CAIE S2 2014 November — Question 1 4 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2014
SessionNovember
Marks4
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicZ-tests (known variance)
TypeTwo-tail z-test
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward hypothesis testing question requiring only standard procedure: recognizing why a two-tail test is appropriate (testing for 'different from' rather than directional change) and comparing a given z-value (1.91) to critical values at 4% significance level. No calculation of the test statistic is needed, just interpretation and conclusion. This is routine application of textbook methodology with minimal problem-solving.
Spec2.05a Hypothesis testing language: null, alternative, p-value, significance2.05c Significance levels: one-tail and two-tail2.05e Hypothesis test for normal mean: known variance

1 A researcher wishes to investigate whether the mean height of a certain type of plant in one region is different from the mean height of this type of plant everywhere else. He takes a large random sample of plants from the region and finds the sample mean. He calculates the value of the test statistic, \(z\), and finds that \(z = 1.91\).
  1. Explain briefly why the researcher should use a two-tail test.
  2. Carry out the test at the \(4 \%\) significance level.

AnswerMarks Guidance
Part (i)
"Different" being investigatedB1 Oe ("changed", "not equal to")
Must be "pop mean", not just "mean" Can be awarded in (i)
Part (ii)
\(H_0\): Pop mean (or \(\mu\)) in region same as elsewhereB1 oe
\(H_1\): Pop mean (or \(\mu\)) in region diff from elsewhere
\(1.91 < 2.054\) (or 2.055) or \(-1.91 > -2.054\)M1 or \(P(z > 1.91) = 0.0281 > 0.02\) or \(0.0562 > 0.04\) or \(0.972 < 0.98\) Accept 2.05 if nothing better seen.
No evidence that mean is differentA1 inequality sign incorrect M1A0 no contradictions "accept \(H_0\)" provided \(H_0\) reasonably well defined
Total[4]
| **Part (i)** |
|---|
| "Different" being investigated | B1 | Oe ("changed", "not equal to") |
| | | Must be "pop mean", not just "mean" Can be awarded in (i) |

| **Part (ii)** |
|---|
| $H_0$: Pop mean (or $\mu$) in region same as elsewhere | B1 | oe |
| $H_1$: Pop mean (or $\mu$) in region diff from elsewhere | | |
| $1.91 < 2.054$ (or 2.055) or $-1.91 > -2.054$ | M1 | or $P(z > 1.91) = 0.0281 > 0.02$ or $0.0562 > 0.04$ or $0.972 < 0.98$ Accept 2.05 if nothing better seen. |
| No evidence that mean is different | A1 | inequality sign incorrect M1A0 no contradictions "accept $H_0$" provided $H_0$ reasonably well defined |

| **Total** | [4] |
1 A researcher wishes to investigate whether the mean height of a certain type of plant in one region is different from the mean height of this type of plant everywhere else. He takes a large random sample of plants from the region and finds the sample mean. He calculates the value of the test statistic, $z$, and finds that $z = 1.91$.\\
(i) Explain briefly why the researcher should use a two-tail test.\\
(ii) Carry out the test at the $4 \%$ significance level.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2014 Q1 [4]}}