| Exam Board | AQA |
|---|---|
| Module | S2 (Statistics 2) |
| Year | 2010 |
| Session | January |
| Marks | 18 |
| Paper | Download PDF ↗ |
| Mark scheme | Download PDF ↗ |
| Topic | Continuous Probability Distributions and Random Variables |
| Type | Calculate and compare mean, median, mode |
| Difficulty | Standard +0.3 This is a standard S2 continuous probability distribution question requiring routine integration and application of standard formulas for expectation and variance. Parts (a)-(c) involve straightforward sketching and integration, part (d)(i) uses the variance formula Var(X) = E(X²) - [E(X)]², and parts (d)(ii)-(iii) apply linearity of expectation and variance properties—all textbook exercises with no novel problem-solving required, making it slightly easier than average. |
| Spec | 5.03a Continuous random variables: pdf and cdf5.03b Solve problems: using pdf5.03c Calculate mean/variance: by integration5.03d E(g(X)): general expectation formula |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Graph: curve from \((0, 0.5)\) to \((1, 1)\), then from \((1, 1)\) to \((2, 0)\) | B3 | B1 for axes; B1 for curve \((0, 0.5)\) to \((1, 1)\); B1 for curve \((1, 1)\) to \((2, 0)\) |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| \(P(X \leq 1) = \int_0^1 \frac{1}{2}(x^2 + 1)\,dx = \left[\frac{x^3}{6} + \frac{x}{2}\right]_0^1 = \frac{1}{6} + \frac{1}{2} = \frac{2}{3}\) | M1, A1, A1 | 0.667 |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| \(E(X^2) = \int_0^1 x^2 \times \frac{1}{2}(x^2+1)\,dx + \int_1^2 x^2(x-2)^2\,dx\) | M1 | both integrals seen |
| \(= \left[\frac{x^5}{10} + \frac{x^3}{6}\right]_{x=0}^{x=1} + \left[\frac{x^5}{5} - x^4 + \frac{4x^3}{3}\right]_{x=1}^{x=2}\) | A1A1 | |
| \(= \left(\frac{1}{10} + \frac{1}{6}\right) + \left(\left[\frac{32}{5} - 16 + \frac{32}{3}\right] - \left[\frac{1}{5} - 1 + \frac{4}{3}\right]\right) = \frac{4}{5}\) | m1, A1 | dep(M1); AG |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| \(E(X) = \frac{19}{24}\) and \(k\text{Var}(X) = 499\); \(\text{Var}(X) = E(X^2) - E^2(X) = \frac{4}{5} - \left(\frac{19}{24}\right)^2 = \frac{499}{2880}\) \((0.173)\); \(\Rightarrow k = 2880\) | M1, A1, A1 | CAO |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| \(E(5X^2 + 24X - 3) = 5E(X^2) + 24E(X) - 3 = 5 \times \frac{4}{5} + 24 \times \frac{19}{24} - 3 = 20\) | M1, A1 | CAO |
| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| \(\text{Var}(12X - 5) = 144\text{Var}(X) = 144 \times \frac{499}{2880} = \frac{499}{20}\) or \((24.95)\) | M1, A1 | CAO (AWFW 24.9 to 25) |
## Question 8(a):
| Graph: curve from $(0, 0.5)$ to $(1, 1)$, then from $(1, 1)$ to $(2, 0)$ | B3 | B1 for axes; B1 for curve $(0, 0.5)$ to $(1, 1)$; B1 for curve $(1, 1)$ to $(2, 0)$ |
## Question 8(b):
| $P(X \leq 1) = \int_0^1 \frac{1}{2}(x^2 + 1)\,dx = \left[\frac{x^3}{6} + \frac{x}{2}\right]_0^1 = \frac{1}{6} + \frac{1}{2} = \frac{2}{3}$ | M1, A1, A1 | 0.667 |
## Question 8(c):
| $E(X^2) = \int_0^1 x^2 \times \frac{1}{2}(x^2+1)\,dx + \int_1^2 x^2(x-2)^2\,dx$ | M1 | both integrals seen |
| $= \left[\frac{x^5}{10} + \frac{x^3}{6}\right]_{x=0}^{x=1} + \left[\frac{x^5}{5} - x^4 + \frac{4x^3}{3}\right]_{x=1}^{x=2}$ | A1A1 | |
| $= \left(\frac{1}{10} + \frac{1}{6}\right) + \left(\left[\frac{32}{5} - 16 + \frac{32}{3}\right] - \left[\frac{1}{5} - 1 + \frac{4}{3}\right]\right) = \frac{4}{5}$ | m1, A1 | dep(M1); AG |
## Question 8(d)(i):
| $E(X) = \frac{19}{24}$ and $k\text{Var}(X) = 499$; $\text{Var}(X) = E(X^2) - E^2(X) = \frac{4}{5} - \left(\frac{19}{24}\right)^2 = \frac{499}{2880}$ $(0.173)$; $\Rightarrow k = 2880$ | M1, A1, A1 | CAO |
## Question 8(d)(ii):
| $E(5X^2 + 24X - 3) = 5E(X^2) + 24E(X) - 3 = 5 \times \frac{4}{5} + 24 \times \frac{19}{24} - 3 = 20$ | M1, A1 | CAO |
## Question 8(d)(iii):
| $\text{Var}(12X - 5) = 144\text{Var}(X) = 144 \times \frac{499}{2880} = \frac{499}{20}$ or $(24.95)$ | M1, A1 | CAO (AWFW 24.9 to 25) |
8 The continuous random variable $X$ has probability density function given by
$$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = \left\{ \begin{array} { c c }
\frac { 1 } { 2 } \left( x ^ { 2 } + 1 \right) & 0 \leqslant x \leqslant 1 \\
( x - 2 ) ^ { 2 } & 1 \leqslant x \leqslant 2 \\
0 & \text { otherwise }
\end{array} \right.$$
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Sketch the graph of f.
\item Calculate $\mathrm { P } ( X \leqslant 1 )$.
\item Show that $\mathrm { E } \left( X ^ { 2 } \right) = \frac { 4 } { 5 }$.
\item \begin{enumerate}[label=(\roman*)]
\item Given that $\mathrm { E } ( X ) = \frac { 19 } { 24 }$ and that $\operatorname { Var } ( X ) = \frac { 499 } { k }$, find the numerical value of $k$.
\item Find $\mathrm { E } \left( 5 X ^ { 2 } + 24 X - 3 \right)$.
\item Find $\operatorname { Var } ( 12 X - 5 )$.
\end{enumerate}\end{enumerate}
\hfill \mbox{\textit{AQA S2 2010 Q8 [18]}}