OCR MEI Further Statistics Major 2021 November — Question 11 11 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleFurther Statistics Major (Further Statistics Major)
Year2021
SessionNovember
Marks11
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Probability Distributions and Random Variables
TypeFind multiple parameters from system
DifficultyChallenging +1.8 This is a challenging Further Maths statistics question requiring: (1) using continuity and E(X)=2 to solve a system for two parameters involving piecewise integration, (2) finding the median by solving F(x)=0.5 (likely requiring numerical/algebraic work across pieces), and (3) applying CLT for sample mean distribution. The multi-step parameter finding and piecewise integration across two domains with different forms elevates this significantly above standard A-level, though it follows established techniques without requiring novel insight.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.05a Sample mean distribution: central limit theorem

11 The continuous random variable \(X\) has probability density function given by \(f ( x ) = \begin{cases} a x ^ { 2 } & 0 \leqslant x < 2 , \\ b ( 3 - x ) ^ { 2 } & 2 \leqslant x \leqslant 3 , \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}\) where \(a\) and \(b\) are positive constants.
  1. Given that \(\mathrm { E } ( X ) = 2\), determine the values of \(a\) and \(b\).
  2. Determine the median value of \(X\).
  3. A random sample of 50 observations of \(X\) is selected. Given that \(\operatorname { Var } ( X ) = 0.2\), determine an estimate of the probability that the mean value of the 50 observations is less than 1.9.

Question 11:
AnswerMarks Guidance
11(a) F(3)=1⇒∫ 2 ax2 dx+∫ 3 b(3−x)2 dx=1
0 2
⇒ 8a+1b=1
3 3
E(X)=2⇒∫ 2 ax3dx+∫ 3 bx(3−x)2 dx=2
0 2
⇒4a+ 3b=2
4
a= 1, b=2
AnswerMarks
8M1
A1
M1
A1
A1
AnswerMarks
[5]3.1a
1.1
3.1a
1.1
1.1
AnswerMarks Guidance
11(b) F(2)=∫ 2 1x2 dx= 1
0 8 3
⇒∫ m 2(3−x)2 dx= 1
2 6
⇒−2(3−m)3+ 2 = 1
3 3 6
⇒(3−m)3 = 3 ⇒m=2.09 (2.0914…)
AnswerMarks
4B1
M1
A1
AnswerMarks
[3]3.1a
2.2a
AnswerMarks
1.1Or m=3−3 3
4
AnswerMarks Guidance
11(c) ( 0.2)
Using N 2,
50
N(2, 0.004)
AnswerMarks
Estimate P(Mean < 1.9) = 0.0569M1
M1
A1
AnswerMarks
[3]3.1a
1.1a
AnswerMarks
1.1For use of Normal distribution
For correct values
PMT
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Question 11:
11 | (a) | F(3)=1⇒∫ 2 ax2 dx+∫ 3 b(3−x)2 dx=1
0 2
⇒ 8a+1b=1
3 3
E(X)=2⇒∫ 2 ax3dx+∫ 3 bx(3−x)2 dx=2
0 2
⇒4a+ 3b=2
4
a= 1, b=2
8 | M1
A1
M1
A1
A1
[5] | 3.1a
1.1
3.1a
1.1
1.1
11 | (b) | F(2)=∫ 2 1x2 dx= 1
0 8 3
⇒∫ m 2(3−x)2 dx= 1
2 6
⇒−2(3−m)3+ 2 = 1
3 3 6
⇒(3−m)3 = 3 ⇒m=2.09 (2.0914…)
4 | B1
M1
A1
[3] | 3.1a
2.2a
1.1 | Or m=3−3 3
4
11 | (c) | ( 0.2)
Using N 2,
50
N(2, 0.004)
Estimate P(Mean < 1.9) = 0.0569 | M1
M1
A1
[3] | 3.1a
1.1a
1.1 | For use of Normal distribution
For correct values
PMT
OCR (Oxford Cambridge and RSA Examinations)
The Triangle Building
Shaftesbury Road
Cambridge
CB2 8EA
OCR Customer Contact Centre
Education and Learning
Telephone: 01223 553998
Facsimile: 01223 552627
Email: general.qualifications@ocr.org.uk
www.ocr.org.uk
For staff training purposes and as part of our quality assurance programme your call may be
recorded or monitored
11 The continuous random variable $X$ has probability density function given by\\
$f ( x ) = \begin{cases} a x ^ { 2 } & 0 \leqslant x < 2 , \\ b ( 3 - x ) ^ { 2 } & 2 \leqslant x \leqslant 3 , \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{cases}$\\
where $a$ and $b$ are positive constants.
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Given that $\mathrm { E } ( X ) = 2$, determine the values of $a$ and $b$.
\item Determine the median value of $X$.
\item A random sample of 50 observations of $X$ is selected.

Given that $\operatorname { Var } ( X ) = 0.2$, determine an estimate of the probability that the mean value of the 50 observations is less than 1.9.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI Further Statistics Major 2021 Q11 [11]}}