Edexcel S2 2024 June — Question 2 9 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2024
SessionJune
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicCumulative distribution functions
TypeMulti-part piecewise CDF
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a standard S2 piecewise CDF question requiring routine techniques: continuity at boundaries for part (a), conditional probability formula for part (b), and differentiation of each piece for part (c). While multi-step, it involves straightforward application of well-practiced methods with no novel insight required, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03e Find cdf: by integration5.03f Relate pdf-cdf: medians and percentiles

2 The continuous random variable \(H\) has cumulative distribution function given by $$\mathrm { F } ( h ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { l r } 0 & h \leqslant 0 \\ \frac { h ^ { 2 } } { 48 } & 0 < h \leqslant 4 \\ \frac { h } { 6 } - \frac { 1 } { 3 } & 4 < h \leqslant 5 \\ \frac { 3 } { 10 } h - \frac { h ^ { 2 } } { 75 } - \frac { 2 } { 3 } & 5 < h \leqslant d \\ 1 & h > d \end{array} \right.$$ where \(d\) is a constant.
  1. Show that \(2 d ^ { 2 } - 45 d + 250 = 0\)
  2. Find \(\mathrm { P } ( H < 1.5 \mid 1 < H < 4.5 )\)
  3. Find the probability density function \(\mathrm { f } ( h )\) You may leave the limits of \(h\) in terms of \(d\) where necessary.

Question 2:
Part (a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Working/AnswerMark Guidance
\(\frac{3}{10}d - \frac{1}{75}d^2 - \frac{2}{3} = 1\)M1 For this equation
\(45d - 2d^2 - 100 = 150\) or \(\frac{3}{10}d - \frac{1}{75}d^2 - \frac{5}{3} = 0 \rightarrow 2d^2 - 45d + 250 = 0\)A1* cso at least one step seen before given answer e.g. removing denominator or correct 3 term quadratic = 0
Part (b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Working/AnswerMark Guidance
\(P(1 < H < 4.5) = \left(\frac{4.5}{6} - \frac{1}{3}\right) - \left(\frac{1}{48}\right) = \frac{19}{48}\) or 0.39583...M1 Correct method to find \(P(1 < H < 4.5)\), implied by \(\frac{19}{48}\) or awrt 0.396
\(P(1 < H < 1.5) = \left(\frac{1.5^2}{48}\right) - \left(\frac{1}{48}\right) = \frac{5}{192}\) or 0.02604...M1 For writing or finding \(P(1 < H < 1.5)\), implied by \(\frac{5}{192}\) or awrt 0.026
\(P(H < 1.5 \mid 1 < H < 4.5) = \frac{\text{"0.02604..."}}{\text{"0.3958..."}}\)M1 For \(\frac{p}{\text{"0.3958"}}\) where \(0 < p <\) "0.3958"
\(= \frac{5}{76}\) or 0.06578... awrt 0.0658A1 awrt 0.0658
Part (c):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Working/AnswerMark Guidance
\([f(h)=]\begin{cases} \frac{h}{24} & 0 < h \leq 4 \\ \frac{1}{6} & 4 < h \leq 5 \\ \frac{3}{10} - \frac{2}{75}h & 5 < h \leq d \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}\)M1 For one of rows 1, 2 or 3 correct. Allow any letters. Condone missing/incorrect range
M1For any two rows correct with ranges. Allow any letters and \(\leq\) for \(<\) signs
A1Fully correct, all the same letter in rows 1 to 3. Allow \(\leq\) for \(<\) signs. Condone \(d=10\) but not \(d=12.5\)
# Question 2:

## Part (a):
| Working/Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\frac{3}{10}d - \frac{1}{75}d^2 - \frac{2}{3} = 1$ | M1 | For this equation |
| $45d - 2d^2 - 100 = 150$ or $\frac{3}{10}d - \frac{1}{75}d^2 - \frac{5}{3} = 0 \rightarrow 2d^2 - 45d + 250 = 0$ | A1* | cso at least one step seen before given answer e.g. removing denominator or correct 3 term quadratic = 0 |

## Part (b):
| Working/Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $P(1 < H < 4.5) = \left(\frac{4.5}{6} - \frac{1}{3}\right) - \left(\frac{1}{48}\right) = \frac{19}{48}$ or 0.39583... | M1 | Correct method to find $P(1 < H < 4.5)$, implied by $\frac{19}{48}$ or awrt 0.396 |
| $P(1 < H < 1.5) = \left(\frac{1.5^2}{48}\right) - \left(\frac{1}{48}\right) = \frac{5}{192}$ or 0.02604... | M1 | For writing or finding $P(1 < H < 1.5)$, implied by $\frac{5}{192}$ or awrt 0.026 |
| $P(H < 1.5 \mid 1 < H < 4.5) = \frac{\text{"0.02604..."}}{\text{"0.3958..."}}$ | M1 | For $\frac{p}{\text{"0.3958"}}$ where $0 < p <$ "0.3958" |
| $= \frac{5}{76}$ or 0.06578... awrt **0.0658** | A1 | awrt 0.0658 |

## Part (c):
| Working/Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $[f(h)=]\begin{cases} \frac{h}{24} & 0 < h \leq 4 \\ \frac{1}{6} & 4 < h \leq 5 \\ \frac{3}{10} - \frac{2}{75}h & 5 < h \leq d \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}$ | M1 | For one of rows 1, 2 or 3 correct. Allow any letters. Condone missing/incorrect range |
| | M1 | For any two rows correct with ranges. Allow any letters and $\leq$ for $<$ signs |
| | A1 | Fully correct, all the same letter in rows 1 to 3. Allow $\leq$ for $<$ signs. Condone $d=10$ but not $d=12.5$ |

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2 The continuous random variable $H$ has cumulative distribution function given by

$$\mathrm { F } ( h ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { l r } 
0 & h \leqslant 0 \\
\frac { h ^ { 2 } } { 48 } & 0 < h \leqslant 4 \\
\frac { h } { 6 } - \frac { 1 } { 3 } & 4 < h \leqslant 5 \\
\frac { 3 } { 10 } h - \frac { h ^ { 2 } } { 75 } - \frac { 2 } { 3 } & 5 < h \leqslant d \\
1 & h > d
\end{array} \right.$$

where $d$ is a constant.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Show that $2 d ^ { 2 } - 45 d + 250 = 0$
\item Find $\mathrm { P } ( H < 1.5 \mid 1 < H < 4.5 )$
\item Find the probability density function $\mathrm { f } ( h )$

You may leave the limits of $h$ in terms of $d$ where necessary.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S2 2024 Q2 [9]}}