$, the value of $c$ and the value of $d$\\[0pt]
[2 marks]\\

14
\item Solve the coupled differential equations to find both $x$ and $y$ in terms of $t$
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA Further Paper 2 2022 Q14 [14]}}