10 Samples of rock from a number of geological sites were analysed for the quantities of two types, \(X\) and \(Y\), of rare minerals. The results, in milligrams, for 10 randomly chosen samples, each of 10 kg , are summarised as follows.
$$\Sigma x = 866 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 121276 \quad \Sigma y = 639 \quad \Sigma y ^ { 2 } = 55991 \quad \Sigma x y = 73527$$
Find the product moment correlation coefficient.
Stating your hypotheses, test at the \(5 \%\) significance level whether there is non-zero correlation between quantities of the two rare minerals.
Find the equation of the regression line of \(x\) on \(y\) in the form \(x = p y + q\), where \(p\) and \(q\) are constants to be determined.
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Question 10:
Answer Marks
Guidance
Answer/Working Marks
Guidance
\(r = (73527 - 866 \times 639/10) / \sqrt{\{(121276 - 866^2/10)(55991 - 639^2/10)\}}\) M1 A1
A.E.F.; A0 if only 3 s.f. clearly used
\(= 18189.6 / \sqrt{(46280.4 \times 15158.9)}\) A1
\(= 0.687\) *A1
4 marks
\(H_0\): \(\rho = 0\), \(H_1\): \(\rho \neq 0\) B1
\(r_{10, 5\%} = 0.632\) *B1
Reject \(H_0\) if \( r
>\) tabular value
There is non-zero correlation A1
A.E.F., dep *A1, *B1
4 marks
\(p = 18189.6 / 15158.9 = 1.20\) B1
Gradient \(p\) in \(x - \bar{x} = p(y - \bar{y})\)
\(x = 86.6 + 1.20(y - 63.9)\)
\(= 1.20y + 9.92\) M1 A1
3 marks, Total: 11
Question 11A (i):
Answer Marks
Guidance
Answer/Working Marks
Guidance
\(AB = \sqrt{(4a^2 + 12a^2)} = 4a\) M1 A1
A.G.
\(\angle CAB = \sin^{-1} 2a\sqrt{3}/4a\) or \(\cos^{-1} 2a/4a\) or \(\tan^{-1} 2a\sqrt{3}/2a\)
\(= 60°\) so \(\angle SAB = 30°\) M1 A1
A.G.
4 marks
Question 11A (ii):
Answer Marks
Guidance
Answer/Working Marks
Guidance
\(\frac{1}{2}N_A + \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}N_B + \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}F_A = W\) M1 A1
Resolve vertically and horizontally; \(F_A\) may be in either direction
and \(\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}N_A = \frac{1}{2}N_B + \frac{1}{2}F_A\)
\(N_A = \frac{1}{2}W\) A1
A.G.
3 marks
Question 11A (iii):
Answer Marks
Guidance
Answer/Working Marks
Guidance
\(N_A = \frac{1}{2}W\) (M1 A1)
Resolve in dirn. \(PQ\) to find \(N_A\); A.G.
\(N_B + F_A = \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W\) (A1)
Second resolution e.g. in dirn. \(PS\)
\(\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W \times 3a/2 + \frac{1}{2}W \times (2\sqrt{3}-3)a = N_B \times 2a\) M1 A1 A1
Take moments e.g. about \(A\); A1 for each side of equation
\(N_B = \{(7\sqrt{3}-6)/8\}W\) M1 A1
\(F_A = \sqrt{3}N_A - N_B\) or \(\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W - N_B\)
\(= \{3(2-\sqrt{3})/8\}W\) M1 A1
A.E.F.
7 marks, Total: 14
Question 11B:
Answer Marks
Guidance
Answer/Working Marks
Guidance
\(s_P^2 = (236.0 - 42.8^2/8)/7\)
\(= 351/350\) or \(1.003\) or \(1.001^2\) M1
allow biased: \(0.8775\) or \(0.9367^2\)
\(42.8/8 \pm t\sqrt{(s_P^2/8)}\) M1
allow \(z\) in place of \(t\)
\(t_{7,\, 0.975} = 2.365\) A1
\(5.35 \pm 0.84\) or \([4.51, 6.19]\) A1
4 marks
\((5.35 - k)/\sqrt{(s_P^2/8)} \geqslant [\text{or} >] \, t\) M1
Formulate inequality for \(k\)
\(t_{7,\, 0.9} = 1.415\) A1
\(5.35 - k \geqslant 0.50\), \(k_{\max} = 4.85\) A1
A0 if \(=\) or \(\leqslant\) was used for \(k\) above
3 marks
\(H_0\): \(\mu_P = \mu_Q\), \(H_1\): \(\mu_P > \mu_Q\) B1
Normal distributions for \([P\) and\(]\) \(Q\) and equal variances B1
State assumption A.E.F.
\(s^2 = (7 \times 1.003 + 11 \times 1.962)/18\)
\(= 1.589\) or \(1.261^2\) M1 A1
Pooled common variance
\(t = (5.35 - 4.60)/(s\sqrt{(1/8 + 1/12)})\)
\(= 1.30\) M1 A1
\(t < t_{18,\, 0.9} = 1.33\) so \(Q\)'s mean is not less than \(P\)'s B1\(\checkmark\)
A.E.F., \(\checkmark\) on \(t\)
7 marks, Total: 14
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# Question 10:
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $r = (73527 - 866 \times 639/10) / \sqrt{\{(121276 - 866^2/10)(55991 - 639^2/10)\}}$ | M1 A1 | A.E.F.; A0 if only 3 s.f. clearly used |
| $= 18189.6 / \sqrt{(46280.4 \times 15158.9)}$ | A1 | |
| $= 0.687$ | *A1 | |
| | | 4 marks |
| $H_0$: $\rho = 0$, $H_1$: $\rho \neq 0$ | B1 | |
| $r_{10, 5\%} = 0.632$ | *B1 | |
| Reject $H_0$ if $|r| >$ tabular value | M1 | |
| There is non-zero correlation | A1 | A.E.F., dep *A1, *B1 |
| | | 4 marks |
| $p = 18189.6 / 15158.9 = 1.20$ | B1 | Gradient $p$ in $x - \bar{x} = p(y - \bar{y})$ |
| $x = 86.6 + 1.20(y - 63.9)$ | | |
| $= 1.20y + 9.92$ | M1 A1 | |
| | | 3 marks, Total: 11 |
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# Question 11A (i):
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $AB = \sqrt{(4a^2 + 12a^2)} = 4a$ | M1 A1 | A.G. |
| $\angle CAB = \sin^{-1} 2a\sqrt{3}/4a$ or $\cos^{-1} 2a/4a$ or $\tan^{-1} 2a\sqrt{3}/2a$ | | |
| $= 60°$ so $\angle SAB = 30°$ | M1 A1 | A.G. |
| | | 4 marks |
## Question 11A (ii):
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\frac{1}{2}N_A + \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}N_B + \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}F_A = W$ | M1 A1 | Resolve vertically and horizontally; $F_A$ may be in either direction |
| and $\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}N_A = \frac{1}{2}N_B + \frac{1}{2}F_A$ | | |
| $N_A = \frac{1}{2}W$ | A1 | A.G. |
| | | 3 marks |
## Question 11A (iii):
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $N_A = \frac{1}{2}W$ | (M1 A1) | Resolve in dirn. $PQ$ to find $N_A$; A.G. |
| $N_B + F_A = \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W$ | (A1) | Second resolution e.g. in dirn. $PS$ |
| $\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W \times 3a/2 + \frac{1}{2}W \times (2\sqrt{3}-3)a = N_B \times 2a$ | M1 A1 A1 | Take moments e.g. about $A$; A1 for each side of equation |
| $N_B = \{(7\sqrt{3}-6)/8\}W$ | M1 A1 | |
| $F_A = \sqrt{3}N_A - N_B$ or $\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W - N_B$ | | |
| $= \{3(2-\sqrt{3})/8\}W$ | M1 A1 | A.E.F. |
| | | 7 marks, Total: 14 |
---
# Question 11B:
| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $s_P^2 = (236.0 - 42.8^2/8)/7$ | | |
| $= 351/350$ or $1.003$ or $1.001^2$ | M1 | allow biased: $0.8775$ or $0.9367^2$ |
| $42.8/8 \pm t\sqrt{(s_P^2/8)}$ | M1 | allow $z$ in place of $t$ |
| $t_{7,\, 0.975} = 2.365$ | A1 | |
| $5.35 \pm 0.84$ or $[4.51, 6.19]$ | A1 | |
| | | 4 marks |
| $(5.35 - k)/\sqrt{(s_P^2/8)} \geqslant [\text{or} >] \, t$ | M1 | Formulate inequality for $k$ |
| $t_{7,\, 0.9} = 1.415$ | A1 | |
| $5.35 - k \geqslant 0.50$, $k_{\max} = 4.85$ | A1 | A0 if $=$ or $\leqslant$ was used for $k$ above |
| | | 3 marks |
| $H_0$: $\mu_P = \mu_Q$, $H_1$: $\mu_P > \mu_Q$ | B1 | |
| Normal distributions for $[P$ and$]$ $Q$ and equal variances | B1 | State assumption A.E.F. |
| $s^2 = (7 \times 1.003 + 11 \times 1.962)/18$ | | |
| $= 1.589$ or $1.261^2$ | M1 A1 | Pooled common variance |
| $t = (5.35 - 4.60)/(s\sqrt{(1/8 + 1/12)})$ | | |
| $= 1.30$ | M1 A1 | |
| $t < t_{18,\, 0.9} = 1.33$ so $Q$'s mean is not less than $P$'s | B1$\checkmark$ | A.E.F., $\checkmark$ on $t$ |
| | | 7 marks, Total: 14 |
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10 Samples of rock from a number of geological sites were analysed for the quantities of two types, $X$ and $Y$, of rare minerals. The results, in milligrams, for 10 randomly chosen samples, each of 10 kg , are summarised as follows.
$$\Sigma x = 866 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 121276 \quad \Sigma y = 639 \quad \Sigma y ^ { 2 } = 55991 \quad \Sigma x y = 73527$$
Find the product moment correlation coefficient.
Stating your hypotheses, test at the $5 \%$ significance level whether there is non-zero correlation between quantities of the two rare minerals.
Find the equation of the regression line of $x$ on $y$ in the form $x = p y + q$, where $p$ and $q$ are constants to be determined.
\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE FP2 2014 Q10 [11]}}