CAIE S2 2024 November — Question 1 4 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2024
SessionNovember
Marks4
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicZ-tests (known variance)
TypeKnown variance (z-distribution)
DifficultyModerate -0.8 Part (a) is a standard confidence interval calculation using known σ and the normal distribution—pure routine application of the formula with no conceptual challenge. Part (b) tests understanding of what a confidence interval means, which is a common misconception question but requires only brief recall of the correct interpretation rather than any calculation or problem-solving.
Spec5.05d Confidence intervals: using normal distribution

1 The heights of a certain species of deer are known to have standard deviation 0.35 m . A zoologist takes a random sample of 150 of these deer and finds that the mean height of the deer in the sample is 1.42 m .
  1. Calculate a 96\% confidence interval for the population mean height.
  2. Bubay says that \(96 \%\) of deer of this species are likely to have heights that are within this confidence interval. Explain briefly whether Bubay is correct.

Question 1:
Part (a)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(z = 2.054\) or \(2.055\)B1 Accept 3 sf if nothing better seen (\(2.05\) or \(2.06\))
\(1.42 \pm z\dfrac{0.35}{\sqrt{150}}\)M1 Must be a \(z\) value
\(1.36\) to \(1.48\) [m] (3 sf)A1 Correct working only. Must be an interval
3
Part (b)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
No. CI is about mean, not individual values.B1 Or similar. Need both.
1
## Question 1:

### Part (a)

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| $z = 2.054$ or $2.055$ | **B1** | Accept 3 sf if nothing better seen ($2.05$ or $2.06$) |
| $1.42 \pm z\dfrac{0.35}{\sqrt{150}}$ | **M1** | Must be a $z$ value |
| $1.36$ to $1.48$ [m] (3 sf) | **A1** | Correct working only. Must be an interval |
| | **3** | |

### Part (b)

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| No. CI is about mean, not individual values. | **B1** | Or similar. Need both. |
| | **1** | |

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1 The heights of a certain species of deer are known to have standard deviation 0.35 m . A zoologist takes a random sample of 150 of these deer and finds that the mean height of the deer in the sample is 1.42 m .
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Calculate a 96\% confidence interval for the population mean height.
\item Bubay says that $96 \%$ of deer of this species are likely to have heights that are within this confidence interval.

Explain briefly whether Bubay is correct.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2024 Q1 [4]}}