Edexcel S2 2024 October — Question 4

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2024
SessionOctober
PaperDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Uniform Random Variables
TypeFind parameters from given statistics
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward S2 question on continuous uniform distributions requiring standard formulas for probability and variance, plus basic algebraic manipulation. Part (i) uses P(X>27) and Var(X) formulas to find a,b via simultaneous equations, part (b) solves a linear equation, and part (ii) applies the uniform distribution to a simple geometric context. All steps are routine applications of known techniques with no novel insight required.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration

    1. The continuous random variable \(X\) is uniformly distributed over the interval \([ a , b ]\)
Given that
  • \(\mathrm { P } ( X > 27 ) = \frac { 3 } { 4 }\)
  • \(\operatorname { Var } ( X ) = 300\)
    1. find the value of \(a\) and the value of \(b\)
Given also that $$4 \times \mathrm { P } ( X < k - 10 ) = \mathrm { P } ( X > k + 20 )$$
  • find the value of \(k\) (ii) A piece of wire of length 42 cm is cut into 2 pieces at a random point. Each of the two pieces of the wire is bent to form the outline of a square.
    Find the probability that the side length of the larger square minus the side length of the smaller square will be greater than 2 cm .

  • AnswerMarks Guidance
    (i)(a)\(\frac{b-27}{b-a} = \frac{3}{4}\) or \(\frac{27-a}{b-a} = \frac{1}{4}\) and \(\frac{(b-a)^2}{12} = 300\) M1M1
    \(a = 12\) and \(b = 72\)A1 (3)
    (b)\([4P(X < k-10) = P(X > k+20) \Rightarrow]\) \(4\left(\frac{k-10-'12'}{72-'(k+20)'}\right) = \frac{'72'-(k+20)}{72-'12'}\) M1
    \(4(k-22) = 52-k \Rightarrow k = 28\)A1 (2)
    (ii)\(L \sim U(21, 42)\) or \(L \sim U(0, 42)\) M1
    \(\frac{L}{4}\left(\frac{42-L}{4}\right) > 2\) or \(\left(\frac{42-L}{4}\right) \frac{L}{4} > 2\) or \(S-(10.5-S) > 2\)M1
    \(L > 25\) or \(L < 17\) or \(L > 25\)A1
    \(= (42-'25') \times \frac{1}{21}\)M1
    \(= ('17'-0) \times \frac{1}{42} + (42-'25') \times \frac{1}{42}\) or \(\frac{17}{21}\) oeA1 (4)
    Total9
    Notes for Question 4:
    - (i)(a) M1: For setting up a correct equation for the probability or the variance
    - (i)(a) M1: For setting up a correct equation for the probability and the variance
    - (i)(a) A1: For \(a = 12\) and \(b = 72\) (correct answers score 3 out of 3)
    - (b) M1: For an unsimplified equation ft their \(a\) and their \(b\)
    - (b) A1: Cao
    - (ii) M1: For \(\frac{L}{4}\left(\frac{42-L}{4}\right) > 2\) or \(\left(\frac{42-L}{4}\right) - \frac{L}{4} > 2\) or \(S-(10.5-S) > 2\) may be seen in a probability statement; may be implied by \(L > 25\) or \(L < 17\) or \(S > 6.25\)
    - (ii) A1: \(L > 25\) or \(L < 17\) or \(S > 6.25\) may be seen in a probability statement or implied by 2nd M1
    - (ii) M1: For use of \((42-'25') \times \frac{1}{21}\) or \(('17'-0) \times \frac{1}{42} + (42-'25') \times \frac{1}{42}\) or \((10.5-'6.25') \times \frac{1}{5.25}\)
    - (ii) A1: Allow awrt 0.81
    | (i)(a) | $\frac{b-27}{b-a} = \frac{3}{4}$ or $\frac{27-a}{b-a} = \frac{1}{4}$ and $\frac{(b-a)^2}{12} = 300$ | M1M1 |  |
    | | $a = 12$ and $b = 72$ | A1 | (3) |
    | (b) | $[4P(X < k-10) = P(X > k+20) \Rightarrow]$ $4\left(\frac{k-10-'12'}{72-'(k+20)'}\right) = \frac{'72'-(k+20)}{72-'12'}$ | M1 |  |
    | | $4(k-22) = 52-k \Rightarrow k = 28$ | A1 | (2) |
    | (ii) | $L \sim U(21, 42)$ or $L \sim U(0, 42)$ | M1 |  |
    | | $\frac{L}{4}\left(\frac{42-L}{4}\right) > 2$ or $\left(\frac{42-L}{4}\right) \frac{L}{4} > 2$ or $S-(10.5-S) > 2$ | M1 |  |
    | | $L > 25$ or $L < 17$ or $L > 25$ | A1 |  |
    | | $= (42-'25') \times \frac{1}{21}$ | M1 |  |
    | | $= ('17'-0) \times \frac{1}{42} + (42-'25') \times \frac{1}{42}$ or $\frac{17}{21}$ oe | A1 | (4) |
    | | **Total** | **9** |  |
    
    **Notes for Question 4:**
    
    - **(i)(a) M1:** For setting up a correct equation for the probability or the variance
    - **(i)(a) M1:** For setting up a correct equation for the probability **and** the variance
    - **(i)(a) A1:** For $a = 12$ and $b = 72$ (correct answers score 3 out of 3)
    - **(b) M1:** For an unsimplified equation ft their $a$ and their $b$
    - **(b) A1:** Cao
    - **(ii) M1:** For $\frac{L}{4}\left(\frac{42-L}{4}\right) > 2$ or $\left(\frac{42-L}{4}\right) - \frac{L}{4} > 2$ or $S-(10.5-S) > 2$ may be seen in a probability statement; may be implied by $L > 25$ or $L < 17$ or $S > 6.25$
    - **(ii) A1:** $L > 25$ or $L < 17$ or $S > 6.25$ may be seen in a probability statement or implied by 2nd M1
    - **(ii) M1:** For use of $(42-'25') \times \frac{1}{21}$ or $('17'-0) \times \frac{1}{42} + (42-'25') \times \frac{1}{42}$ or $(10.5-'6.25') \times \frac{1}{5.25}$
    - **(ii) A1:** Allow awrt 0.81
    
    ---
    \begin{enumerate}
      \item (i) The continuous random variable $X$ is uniformly distributed over the interval $[ a , b ]$
    \end{enumerate}
    
    Given that
    
    \begin{itemize}
      \item $\mathrm { P } ( X > 27 ) = \frac { 3 } { 4 }$
      \item $\operatorname { Var } ( X ) = 300$\\
    (a) find the value of $a$ and the value of $b$
    \end{itemize}
    
    Given also that
    
    $$4 \times \mathrm { P } ( X < k - 10 ) = \mathrm { P } ( X > k + 20 )$$
    
    (b) find the value of $k$\\
    (ii) A piece of wire of length 42 cm is cut into 2 pieces at a random point.
    
    Each of the two pieces of the wire is bent to form the outline of a square.\\
    Find the probability that the side length of the larger square minus the side length of the smaller square will be greater than 2 cm .
    
    \hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S2 2024 Q4}}