CAIE S2 2017 March — Question 4

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2017
SessionMarch
TopicHypothesis test of a Poisson distribution

4 At a doctors' surgery, the number of missed appointments per day has a Poisson distribution. In the past the mean number of missed appointments per day has been 0.9 . Following some publicity, the manager carries out a hypothesis test to determine whether this mean has decreased. If there are fewer than 3 missed appointments in a randomly chosen 5-day period, she will conclude that the mean has decreased.
  1. Find the probability of a Type I error.
  2. State what is meant by a Type I error in this context.
  3. Find the probability of a Type II error if the mean number of missed appointments per day is 0.2 .