OCR S3 2011 January — Question 1 5 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2011
SessionJanuary
Marks5
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicZ-tests (known variance)
TypeKnown variance (z-distribution)
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward application of standard formulas for estimating a mean and constructing a confidence interval with known variance. It requires only calculating a sample mean and applying the z-interval formula—both routine procedures with no problem-solving or conceptual challenges beyond basic recall.
Spec5.05d Confidence intervals: using normal distribution

1 A random variable has a normal distribution with unknown mean \(\mu\) and known standard deviation 0.19 . In order to estimate \(\mu\) a random sample of five observations of the random variable was taken. The values were as follows. $$\begin{array} { l l l l l } 5.44 & 4.93 & 5.12 & 5.36 & 5.40 \end{array}$$ Using these five values, calculate,
  1. an estimate of \(\mu\),
  2. a 95\% confidence interval for \(\mu\).

Question 1:
Part (i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(\text{Est}\,\mu = \text{sample mean} = 5.25\)B1
Part (ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
Use \((\bar{x}) \pm z\text{SD}\)M1
\(\text{SD} = 0.19/\sqrt{5}\)B1 With \(\sqrt{5}\) seen
\(z = 1.96\)B1
\(5.083 < \mu < 5.417\)A1 4 Rounding to 5.08, 5.42
## Question 1:

### Part (i)
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| $\text{Est}\,\mu = \text{sample mean} = 5.25$ | B1 | |

### Part (ii)
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| Use $(\bar{x}) \pm z\text{SD}$ | M1 | |
| $\text{SD} = 0.19/\sqrt{5}$ | B1 | With $\sqrt{5}$ seen |
| $z = 1.96$ | B1 | |
| $5.083 < \mu < 5.417$ | A1 **4** | Rounding to 5.08, 5.42 |

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1 A random variable has a normal distribution with unknown mean $\mu$ and known standard deviation 0.19 . In order to estimate $\mu$ a random sample of five observations of the random variable was taken. The values were as follows.

$$\begin{array} { l l l l l } 
5.44 & 4.93 & 5.12 & 5.36 & 5.40
\end{array}$$

Using these five values, calculate,\\
(i) an estimate of $\mu$,\\
(ii) a 95\% confidence interval for $\mu$.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR S3 2011 Q1 [5]}}