AQA S1 2013 June — Question 5

Exam BoardAQA
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2013
SessionJune
TopicConditional Probability
TypeTree diagram with two-stage events

5 Alison is a member of a tenpin bowling club which meets at a bowling alley on Wednesday and Thursday evenings. The probability that she bowls on a Wednesday evening is 0.90 . Independently, the probability that she bowls on a Thursday evening is 0.95 .
  1. Calculate the probability that, during a particular week, Alison bowls on:
    1. two evenings;
    2. exactly one evening.
  2. David, a friend of Alison, is a member of the same club. The probability that he bowls on a Wednesday evening, given that Alison bowls on that evening, is 0.80 . The probability that he bowls on a Wednesday evening, given that Alison does not bowl on that evening, is 0.15 . The probability that he bowls on a Thursday evening, given that Alison bowls on that evening, is 1 . The probability that he bowls on a Thursday evening, given that Alison does not bowl on that evening, is 0 . Calculate the probability that, during a particular week:
    1. Alison and David bowl on a Wednesday evening;
    2. Alison and David bowl on both evenings;
    3. Alison, but not David, bowls on a Thursday evening;
    4. neither bowls on either evening.