OCR FS1 AS 2017 December — Question 1

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleFS1 AS (Further Statistics 1 AS)
Year2017
SessionDecember
TopicBinomial Distribution
TypeGeometric distribution (first success)

1 Bill and Gill send letters to potential sponsors of a show. On past experience, they know that \(5 \%\) of letters receive a favourable reply.
  1. Bill sends a letter to each of 40 potential sponsors. Assuming that the number \(N\) of favourable responses can be modelled by a binomial distribution, find the mean and variance of \(N\).
  2. Gill sends one letter at a time to potential sponsors. \(L\) is the number of letters she sends, up to and including the first letter that receives a favourable response.
    (a) State two assumptions needed for \(L\) to be well modelled by a geometric distribution.
    (b) Using the assumptions in part (ii)(a), find the smallest number of letters that Gill has to send in order to have at least a \(90 \%\) chance of receiving at least one favourable reply.