Edexcel AS Paper 1 2020 June — Question 4 6 marks

Exam BoardEdexcel
ModuleAS Paper 1 (AS Paper 1)
Year2020
SessionJune
Marks6
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicCurve Sketching
TypeLinear modelling problems
DifficultyEasy -1.2 This is a straightforward linear modelling question requiring only basic coordinate geometry (finding equation of a line through two points) and simple interpretation. Part (a) involves calculating gradient and using y = mx + c with given data points. Part (b) requires only a basic comparison of predicted vs actual value. No complex problem-solving or novel insight needed—this is routine GCSE-level algebra dressed as an A-level context question.
Spec1.02z Models in context: use functions in modelling1.03a Straight lines: equation forms y=mx+c, ax+by+c=01.03c Straight line models: in variety of contexts

  1. In 1997 the average \(\mathrm { CO } _ { 2 }\) emissions of new cars in the UK was \(190 \mathrm {~g} / \mathrm { km }\).
In 2005 the average \(\mathrm { CO } _ { 2 }\) emissions of new cars in the UK had fallen to \(169 \mathrm {~g} / \mathrm { km }\).
Given \(\mathrm { Ag } / \mathrm { km }\) is the average \(\mathrm { CO } _ { 2 }\) emissions of new cars in the UK \(n\) years after 1997 and using a linear model,
  1. form an equation linking \(A\) with \(n\). In 2016 the average \(\mathrm { CO } _ { 2 }\) emissions of new cars in the UK was \(120 \mathrm {~g} / \mathrm { km }\).
  2. Comment on the suitability of your model in light of this information.

Question 4:
Part (a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
Attempts \(A = mn+c\) with either \((0,190)\) or \((8,169)\), or gradient \(m = \pm\frac{190-169}{8}\ (=-2.625)\)M1 Accept sight of \(190=0n+c\) or \(169=8m+c\) or \(A-169=m(n-8)\) or \(\pm2.625\) or \(\pm\frac{21}{8}\)
Full method to find both constants e.g. solves \(190=0n+c\) and \(169=8n+c\) simultaneouslydM1 Method 1: simultaneous equations. Method 2: gradient and point. Condone different variable names
\(A = -2.625n+190\)A1 Or \(A = -\frac{21}{8}n+190\) oe
Part (b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMark Guidance
Attempts \(A = -2.625\times19+190 = \ldots\)M1 Substitutes \(n=19\) into linear model. Alt: substitutes \(A=120\) to find \(n\)
\(A = 140.125 \text{ g km}^{-1}\)A1 Allow \(A=140\). Or \(n=26/27\) following \(A=120\)
It is predicting a much higher value and so is not suitableB1ft Requires correct calculation, correct statement and conclusion. Allow anything in \([114,126]\) as suitable. Values less than 108 or more than 132 should be justified as unsuitable. B0 for "recorded value does not equal predicted value"
## Question 4:

### Part (a):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts $A = mn+c$ with either $(0,190)$ or $(8,169)$, or gradient $m = \pm\frac{190-169}{8}\ (=-2.625)$ | M1 | Accept sight of $190=0n+c$ or $169=8m+c$ or $A-169=m(n-8)$ or $\pm2.625$ or $\pm\frac{21}{8}$ |
| Full method to find both constants e.g. solves $190=0n+c$ and $169=8n+c$ simultaneously | dM1 | Method 1: simultaneous equations. Method 2: gradient and point. Condone different variable names |
| $A = -2.625n+190$ | A1 | Or $A = -\frac{21}{8}n+190$ oe |

### Part (b):

| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts $A = -2.625\times19+190 = \ldots$ | M1 | Substitutes $n=19$ into linear model. Alt: substitutes $A=120$ to find $n$ |
| $A = 140.125 \text{ g km}^{-1}$ | A1 | Allow $A=140$. Or $n=26/27$ following $A=120$ |
| It is predicting a much higher value and so is not suitable | B1ft | Requires correct calculation, correct statement and conclusion. Allow anything in $[114,126]$ as suitable. Values less than 108 or more than 132 should be justified as unsuitable. B0 for "recorded value does not equal predicted value" |
\begin{enumerate}
  \item In 1997 the average $\mathrm { CO } _ { 2 }$ emissions of new cars in the UK was $190 \mathrm {~g} / \mathrm { km }$.
\end{enumerate}

In 2005 the average $\mathrm { CO } _ { 2 }$ emissions of new cars in the UK had fallen to $169 \mathrm {~g} / \mathrm { km }$.\\
Given $\mathrm { Ag } / \mathrm { km }$ is the average $\mathrm { CO } _ { 2 }$ emissions of new cars in the UK $n$ years after 1997 and using a linear model,\\
(a) form an equation linking $A$ with $n$.

In 2016 the average $\mathrm { CO } _ { 2 }$ emissions of new cars in the UK was $120 \mathrm {~g} / \mathrm { km }$.\\
(b) Comment on the suitability of your model in light of this information.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{Edexcel AS Paper 1 2020 Q4 [6]}}