Edexcel S4 2011 June — Question 7 18 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS4 (Statistics 4)
Year2011
SessionJune
Marks18
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicF-test and chi-squared for variance
TypeChi-squared test then t-test sequential
DifficultyStandard +0.8 This S4 question requires chi-squared test for variance, then both z-test and t-test for means, followed by interpretation considering the variance test result. It involves multiple hypothesis tests with correct distribution selection, calculation from summary statistics, and critical thinking about test validity - substantially harder than typical A-level questions but standard for Further Maths S4.
Spec5.05c Hypothesis test: normal distribution for population mean

  1. A machine produces components whose lengths are normally distributed with mean 102.3 mm and standard deviation 2.8 mm . After the machine had been serviced, a random sample of 20 components were tested to see if the mean and standard deviation had changed. The lengths, \(x \mathrm {~mm}\), of each of these 20 components are summarised as
$$\sum x = 2072 \quad \sum x ^ { 2 } = 214856$$
  1. Stating your hypotheses clearly, test, at the \(5 \%\) level of significance, whether or not there is evidence of a change in standard deviation.
  2. Stating your hypotheses clearly, test, at the \(5 \%\) level of significance, whether or not the mean length of the components has changed from the original value of 102.3 mm using
    1. a normal distribution,
    2. a \(t\) distribution.
  3. Comment on the mean length of components produced after the service in the light of the tests from part (a) and part (b). Give a reason for your answer.

Question 7:
Part (a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(s_x^2 = \frac{214856 - 20 \times \left(\frac{2072}{20}\right)^2}{19} = 10.357...\) awrt 10.4B1
\(H_0: \sigma = 2.8\) (or \(\sigma^2 = ...\)) \(\quad H_1: \sigma \neq 2.8\) (or \(\sigma^2 \neq ...\))B1
\(\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\sigma^2} \sim \chi^2_{19}\), test statistic \(= 25.102...\) awrt 25.1M1A1 M1 for use of correct test statistic
\(\chi^2_{19}(0.025) = 32.852\), \(\quad \chi^2_{19}(0.975) = 8.907\)B1B1
Not significant so no evidence of a change in standard deviationA1
Part (b)(i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(H_0: \mu = 102.3 \quad H_1: \mu \neq 102.3\)B1
\(z = \frac{\frac{2072}{20} - 102.3}{\frac{2.8}{\sqrt{20}}} = 2.0763...\) aw rt 2.08M1A1 For use of correct test statistic
Critical value is \(z = 1.96\) or awrt \(0.019 < 0.025\)B1
So a significant result, there is evidence of a change in mean lengthA1ft
Part (b)(ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
\(t = \frac{\frac{2072}{20} - 102.3}{\sqrt{\frac{10.357...}{20}}} = 1.8064...\) awrt 1.81M1A1 For use of correct test statistic
Critical value of \(t_{19} = 2.093\)B1
Not significant, there is insufficient evidence of a change in mean lengthA1
Part (c):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
(a) suggests that \(\sigma\) is unchanged so can use \(\sigma = 2.8\) so normal test can be usedB1ft 1st B1 for reason for selecting (i) or (ii) based on conclusion from test in (a)
So using (i) conclude that there is evidence of an increase in mean lengthB1ft 2nd B1 for final conclusion about mean lengths based on (a) and (b); NB if both conclusions are the same it needs to be clear they have chosen (i)
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# Question 7:

## Part (a):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $s_x^2 = \frac{214856 - 20 \times \left(\frac{2072}{20}\right)^2}{19} = 10.357...$ awrt **10.4** | B1 | |
| $H_0: \sigma = 2.8$ (or $\sigma^2 = ...$) $\quad H_1: \sigma \neq 2.8$ (or $\sigma^2 \neq ...$) | B1 | |
| $\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\sigma^2} \sim \chi^2_{19}$, test statistic $= 25.102...$ awrt **25.1** | M1A1 | M1 for use of correct test statistic |
| $\chi^2_{19}(0.025) = 32.852$, $\quad \chi^2_{19}(0.975) = 8.907$ | B1B1 | |
| Not significant so no evidence of a change in standard deviation | A1 | |

## Part (b)(i):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $H_0: \mu = 102.3 \quad H_1: \mu \neq 102.3$ | B1 | |
| $z = \frac{\frac{2072}{20} - 102.3}{\frac{2.8}{\sqrt{20}}} = 2.0763...$ aw rt **2.08** | M1A1 | For use of correct test statistic |
| Critical value is $z = 1.96$ or awrt $0.019 < 0.025$ | B1 | |
| So a significant result, there is evidence of a change in mean length | A1ft | |

## Part (b)(ii):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $t = \frac{\frac{2072}{20} - 102.3}{\sqrt{\frac{10.357...}{20}}} = 1.8064...$ awrt **1.81** | M1A1 | For use of correct test statistic |
| Critical value of $t_{19} = 2.093$ | B1 | |
| Not significant, there is insufficient evidence of a change in mean length | A1 | |

## Part (c):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| (a) suggests that $\sigma$ is unchanged so can use $\sigma = 2.8$ so normal test can be used | B1ft | 1st B1 for reason for selecting (i) or (ii) based on conclusion from test in (a) |
| So using (i) conclude that there is evidence of an increase in mean length | B1ft | 2nd B1 for final conclusion about mean lengths based on (a) and (b); NB if both conclusions are the same it needs to be clear they have chosen (i) |

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\begin{enumerate}
  \item A machine produces components whose lengths are normally distributed with mean 102.3 mm and standard deviation 2.8 mm . After the machine had been serviced, a random sample of 20 components were tested to see if the mean and standard deviation had changed. The lengths, $x \mathrm {~mm}$, of each of these 20 components are summarised as
\end{enumerate}

$$\sum x = 2072 \quad \sum x ^ { 2 } = 214856$$

(a) Stating your hypotheses clearly, test, at the $5 \%$ level of significance, whether or not there is evidence of a change in standard deviation.\\
(b) Stating your hypotheses clearly, test, at the $5 \%$ level of significance, whether or not the mean length of the components has changed from the original value of 102.3 mm using\\
(i) a normal distribution,\\
(ii) a $t$ distribution.\\
(c) Comment on the mean length of components produced after the service in the light of the tests from part (a) and part (b). Give a reason for your answer.\\

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel S4 2011 Q7 [18]}}