CAIE S2 2020 June — Question 3 6 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2020
SessionJune
Marks6
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicApproximating the Poisson to the Normal distribution
TypeHypothesis test for sum of Poisson observations
DifficultyStandard +0.8 This question requires understanding that the sum of independent Poisson distributions is also Poisson, applying a normal approximation to Po(104) with continuity correction, and conducting a one-tailed hypothesis test. While the individual steps are standard S2 content, the multi-stage reasoning (recognizing the sum distribution, choosing appropriate approximation and continuity correction direction, and correct hypothesis test execution) elevates this above routine exercises.
Spec2.04d Normal approximation to binomial5.05c Hypothesis test: normal distribution for population mean

3 The number of customers who visit a particular shop between 9.00 am and 10.00 am has the distribution \(\operatorname { Po } ( \lambda )\). In the past the value of \(\lambda\) was 5.2. Following some new advertising, the manager wishes to test whether the value of \(\lambda\) has increased. He chooses a random sample of 20 days and finds that the total number of customers who visited the shop between 9.00 am and 10.00 am on those days is 125 . Use an approximating distribution to test at the \(2.5 \%\) significance level whether the value of \(\lambda\) has increased.

Question 3:
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(H_0: \lambda = 104\) (or 5.2), \(H_1: \lambda > 104\) (or 5.2)B1
\(N(104, 104)\) stated or impliedB1
\(\frac{124.5 - 104}{\sqrt{104}}\)M1
2.010A1
\(2.010 > 1.96\)M1
There is evidence that \(\lambda\) has increasedA1
## Question 3:

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $H_0: \lambda = 104$ (or 5.2), $H_1: \lambda > 104$ (or 5.2) | B1 | |
| $N(104, 104)$ stated or implied | B1 | |
| $\frac{124.5 - 104}{\sqrt{104}}$ | M1 | |
| 2.010 | A1 | |
| $2.010 > 1.96$ | M1 | |
| There is evidence that $\lambda$ has increased | A1 | |

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3 The number of customers who visit a particular shop between 9.00 am and 10.00 am has the distribution $\operatorname { Po } ( \lambda )$. In the past the value of $\lambda$ was 5.2. Following some new advertising, the manager wishes to test whether the value of $\lambda$ has increased. He chooses a random sample of 20 days and finds that the total number of customers who visited the shop between 9.00 am and 10.00 am on those days is 125 .

Use an approximating distribution to test at the $2.5 \%$ significance level whether the value of $\lambda$ has increased.\\

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2020 Q3 [6]}}