AQA S1 2007 June — Question 5 13 marks

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2007
SessionJune
Marks13
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear regression
TypeCalculate y on x from raw data table
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a standard S1 regression question requiring routine calculations (finding means, Sxx, Sxy, then a and b) and textbook interpretations (explanatory variable, gradient meaning, extrapolation issues). All parts follow predictable patterns with no novel problem-solving required, making it easier than average for A-level.
Spec5.09a Dependent/independent variables5.09b Least squares regression: concepts5.09c Calculate regression line5.09d Linear coding: effect on regression

5 Bob, a gardener, measures the time taken, \(y\) minutes, for 60 grams of weedkiller pellets to dissolve in 10 litres of water at different set temperatures, \(x ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\). His results are shown in the table.
\(\boldsymbol { x }\)1620242832364044485256
\(\boldsymbol { y }\)4.74.33.83.53.02.72.42.01.81.61.1
  1. State why the explanatory variable is temperature.
  2. Calculate the equation of the least squares regression line \(y = a + b x\).
    1. Interpret, in the context of this question, your value for \(b\).
    2. Explain why no sensible practical interpretation can be given for your value of \(a\).
    1. Estimate the time taken to dissolve 60 grams of weedkiller pellets in 10 litres of water at \(30 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\).
    2. Show why the equation cannot be used to make a valid estimate of the time taken to dissolve 60 grams of weedkiller pellets in 10 litres of water at \(75 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }\). (2 marks)

Question 5:
Part (a)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Time taken depends upon temperatureB1 OE; not \(x\) set values
Part (b)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(b\) (gradient) \(= -0.0873\) to \(-0.087\)B2 AWFW; \((-0.0872\dot{7})\)
\(b\) (gradient) \(= -0.09\) to \(-0.08\)(B1) AWFW; \(-8.73^{-02} \Rightarrow\) B0
\(a\) (intercept) \(= 5.94\) to \(5.96\)B2 AWFW; \((5.950\dot{9})\)
\(a\) (intercept) \(= 5.6\) to \(6.1\)(B1) AWFW
Attempt at \(\sum x\), \(\sum x^2\), \(\sum y\) and \(\sum xy\) or attempt at \(S_{xx}\) and \(S_{xy}\)(M1) 396, 16016, 30.9 and 958.8; 1760 and \(-153.6\)
Attempt at correct formula for \(b\)(m1)
\(b = -0.0873\) to \(-0.087\)(A1) AWFW
\(a = 5.94\) to \(5.96\)(A1) AWFW
Part (c)(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Each \(1°C\) rise in temperature results in an (average) decrease of \(0.087\) m (5 s) in time taken for pellets to dissolveB1 B1 Quantified rise in \(x\) (results in) decrease in \(y\); OE
Part (c)(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(a\) is \(y\)-value at \(x = 0\) at which water is solid/ice/frozen so pellets cannot dissolveB1 B1 Indication that it is \(y\) at \(x = 0\); Mention of solid or ice or frozen
Part (d)(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
When \(x = 30\): \(y = 3.3\) to \(3.4\)B2 AWFW; \((3.332\dot{7})\)
\(y = 2.9\) to \(3.7\)(B1) AWFW
If B0, use of their equation with \(x = 30\)(M1)
Part (d)(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
When \(x = 75\): \(y < 0\) or negativeB1 OE
which is impossible↑Dep↑ B1 OE; not extrapolation
# Question 5:

## Part (a)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Time taken depends upon temperature | B1 | OE; **not** $x$ set values |

## Part (b)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $b$ (gradient) $= -0.0873$ to $-0.087$ | B2 | AWFW; $(-0.0872\dot{7})$ |
| $b$ (gradient) $= -0.09$ to $-0.08$ | (B1) | AWFW; $-8.73^{-02} \Rightarrow$ B0 |
| $a$ (intercept) $= 5.94$ to $5.96$ | B2 | AWFW; $(5.950\dot{9})$ |
| $a$ (intercept) $= 5.6$ to $6.1$ | (B1) | AWFW |
| Attempt at $\sum x$, $\sum x^2$, $\sum y$ and $\sum xy$ **or** attempt at $S_{xx}$ and $S_{xy}$ | (M1) | 396, 16016, 30.9 and 958.8; 1760 and $-153.6$ |
| Attempt at correct formula for $b$ | (m1) | — |
| $b = -0.0873$ to $-0.087$ | (A1) | AWFW |
| $a = 5.94$ to $5.96$ | (A1) | AWFW |

## Part (c)(i)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Each $1°C$ rise in temperature results in an (average) decrease of $0.087$ m (5 s) in time taken for pellets to dissolve | B1 B1 | Quantified rise in $x$ (results in) decrease in $y$; OE |

## Part (c)(ii)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $a$ is $y$-value at $x = 0$ at which water is solid/ice/frozen so pellets cannot dissolve | B1 B1 | Indication that it is $y$ at $x = 0$; Mention of solid or ice or frozen |

## Part (d)(i)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| When $x = 30$: $y = 3.3$ to $3.4$ | B2 | AWFW; $(3.332\dot{7})$ |
| $y = 2.9$ to $3.7$ | (B1) | AWFW |
| If B0, use of their equation with $x = 30$ | (M1) | — |

## Part (d)(ii)
| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| When $x = 75$: $y < 0$ or negative | B1 | OE |
| which is impossible | ↑Dep↑ B1 | OE; **not** extrapolation |

---
5 Bob, a gardener, measures the time taken, $y$ minutes, for 60 grams of weedkiller pellets to dissolve in 10 litres of water at different set temperatures, $x ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }$. His results are shown in the table.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
$\boldsymbol { x }$ & 16 & 20 & 24 & 28 & 32 & 36 & 40 & 44 & 48 & 52 & 56 \\
\hline
$\boldsymbol { y }$ & 4.7 & 4.3 & 3.8 & 3.5 & 3.0 & 2.7 & 2.4 & 2.0 & 1.8 & 1.6 & 1.1 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item State why the explanatory variable is temperature.
\item Calculate the equation of the least squares regression line $y = a + b x$.
\item \begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Interpret, in the context of this question, your value for $b$.
\item Explain why no sensible practical interpretation can be given for your value of $a$.
\end{enumerate}\item \begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Estimate the time taken to dissolve 60 grams of weedkiller pellets in 10 litres of water at $30 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }$.
\item Show why the equation cannot be used to make a valid estimate of the time taken to dissolve 60 grams of weedkiller pellets in 10 litres of water at $75 ^ { \circ } \mathrm { C }$. (2 marks)
\end{enumerate}\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA S1 2007 Q5 [13]}}