OCR MEI D1 2009 January — Question 4

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleD1 (Decision Mathematics 1)
Year2009
SessionJanuary
TopicModelling and Hypothesis Testing
TypeSimulation with random numbers

4 A ski-lift gondola can carry 4 people. The weight restriction sign in the gondola says "4 people - 325 kg ". The table models the distribution of weights of people using the gondola.
\cline { 2 - 4 } \multicolumn{1}{c|}{}MenWomenChildren
Weight \(( \mathrm { kg } )\)908040
Probability\(\frac { 1 } { 2 }\)\(\frac { 1 } { 3 }\)\(\frac { 1 } { 6 }\)
  1. Give an efficient rule for using 2-digit random numbers to simulate the weight of a person entering the gondola.
  2. Give a reason for using 2-digit rather than 1-digit random numbers in these circumstances.
  3. Using the random numbers given in your answer book, simulate the weights of four people entering the gondola, and hence give its simulated load.
  4. Using the random numbers given in your answer book, repeat your simulation 9 further times. Hence estimate the probability of the load of a fully-laden gondola exceeding 325 kg .
  5. What in reality might affect the pattern of loading of a gondola which is not modelled by your simulation?