Edexcel S2 2024 October — Question 5

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2024
SessionOctober
PaperDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Probability Distributions and Random Variables
TypeFind or specify CDF
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This is a standard S2 question on piecewise probability density functions requiring integration to find the CDF and probability calculations. Part (a) is guided (show that), parts (b) and (c) involve routine integration and substitution with no conceptual challenges beyond careful bookkeeping of the piecewise cases.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03e Find cdf: by integration

  1. The continuous random variable \(X\) has a probability density function given by
$$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 1 } { 4 } ( 3 - x ) & 1 \leqslant x \leqslant 2 \\ \frac { 1 } { 4 } & 2 < x \leqslant 3 \\ \frac { 1 } { 4 } ( x - 2 ) & 3 < x \leqslant 4 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$ The cumulative distribution function of \(X\) is \(\mathrm { F } ( x )\)
  1. Show that \(\mathrm { F } ( x ) = \frac { 1 } { 4 } \left( 3 x - \frac { x ^ { 2 } } { 2 } \right) - \frac { 5 } { 8 }\) for \(1 \leqslant x \leqslant 2\)
  2. Find \(\mathrm { F } ( x )\) for all values of \(x\)
  3. Find \(\mathrm { P } ( 1.2 < X < 3.1 )\)

AnswerMarks Guidance
(a)\(\int_1^4 \frac{1}{4}(3-t) dt = \frac{1}{4}\left[3t - \frac{t^2}{2}\right]_1\) or \(\int_1^4(3-x) dx = \frac{1}{4}\left[3x - \frac{x^2}{2}\right] + C\) M1
\(\frac{1}{4}\left[\left(3x - \frac{x^2}{2}\right) - \left(3 - \frac{1}{2}\right)\right]\) or \(\frac{1}{4}\left[3(1) - \frac{(1)^2}{2}\right] + C = 0\) and \(C = -\frac{5}{8}\)A1*
Leading to \(\frac{1}{4}\left(3x - \frac{x^2}{2}\right) - \frac{5}{8}\) [for \(1_r, x_r, 2\)] * (2)
(b)\(\int_2 \frac{1}{4} dt + F(2)\) or \(\int_1 \frac{1}{4} dx\) and using \(+c\) with \(F(2) = \frac{3}{8}\) or \(0.25(x-2) + F(2)\) M1
\(\int_1 \frac{1}{4}(t-2) dt + F(3)\) or \(\int_1 \frac{1}{4}(x-2) dx\) and using \(+c\) with either \(F(3) = \frac{5}{8}\) or \(F(4) = 1\)M1
A1
A1
B1(5)
(c)\(P(1.2 < \bar{X} < 3.1) = F(3.1) - F(1.2)\) M1 A1
\(\left(\frac{1}{4}\left(\frac{(3.1)^2}{2} - 2(3.1)\right) + 1\right) - \left(\frac{1}{4}\left(3(1.2) - \frac{(1.2)^2}{2}\right) - \frac{5}{8}\right) = \frac{89}{160}\) awrt 0.556 (2)
Total9
Notes for Question 5:
- (a) M1: For a correct method for \(1_r, x_r, 2\) Condone poor notation e.g. \(\int_1 \frac{1}{4}(3-x) dx\)
- (a) A1*: A fully correct solution with substitution seen or \(C\) found leading to \(F(x) = \frac{1}{4}\left(3x - \frac{x^2}{2}\right) - \frac{5}{8}\)
- (b) M1: For a correct method for \(2 < x_r, 3\)
- (b) M1: For a correct method for \(3 < x_r, 4\)
- (b) A1: Third line correct including inequality. Allow \(<\) instead of \(\leq\)
- (b) A1: Fourth line correct including inequality. Allow \(<\) instead of \(\leq\)
- (b) B1: First and fifth line correct. Allow "otherwise" for the range on the first or fifth line but not both
- For use of \(F(3.1) - F(1.2)\) from the correct lines of their \(F(x)\) allow ft on their 4th line
- (c) M1: For use of \(f(x)\) or area e.g. \(\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{7}{10} \times 0.8 + 1 \times \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times 0.1\)
- (c) A1: For \(\frac{89}{160}\) oe or awrt 0.556 NB: Use of \(F(3.1)\) with \(\frac{1}{8}(2x-1)\) for \(2 < x_r, 3\) gives 0.555 and scores M0A0
| (a) | $\int_1^4 \frac{1}{4}(3-t) dt = \frac{1}{4}\left[3t - \frac{t^2}{2}\right]_1$ or $\int_1^4(3-x) dx = \frac{1}{4}\left[3x - \frac{x^2}{2}\right] + C$ | M1 |  |
| | $\frac{1}{4}\left[\left(3x - \frac{x^2}{2}\right) - \left(3 - \frac{1}{2}\right)\right]$ or $\frac{1}{4}\left[3(1) - \frac{(1)^2}{2}\right] + C = 0$ and $C = -\frac{5}{8}$ | A1* |  |
| | Leading to $\frac{1}{4}\left(3x - \frac{x^2}{2}\right) - \frac{5}{8}$ [for $1_r, x_r, 2$] * | | (2) |
| (b) | $\int_2 \frac{1}{4} dt + F(2)$ or $\int_1 \frac{1}{4} dx$ and using $+c$ with $F(2) = \frac{3}{8}$ or $0.25(x-2) + F(2)$ | M1 |  |
| | $\int_1 \frac{1}{4}(t-2) dt + F(3)$ or $\int_1 \frac{1}{4}(x-2) dx$ and using $+c$ with either $F(3) = \frac{5}{8}$ or $F(4) = 1$ | M1 |  |
| | | A1 |  |
| | | A1 |  |
| | | B1 | (5) |
| (c) | $P(1.2 < \bar{X} < 3.1) = F(3.1) - F(1.2)$ | M1 A1 |  |
| | $\left(\frac{1}{4}\left(\frac{(3.1)^2}{2} - 2(3.1)\right) + 1\right) - \left(\frac{1}{4}\left(3(1.2) - \frac{(1.2)^2}{2}\right) - \frac{5}{8}\right) = \frac{89}{160}$ awrt 0.556 | | (2) |
| | **Total** | **9** |  |

**Notes for Question 5:**

- **(a) M1:** For a correct method for $1_r, x_r, 2$ Condone poor notation e.g. $\int_1 \frac{1}{4}(3-x) dx$
- **(a) A1*:** A fully correct solution with substitution seen or $C$ found leading to $F(x) = \frac{1}{4}\left(3x - \frac{x^2}{2}\right) - \frac{5}{8}$
- **(b) M1:** For a correct method for $2 < x_r, 3$
- **(b) M1:** For a correct method for $3 < x_r, 4$
- **(b) A1:** Third line correct including inequality. Allow $<$ instead of $\leq$
- **(b) A1:** Fourth line correct including inequality. Allow $<$ instead of $\leq$
- **(b) B1:** First and fifth line correct. Allow "otherwise" for the range on the first or fifth line but not both
  - For use of $F(3.1) - F(1.2)$ from the correct lines of their $F(x)$ allow ft on their 4th line
- **(c) M1:** For use of $f(x)$ or area e.g. $\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{7}{10} \times 0.8 + 1 \times \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{1}{4} \times 0.1$
- **(c) A1:** For $\frac{89}{160}$ oe or awrt 0.556 NB: Use of $F(3.1)$ with $\frac{1}{8}(2x-1)$ for $2 < x_r, 3$ gives 0.555 and scores M0A0

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\begin{enumerate}
  \item The continuous random variable $X$ has a probability density function given by
\end{enumerate}

$$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} \frac { 1 } { 4 } ( 3 - x ) & 1 \leqslant x \leqslant 2 \\ \frac { 1 } { 4 } & 2 < x \leqslant 3 \\ \frac { 1 } { 4 } ( x - 2 ) & 3 < x \leqslant 4 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$$

The cumulative distribution function of $X$ is $\mathrm { F } ( x )$\\
(a) Show that $\mathrm { F } ( x ) = \frac { 1 } { 4 } \left( 3 x - \frac { x ^ { 2 } } { 2 } \right) - \frac { 5 } { 8 }$ for $1 \leqslant x \leqslant 2$\\
(b) Find $\mathrm { F } ( x )$ for all values of $x$\\
(c) Find $\mathrm { P } ( 1.2 < X < 3.1 )$

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S2 2024 Q5}}