10 The continuous random variable \(X\) has probability density function given by
$$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = \begin{cases} 0 & x < 0 , \\ \frac { a } { 2 ^ { x } } & x \geqslant 0 , \end{cases}$$
where \(a\) is a positive constant. By expressing \(2 ^ { x }\) in the form \(\mathrm { e } ^ { k x }\), where \(k\) is a constant, show that \(X\) has a negative exponential distribution, and find the value of \(a\).
State the value of \(\mathrm { E } ( X )\).
The variable \(Y\) is related to \(X\) by \(Y = 2 ^ { X }\). Find the distribution function of \(Y\) and hence find its probability density function.
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Question 10:
Answer Marks
Guidance
Answer/Working Mark
Guidance
\(f(x) = ae^{-kx}\); \(k = \ln 2\) M1; A1
Replace \(2^x\) by \(e^{kx}\) to find \(k\)
\([-(a/k)e^{-kx}]_0^\infty = 1\), \(a = k\) or \(\ln 2\) M1 A1
Show \(a = k\) by e.g. \(\int_0^\infty f(x) = 1\)
\(E(X) = 1/\ln 2\) or \(1.44\) B1
State value of \(E(X)\); Part total: 4 then 1
\(G(y) = P(Y \leq y) = P(X \leq k^{-1}\ln y)\) M1 A1
Find distribution fn \(G\) of \(Y\)
\(= F(k^{-1}\ln y) = (a/k)(1 - e^{-\ln y})\) M1 A1
\(= 1 - 1/y\) (CAO) A1
\(g(y) = 1/y^2\) (CAO) M1 A1
Find probability density function \(g\) of \(Y\)
\(y \geq 1\) B1
State interval for either \(G\) or \(g\); Part total: 8
Total: 13
Question 11a:
EITHER approach:
Answer Marks
Observe or deduce when \(R_B\) is maximised: \(R_{B,max}\) occurs when dog at \(B\) M1
Moments for ladder about \(A\): \(6a R_{B,max} = 4aW + 8a \times \frac{1}{4}W\) M1
OR approach:
Answer Marks
Guidance
Moments when dog is \(x\) hor. from wall: \(6a R_B = 4aW + (8a-x)\frac{1}{4}W\) (M1)
Deduce limit on \(R_B\): \(R_{B,max}\) occurs when dog at \(B\) (M1)
Find max. value of \(R_B\): \(R_{B,max} = W\) A1
Resolve horizontally for ladder \(AB\): \(F_A = R_B\) B1
Resolve vertically for ladder \(AB\): \(R_A = W + \frac{1}{4}W\ [= \frac{5W}{4}]\) B1
Find bound on \(\mu\) from \(F_A \leq \mu R_A\): \(\mu \geq F_A / R_A \geq R_{B,max} / (\frac{5W}{4})\) M1
\(\mu \geq \frac{4}{5}\) A.G. A1
7 marks
Find friction \(F_{cube}\) along \(DE\) by hor. resolution: \(F_{cube} = F_A\ or\ R_B\) B1
Find reaction \(R_{cube}\) from floor by vert. resolution: \(R_{cube} = W + \frac{1}{4}W + kW\) B1
Show that \(F_{cube} \leq \mu R_{cube}\): \(\mu R_{cube} \geq W + \frac{4kW}{5} \geq W\)
\(= R_{B,max} \geq F_{cube}\) M1 A1
4 marks
Find moments about \(D\) opposing effect of \(R_{cube}\): \(2akW + \frac{a5W}{4} - 4a F_A\) M1
Find smallest value of \(k\) for which moments \(\geq 0\): \(\frac{(4W - 5W/4)}{2W} = \frac{11}{8}\) M1 A1
3 marks
Question 11b:
Answer Marks
State hypotheses: \(H_0: \mu_2 = \mu_1,\quad H_1: \mu_2 > \mu_1\) B1
Calculate \(\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2\) (M1 for either): \(8.24,\ 4.62[4]\) M1
*or* estimate variances: \(0.168\ or\ 0.165,\ 0.0784\ or\ 0.0771\) M1 A1 A1
Find \(s^2\) (M0 if inconsistent denominators used): \(s^2 = \frac{0.168}{50} + \frac{0.0784}{60}\)
\(or\ \frac{0.165}{49} + \frac{0.0771}{59}\)
Answer Marks
Guidance
\([= 0.00467]\) *M1
Find value of \(z\) (dep *M1): \(z = \frac{(1803.6/60 - 1492.0/50)}{s}\) M1
\(= \frac{(30.06 - 29.84)}{0.0683} = 3.22\) *A1
S.R. Using pooled estimate of variance: \(s^2 = \frac{(8.24 + 4.62)}{108} = 0.119\)(M0)
\(z = \frac{0.22}{s\sqrt{(1/50 + 1/60)}} = 3.33\) (B1)
Find tabular value (to 2 dp): \(\Phi^{-1}(0.98) = 2.05[4]\) *B1
Compare values for conclusion (A1 dep *A1, *B1): \(\mu_2 > \mu_1\) (A.E.F., M1\(\sqrt{}\) on values) M1\(\sqrt{}\) A1
10 marks
Find limiting value of \(z\) (to 2 dp): \(z = \frac{(0.22 - 0.1)}{s} = 1.756\) M1 A1
Find \(\Phi(z)\) and hence values of \(\alpha\) (to 1 dp): \(\Phi(z) = 0.9604,\ \alpha \geq 3.9\ or\ 4.0\) M1 A1
\(s^2 = 0.119\) gives: \(z = 1.816,\ \alpha \geq 3.47\) (M1 M1)
4 marks
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## Question 10:
| Answer/Working | Mark | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $f(x) = ae^{-kx}$; $k = \ln 2$ | M1; A1 | Replace $2^x$ by $e^{kx}$ to find $k$ |
| $[-(a/k)e^{-kx}]_0^\infty = 1$, $a = k$ or $\ln 2$ | M1 A1 | Show $a = k$ by e.g. $\int_0^\infty f(x) = 1$ |
| $E(X) = 1/\ln 2$ or $1.44$ | B1 | State value of $E(X)$; **Part total: 4 then 1** |
| $G(y) = P(Y \leq y) = P(X \leq k^{-1}\ln y)$ | M1 A1 | Find distribution fn $G$ of $Y$ |
| $= F(k^{-1}\ln y) = (a/k)(1 - e^{-\ln y})$ | M1 A1 | |
| $= 1 - 1/y$ (CAO) | A1 | |
| $g(y) = 1/y^2$ (CAO) | M1 A1 | Find probability density function $g$ of $Y$ |
| $y \geq 1$ | B1 | State interval for either $G$ or $g$; **Part total: 8** |
| | | **Total: 13** |
# Question 11a:
**EITHER approach:**
Observe or deduce when $R_B$ is maximised: $R_{B,max}$ occurs when dog at $B$ | M1 |
Moments for ladder about $A$: $6a R_{B,max} = 4aW + 8a \times \frac{1}{4}W$ | M1 |
**OR approach:**
Moments when dog is $x$ hor. from wall: $6a R_B = 4aW + (8a-x)\frac{1}{4}W$ | (M1) |
Deduce limit on $R_B$: $R_{B,max}$ occurs when dog at $B$ | (M1) |
Find max. value of $R_B$: $R_{B,max} = W$ | A1 |
Resolve horizontally for ladder $AB$: $F_A = R_B$ | B1 |
Resolve vertically for ladder $AB$: $R_A = W + \frac{1}{4}W\ [= \frac{5W}{4}]$ | B1 |
Find bound on $\mu$ from $F_A \leq \mu R_A$: $\mu \geq F_A / R_A \geq R_{B,max} / (\frac{5W}{4})$ | M1 |
$\mu \geq \frac{4}{5}$ **A.G.** | A1 | **7 marks**
Find friction $F_{cube}$ along $DE$ by hor. resolution: $F_{cube} = F_A\ or\ R_B$ | B1 |
Find reaction $R_{cube}$ from floor by vert. resolution: $R_{cube} = W + \frac{1}{4}W + kW$ | B1 |
Show that $F_{cube} \leq \mu R_{cube}$: $\mu R_{cube} \geq W + \frac{4kW}{5} \geq W$ | |
$= R_{B,max} \geq F_{cube}$ | M1 A1 | **4 marks**
Find moments about $D$ opposing effect of $R_{cube}$: $2akW + \frac{a5W}{4} - 4a F_A$ | M1 |
Find smallest value of $k$ for which moments $\geq 0$: $\frac{(4W - 5W/4)}{2W} = \frac{11}{8}$ | M1 A1 | **3 marks** | **[14]**
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# Question 11b:
State hypotheses: $H_0: \mu_2 = \mu_1,\quad H_1: \mu_2 > \mu_1$ | B1 |
Calculate $\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2$ (M1 for either): $8.24,\ 4.62[4]$ | M1 |
*or* estimate variances: $0.168\ or\ 0.165,\ 0.0784\ or\ 0.0771$ | M1 A1 A1 |
Find $s^2$ (M0 if inconsistent denominators used): $s^2 = \frac{0.168}{50} + \frac{0.0784}{60}$
$or\ \frac{0.165}{49} + \frac{0.0771}{59}$
$[= 0.00467]$ | *M1 |
Find value of $z$ (dep *M1): $z = \frac{(1803.6/60 - 1492.0/50)}{s}$ | M1 |
$= \frac{(30.06 - 29.84)}{0.0683} = 3.22$ | *A1 |
**S.R.** Using pooled estimate of variance: $s^2 = \frac{(8.24 + 4.62)}{108} = 0.119$ | (M0) |
$z = \frac{0.22}{s\sqrt{(1/50 + 1/60)}} = 3.33$ | (B1) |
Find tabular value (to 2 dp): $\Phi^{-1}(0.98) = 2.05[4]$ | *B1 |
Compare values for conclusion (A1 dep *A1, *B1): $\mu_2 > \mu_1$ (A.E.F., M1$\sqrt{}$ on values) | M1$\sqrt{}$ A1 | **10 marks**
Find limiting value of $z$ (to 2 dp): $z = \frac{(0.22 - 0.1)}{s} = 1.756$ | M1 A1 |
Find $\Phi(z)$ and hence values of $\alpha$ (to 1 dp): $\Phi(z) = 0.9604,\ \alpha \geq 3.9\ or\ 4.0$ | M1 A1 |
$s^2 = 0.119$ gives: $z = 1.816,\ \alpha \geq 3.47$ | (M1 M1) | **4 marks** | **[14]**
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10 The continuous random variable $X$ has probability density function given by
$$\mathrm { f } ( x ) = \begin{cases} 0 & x < 0 , \\ \frac { a } { 2 ^ { x } } & x \geqslant 0 , \end{cases}$$
where $a$ is a positive constant. By expressing $2 ^ { x }$ in the form $\mathrm { e } ^ { k x }$, where $k$ is a constant, show that $X$ has a negative exponential distribution, and find the value of $a$.
State the value of $\mathrm { E } ( X )$.
The variable $Y$ is related to $X$ by $Y = 2 ^ { X }$. Find the distribution function of $Y$ and hence find its probability density function.
\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE FP2 2008 Q10 [13]}}