Edexcel S4 2011 June — Question 4

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleS4 (Statistics 4)
Year2011
SessionJune
TopicHypothesis test of binomial distributions
TypeCalculate Type II error probability

4. A proportion \(p\) of letters sent by a company are incorrectly addressed and if \(p\) is thought to be greater than 0.05 then action is taken.
Using \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 } : p = 0.05\) and \(\mathrm { H } _ { 1 } : p > 0.05\), a manager from the company takes a random sample of 40 letters and rejects \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) if the number of incorrectly addressed letters is more than 3 .
  1. Find the size of this test.
  2. Find the probability of a Type II error in the case where \(p\) is in fact 0.10 Table 1 below gives some values, to 2 decimal places, of the power function of this test. \begin{table}[h]
    \(p\)0.0750.1000.1250.1500.1750.2000.225
    Power0.35\(s\)0.750.870.940.970.99
    \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 1}
    \end{table}
  3. Write down the value of \(s\). A visiting consultant uses an alternative system to test the same hypotheses. A sample of 15 letters is taken. If these are all correctly addressed then \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) is accepted. If 2 or more are found to have been incorrectly addressed then \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) is rejected. If only one is found to be incorrectly addressed then a further random sample of 15 is taken and \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) is rejected if 2 or more are found to have been incorrectly addressed in this second sample, otherwise \(\mathrm { H } _ { 0 }\) is accepted.
  4. Find the size of the test used by the consultant. \section*{Question 4 continues on page 8} For your convenience Table 1 is repeated here \begin{table}[h]
    \(p\)0.0750.1000.1250.1500.1750.2000.225
    Power0.35\(s\)0.750.870.940.970.99
    \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Table 1}
    \end{table} Figure 1 shows the graph of the power function of the test used by the consultant. \begin{figure}[h]
    \includegraphics[alt={},max width=\textwidth]{8dfc721d-4782-4482-9976-11189370f3b7-07_1712_1673_660_130} \captionsetup{labelformat=empty} \caption{Figure 1}
    \end{figure}
  5. On Figure 1 draw the graph of the power function of the manager's test.
    (2)
  6. State, giving your reasons, which test you would recommend.
    (2)