| Exam Board | OCR MEI |
|---|---|
| Module | S1 (Statistics 1) |
| Marks | 4 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Independent Events |
| Type | Test independence using definition |
| Difficulty | Moderate -0.8 This is a straightforward probability question requiring counting outcomes from a given table and checking independence using P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B). Part (i) is simple counting, and part (ii) involves routine application of the independence formula with no conceptual challenges—easier than average A-level content. |
| Spec | 2.03a Mutually exclusive and independent events |
| Answer | Marks |
|---|---|
| (i) | 13 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | B1 | 1 |
| (ii) | 13 13 |
| Answer | Marks |
|---|---|
| So not independent. | 13 13 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| A1 | 3 | Do not allow these embedded in probability formulae |
| Also allow P(even | <10) = 6/13≠ P(even) = 1/2 | |
| Or P(<10 | even) = 6/8≠ P(<10) = 13/16 | |
| Or P(even | <10) = 6/13≠ P(even | <10’) = 2/3 |
| Or P(<10 | even) = 6/8≠ P(<10 | even’) = 7/8 |
| Answer | Marks |
|---|---|
| state both probabilities EG P(even | <10) and P(even) |
| Answer | Marks |
|---|---|
| TOTAL | 4 |
Question 6:
--- 6
(i) ---
6
(i) | 13
P(product of two scores < 10) = = 0.8125
16 | B1 | 1 | Allow 0.813 or 0.812
(ii) | 13 13
P(even) P(< 10) = 0.5 = = 0.40625
16 32
6
P(even ∩ < 10) = = 0.375
16
So not independent. | 13 13
M1 for 0.5 or
16 32
FT their answer to (i)
6
M1 for
16
A1 | 3 | Do not allow these embedded in probability formulae
Also allow P(even|<10) = 6/13≠ P(even) = 1/2
Or P(<10|even) = 6/8≠ P(<10) = 13/16
Or P(even|<10) = 6/13≠ P(even|<10’) = 2/3
Or P(<10|even) = 6/8≠ P(<10|even’) = 7/8
For all of these alternatives allow M2 for both
probabilities. (M1 not available except if they correctly
state both probabilities EG P(even|<10) and P(even)
and get one correct)
If they do not state what probabilities they are finding,
give M2 for one of the above pairs of probabilities
with ≠ symbol
TOTAL | 4
The table shows all the possible products of the scores on two fair four-sided dice.
\includegraphics{figure_6}
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Find the probability that the product of the two scores is less than 10. [1]
\item Show that the events 'the score on the first die is even' and 'the product of the scores on the two dice is less than 10' are not independent. [3]
\end{enumerate}
\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI S1 Q6 [4]}}