OCR MEI Further Statistics Minor 2020 November — Question 6 9 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleFurther Statistics Minor (Further Statistics Minor)
Year2020
SessionNovember
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicUniform Distribution
TypeDerive general variance formula
DifficultyChallenging +1.2 This is a multi-part question requiring derivation of variance formulas using standard summation formulas (ฮฃr and ฮฃrยฒ), then applying a linear transformation, and finally a straightforward calculation. While it requires algebraic manipulation and understanding of variance properties, the techniques are standard for Further Statistics and the question provides clear scaffolding through its parts. It's moderately above average difficulty due to the algebraic proof requirement and multi-step nature, but not exceptionally challenging for students at this level.
Spec5.02b Expectation and variance: discrete random variables5.02e Discrete uniform distribution

6
  1. The random variable \(X\) has a uniform distribution over the values \(\{ 1,2 , \ldots , n \}\). Show that \(\operatorname { Var } ( X )\) is given by \(\frac { 1 } { 12 } \left( n ^ { 2 } - 1 \right)\).
  2. The random variable \(Y\) has a uniform distribution over the values \(\{ 1,3,5 , \ldots , 2 n - 1 \}\). Using the result in part (a) or otherwise, show that \(\operatorname { Var } ( Y )\) is given by \(\frac { 1 } { 3 } \left( n ^ { 2 } - 1 \right)\).
  3. Given that \(n = 100\), find the least value of \(k\) for which \(\mathrm { P } ( \mu - k \sigma \leqslant Y \leqslant \mu + k \sigma ) = 1\), where the mean and standard deviation of \(Y\) are represented by \(\mu\) and \(\sigma\) respectively.

Question 6:
AnswerMarks Guidance
6(a) 2 1 2 2 2
E=(๐‘‹๐‘‹ ) = (1 +2 โ€ฆ๐‘™๐‘™ )
๐‘™๐‘™
1 ๐‘›๐‘›(๐‘›๐‘›+1)(2๐‘›๐‘›+1)
= ๐‘›๐‘› ๏ฟฝ 6 ๏ฟฝ
(๐‘›๐‘›+1)(2๐‘›๐‘›+1)
6
2
(๐‘™๐‘™+1)(2๐‘™๐‘™+1) ๐‘™๐‘™+1
Var(X)= โˆ’๏ฟฝ ๏ฟฝ
2 6 2 2
(4๐‘™๐‘™ +6๐‘™๐‘™+2) (3๐‘™๐‘™ +6๐‘™๐‘™+3)
= 1 (n2 โˆ’1) โˆ’
AnswerMarks
12 12 12B1
M1
A1
AnswerMarks
[3]3.1a
2.1
AnswerMarks
1.1For initial expression for E(X2)
using their E(X2) and correct E(X)
At least one constructive intermediate
step must be seen
AnswerMarks
AGterm may be implied
2
๐‘™๐‘™
AnswerMarks Guidance
6(b) Uniform {1, 3, 5, โ€ฆ, 2n โˆ’ 1} is a transformation of
Y = 2X โ€“ 1 of uniform {1, 2, โ€ฆ, n}
so Var(Y) = 22 Var(X) = 1(n2โˆ’1)
AnswerMarks
3M1
A1
AnswerMarks Guidance
[2]2.2a
1.1AG
6(c) E(Y) = ยต = n (= 100)
Var(Y) = 3333 or ฯƒ = 57.73
100 โ€“ 57.73k = 1 or 100 + 57.73k = 199
k = 1.715 [1.71, 1,72]
AnswerMarks
โ‡’B1
B1
M1
A1
AnswerMarks
[4]3.1a
1.1
2.2a
AnswerMarks
1.1100 substituted into 1(n2โˆ’1)
3
using their numerical E(Y) and
AnswerMarks
Var(Y)Allow inequalities
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Question 6:
6 | (a) | 2 1 2 2 2
E=(๐‘‹๐‘‹ ) = (1 +2 โ€ฆ๐‘™๐‘™ )
๐‘™๐‘™
1 ๐‘›๐‘›(๐‘›๐‘›+1)(2๐‘›๐‘›+1)
= ๐‘›๐‘› ๏ฟฝ 6 ๏ฟฝ
(๐‘›๐‘›+1)(2๐‘›๐‘›+1)
6
2
(๐‘™๐‘™+1)(2๐‘™๐‘™+1) ๐‘™๐‘™+1
Var(X)= โˆ’๏ฟฝ ๏ฟฝ
2 6 2 2
(4๐‘™๐‘™ +6๐‘™๐‘™+2) (3๐‘™๐‘™ +6๐‘™๐‘™+3)
= 1 (n2 โˆ’1) โˆ’
12 12 12 | B1
M1
A1
[3] | 3.1a
2.1
1.1 | For initial expression for E(X2)
using their E(X2) and correct E(X)
At least one constructive intermediate
step must be seen
AG | term may be implied
2
๐‘™๐‘™
6 | (b) | Uniform {1, 3, 5, โ€ฆ, 2n โˆ’ 1} is a transformation of
Y = 2X โ€“ 1 of uniform {1, 2, โ€ฆ, n}
so Var(Y) = 22 Var(X) = 1(n2โˆ’1)
3 | M1
A1
[2] | 2.2a
1.1 | AG
6 | (c) | E(Y) = ยต = n (= 100)
Var(Y) = 3333 or ฯƒ = 57.73
100 โ€“ 57.73k = 1 or 100 + 57.73k = 199
k = 1.715 [1.71, 1,72]
โ‡’ | B1
B1
M1
A1
[4] | 3.1a
1.1
2.2a
1.1 | 100 substituted into 1(n2โˆ’1)
3
using their numerical E(Y) and
Var(Y) | Allow inequalities
PPMMTT
OCR (Oxford Cambridge and RSA Examinations)
The Triangle Building
Shaftesbury Road
Cambridge
CB2 8EA
OCR Customer Contact Centre
Education and Learning
Telephone: 01223 553998
Facsimile: 01223 552627
Email: general.qualifications@ocr.org.uk
www.ocr.org.uk
For staff training purposes and as part of our quality assurance programme your call may be
recorded or monitored
6
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item The random variable $X$ has a uniform distribution over the values $\{ 1,2 , \ldots , n \}$. Show that $\operatorname { Var } ( X )$ is given by $\frac { 1 } { 12 } \left( n ^ { 2 } - 1 \right)$.
\item The random variable $Y$ has a uniform distribution over the values $\{ 1,3,5 , \ldots , 2 n - 1 \}$. Using the result in part (a) or otherwise, show that $\operatorname { Var } ( Y )$ is given by $\frac { 1 } { 3 } \left( n ^ { 2 } - 1 \right)$.
\item Given that $n = 100$, find the least value of $k$ for which $\mathrm { P } ( \mu - k \sigma \leqslant Y \leqslant \mu + k \sigma ) = 1$, where the mean and standard deviation of $Y$ are represented by $\mu$ and $\sigma$ respectively.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI Further Statistics Minor 2020 Q6 [9]}}