CAIE S2 2020 June — Question 2 5 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2020
SessionJune
Marks5
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear combinations of normal random variables
TypeComparison involving sums or multiples
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This question requires recognizing that comparing Y with W+X is equivalent to finding P(Y < W+X) or P(Y - W - X < 0), then applying the linear combination property that Y - W - X ~ N(μ_Y - μ_W - μ_X, σ²_Y + σ²_W + σ²_X), and finally standardizing to use normal tables. While it involves multiple steps, this is a standard application of a core S2 technique with no conceptual surprises, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec5.04b Linear combinations: of normal distributions

2 Each day at the gym, Sarah completes three runs. The distances, in metres, that she completes in the three runs have the independent distributions \(W \sim \mathrm {~N} ( 1520,450 ) , X \sim \mathrm {~N} ( 2250,720 )\) and \(Y \sim \mathrm {~N} ( 3860,1050 )\). Find the probability that, on a particular day, \(Y\) is less than the total of \(W\) and \(X\).

Question 2:
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
\(Y - W - X \sim N(90, \ldots)\)B1
\(\text{Var}(Y - W - X) = 1050 + 450 + 720\) or \(2220\)B1
\(\frac{0 - 90}{\sqrt{2220}}\) \((= -1.910)\)M1
\(\Phi(-1.910) = 1 - \Phi(1.910)\)M1
\(0.0281\)A1
Total: 5 marks
## Question 2:

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| $Y - W - X \sim N(90, \ldots)$ | B1 | |
| $\text{Var}(Y - W - X) = 1050 + 450 + 720$ or $2220$ | B1 | |
| $\frac{0 - 90}{\sqrt{2220}}$ $(= -1.910)$ | M1 | |
| $\Phi(-1.910) = 1 - \Phi(1.910)$ | M1 | |
| $0.0281$ | A1 | |

**Total: 5 marks**
2 Each day at the gym, Sarah completes three runs. The distances, in metres, that she completes in the three runs have the independent distributions $W \sim \mathrm {~N} ( 1520,450 ) , X \sim \mathrm {~N} ( 2250,720 )$ and $Y \sim \mathrm {~N} ( 3860,1050 )$.

Find the probability that, on a particular day, $Y$ is less than the total of $W$ and $X$.\\

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2020 Q2 [5]}}