CAIE FP2 2013 November — Question 9 10 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleFP2 (Further Pure Mathematics 2)
Year2013
SessionNovember
Marks10
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicT-tests (unknown variance)
TypeSingle sample confidence interval t-distribution
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward application of a one-sample t-test with standard formulas for sample mean, sample variance, and confidence intervals. While it requires multiple steps (calculate statistics, perform hypothesis test, construct confidence interval), all procedures are routine and follow directly from textbook methods with no conceptual challenges or novel problem-solving required.
Spec5.05c Hypothesis test: normal distribution for population mean5.05d Confidence intervals: using normal distribution

9 A random sample of 9 observations of a normally distributed random variable \(X\) gave the following summarised data. $$\Sigma x = 94.5 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 993.6$$ Test, at the \(5 \%\) significance level, whether the population mean of \(X\) is 10.2 . Calculate a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean of \(X\).

Question 9:
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(\bar{x} = 94.5/9 = 10.5\)M1 Calculate sample mean
\(s^2 = (993.6 - 94.5^2/9)/8 = 0.16875\) or \(0.4108^2\)M1 Estimate population variance (allow biased: \(0.15\) or \(0.3873^2\))
\(H_0: \mu = 10.2,\ H_1: \mu \neq 10.2\)B1 State hypotheses (A.E.F.)
\(t = (\bar{x} - 10.2)/(s/\sqrt{9}) = 2.19\)M1 *A1 Calculate value of \(t\) (to 3 s.f.)
\(t_{8,\ 0.975} = 2.306\)*B1 State or use correct tabular \(t\) value (or compare \(\bar{x}\) with \(10.2 + 0.316 = 10.52\))
Population mean is \(10.2\)B1 Correct conclusion (AEF, dep *A1, *B1)
\(10.5 \pm t\sqrt{\{1.35/(8 \times 9)\}}\)M1 Find confidence interval (allow \(z\) in place of \(t\))
\(t_{8,\ 0.95} = 1.86[0]\)A1 Use correct tabular value
\(10.5 \pm 0.255\) or \([10.2,\ 10.8]\)A1 Evaluate C.I. correct to 3 s.f.
## Question 9:

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\bar{x} = 94.5/9 = 10.5$ | M1 | Calculate sample mean |
| $s^2 = (993.6 - 94.5^2/9)/8 = 0.16875$ or $0.4108^2$ | M1 | Estimate population variance (allow biased: $0.15$ or $0.3873^2$) |
| $H_0: \mu = 10.2,\ H_1: \mu \neq 10.2$ | B1 | State hypotheses (A.E.F.) |
| $t = (\bar{x} - 10.2)/(s/\sqrt{9}) = 2.19$ | M1 *A1 | Calculate value of $t$ (to 3 s.f.) |
| $t_{8,\ 0.975} = 2.306$ | *B1 | State or use correct tabular $t$ value (or compare $\bar{x}$ with $10.2 + 0.316 = 10.52$) |
| Population mean is $10.2$ | B1 | Correct conclusion (AEF, dep *A1, *B1) |
| $10.5 \pm t\sqrt{\{1.35/(8 \times 9)\}}$ | M1 | Find confidence interval (allow $z$ in place of $t$) |
| $t_{8,\ 0.95} = 1.86[0]$ | A1 | Use correct tabular value |
| $10.5 \pm 0.255$ or $[10.2,\ 10.8]$ | A1 | Evaluate C.I. correct to 3 s.f. |

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9 A random sample of 9 observations of a normally distributed random variable $X$ gave the following summarised data.

$$\Sigma x = 94.5 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 993.6$$

Test, at the $5 \%$ significance level, whether the population mean of $X$ is 10.2 .

Calculate a $90 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean of $X$.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE FP2 2013 Q9 [10]}}