AQA S2 2010 January — Question 2 5 marks

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2010
SessionJanuary
Marks5
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicContinuous Uniform Random Variables
TypeMeasurement error modeling
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward continuous uniform distribution question requiring only standard formula application: E(T) = (a+b)/2, Var(T) = (b-a)²/12, and basic probability calculation using the uniform pdf. All parts are direct recall with minimal problem-solving, making it easier than average A-level questions.
Spec5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration

2 The error, in minutes, made by Paul in estimating the time that he takes to complete a college assignment may be modelled by the random variable \(T\) with probability density function $$f ( t ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { c c } \frac { 1 } { 30 } & - 5 \leqslant t \leqslant 25 \\ 0 & \text { otherwise } \end{array} \right.$$
  1. Find:
    1. \(\mathrm { E } ( T )\);
      (1 mark)
    2. \(\quad \operatorname { Var } ( T )\).
  2. Calculate the probability that Paul will make an error of magnitude at least 2 minutes when estimating the time that he takes to complete a given assignment.

Question 2(a)(i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(E(T) = \frac{1}{2}(25 + -5) = 10\)B1 CAO
Question 2(a)(ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(\text{Var}(T) = \frac{1}{12}(25 - -5)^2 = 75\)B1 CAO
Question 2(b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(P(-2 < T < 2) = \frac{2}{15}\) (OE)B1 Diagram optional
\(P(\text{magnitude at least 2 minutes}) = 1 - P(-2 < T < 2) = 1 - \frac{4}{30}\)M1
\(= \frac{13}{15}\) (OE) \(= 0.867\)A1 CAO (AWRT)
Alternative: \(P(T > 2) = \frac{23}{30}\ (0.766)\) or \(P(T < -2) = \frac{1}{10}\)B1
\(P(\text{magnitude at least 2}) = P(T<-2) + P(T>2) = \frac{13}{15}\) for M1A1
## Question 2(a)(i):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $E(T) = \frac{1}{2}(25 + -5) = 10$ | B1 | CAO |

## Question 2(a)(ii):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\text{Var}(T) = \frac{1}{12}(25 - -5)^2 = 75$ | B1 | CAO |

## Question 2(b):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $P(-2 < T < 2) = \frac{2}{15}$ (OE) | B1 | Diagram optional |
| $P(\text{magnitude at least 2 minutes}) = 1 - P(-2 < T < 2) = 1 - \frac{4}{30}$ | M1 | |
| $= \frac{13}{15}$ (OE) $= 0.867$ | A1 | CAO (AWRT) |
| **Alternative:** $P(T > 2) = \frac{23}{30}\ (0.766)$ or $P(T < -2) = \frac{1}{10}$ | B1 | |
| $P(\text{magnitude at least 2}) = P(T<-2) + P(T>2) = \frac{13}{15}$ | | for M1A1 |

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2 The error, in minutes, made by Paul in estimating the time that he takes to complete a college assignment may be modelled by the random variable $T$ with probability density function

$$f ( t ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { c c } 
\frac { 1 } { 30 } & - 5 \leqslant t \leqslant 25 \\
0 & \text { otherwise }
\end{array} \right.$$
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Find:
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item $\mathrm { E } ( T )$;\\
(1 mark)
\item $\quad \operatorname { Var } ( T )$.
\end{enumerate}\item Calculate the probability that Paul will make an error of magnitude at least 2 minutes when estimating the time that he takes to complete a given assignment.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA S2 2010 Q2 [5]}}