CAIE FP2 2014 June — Question 10 11 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleFP2 (Further Pure Mathematics 2)
Year2014
SessionJune
Marks11
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicHypothesis test of Pearson’s product-moment correlation coefficient
TypeCalculate PMCC from summary statistics
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward application of standard formulas for PMCC, hypothesis testing, and regression. While it's Further Maths content (making it slightly above average), it requires only direct substitution into well-known formulas with no conceptual challenges or problem-solving insight—purely mechanical calculation with clear procedures.
Spec5.08a Pearson correlation: calculate pmcc5.08d Hypothesis test: Pearson correlation5.09c Calculate regression line5.09e Use regression: for estimation in context

10 Samples of rock from a number of geological sites were analysed for the quantities of two types, \(X\) and \(Y\), of rare minerals. The results, in milligrams, for 10 randomly chosen samples, each of 10 kg , are summarised as follows. $$\Sigma x = 866 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 121276 \quad \Sigma y = 639 \quad \Sigma y ^ { 2 } = 55991 \quad \Sigma x y = 73527$$ Find the product moment correlation coefficient. Stating your hypotheses, test at the \(5 \%\) significance level whether there is non-zero correlation between quantities of the two rare minerals. Find the equation of the regression line of \(x\) on \(y\) in the form \(x = p y + q\), where \(p\) and \(q\) are constants to be determined.

Question 10:
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(r = (73527 - 866 \times 639/10) / \sqrt{\{(121276 - 866^2/10)(55991 - 639^2/10)\}}\)M1 A1 A.E.F.; A0 if only 3 s.f. clearly used
\(= 18189.6 / \sqrt{(46280.4 \times 15158.9)}\)A1
\(= 0.687\)*A1
4 marks
\(H_0\): \(\rho = 0\), \(H_1\): \(\rho \neq 0\)B1
\(r_{10, 5\%} = 0.632\)*B1
Reject \(H_0\) if \(r >\) tabular value
There is non-zero correlationA1 A.E.F., dep *A1, *B1
4 marks
\(p = 18189.6 / 15158.9 = 1.20\)B1 Gradient \(p\) in \(x - \bar{x} = p(y - \bar{y})\)
\(x = 86.6 + 1.20(y - 63.9)\)
\(= 1.20y + 9.92\)M1 A1
3 marks, Total: 11
Question 11A (i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(AB = \sqrt{(4a^2 + 12a^2)} = 4a\)M1 A1 A.G.
\(\angle CAB = \sin^{-1} 2a\sqrt{3}/4a\) or \(\cos^{-1} 2a/4a\) or \(\tan^{-1} 2a\sqrt{3}/2a\)
\(= 60°\) so \(\angle SAB = 30°\)M1 A1 A.G.
4 marks
Question 11A (ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(\frac{1}{2}N_A + \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}N_B + \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}F_A = W\)M1 A1 Resolve vertically and horizontally; \(F_A\) may be in either direction
and \(\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}N_A = \frac{1}{2}N_B + \frac{1}{2}F_A\)
\(N_A = \frac{1}{2}W\)A1 A.G.
3 marks
Question 11A (iii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(N_A = \frac{1}{2}W\)(M1 A1) Resolve in dirn. \(PQ\) to find \(N_A\); A.G.
\(N_B + F_A = \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W\)(A1) Second resolution e.g. in dirn. \(PS\)
\(\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W \times 3a/2 + \frac{1}{2}W \times (2\sqrt{3}-3)a = N_B \times 2a\)M1 A1 A1 Take moments e.g. about \(A\); A1 for each side of equation
\(N_B = \{(7\sqrt{3}-6)/8\}W\)M1 A1
\(F_A = \sqrt{3}N_A - N_B\) or \(\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W - N_B\)
\(= \{3(2-\sqrt{3})/8\}W\)M1 A1 A.E.F.
7 marks, Total: 14
Question 11B:
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(s_P^2 = (236.0 - 42.8^2/8)/7\)
\(= 351/350\) or \(1.003\) or \(1.001^2\)M1 allow biased: \(0.8775\) or \(0.9367^2\)
\(42.8/8 \pm t\sqrt{(s_P^2/8)}\)M1 allow \(z\) in place of \(t\)
\(t_{7,\, 0.975} = 2.365\)A1
\(5.35 \pm 0.84\) or \([4.51, 6.19]\)A1
4 marks
\((5.35 - k)/\sqrt{(s_P^2/8)} \geqslant [\text{or} >] \, t\)M1 Formulate inequality for \(k\)
\(t_{7,\, 0.9} = 1.415\)A1
\(5.35 - k \geqslant 0.50\), \(k_{\max} = 4.85\)A1 A0 if \(=\) or \(\leqslant\) was used for \(k\) above
3 marks
\(H_0\): \(\mu_P = \mu_Q\), \(H_1\): \(\mu_P > \mu_Q\)B1
Normal distributions for \([P\) and\(]\) \(Q\) and equal variancesB1 State assumption A.E.F.
\(s^2 = (7 \times 1.003 + 11 \times 1.962)/18\)
\(= 1.589\) or \(1.261^2\)M1 A1 Pooled common variance
\(t = (5.35 - 4.60)/(s\sqrt{(1/8 + 1/12)})\)
\(= 1.30\)M1 A1
\(t < t_{18,\, 0.9} = 1.33\) so \(Q\)'s mean is not less than \(P\)'sB1\(\checkmark\) A.E.F., \(\checkmark\) on \(t\)
7 marks, Total: 14
# Question 10:

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $r = (73527 - 866 \times 639/10) / \sqrt{\{(121276 - 866^2/10)(55991 - 639^2/10)\}}$ | M1 A1 | A.E.F.; A0 if only 3 s.f. clearly used |
| $= 18189.6 / \sqrt{(46280.4 \times 15158.9)}$ | A1 | |
| $= 0.687$ | *A1 | |
| | | 4 marks |
| $H_0$: $\rho = 0$, $H_1$: $\rho \neq 0$ | B1 | |
| $r_{10, 5\%} = 0.632$ | *B1 | |
| Reject $H_0$ if $|r| >$ tabular value | M1 | |
| There is non-zero correlation | A1 | A.E.F., dep *A1, *B1 |
| | | 4 marks |
| $p = 18189.6 / 15158.9 = 1.20$ | B1 | Gradient $p$ in $x - \bar{x} = p(y - \bar{y})$ |
| $x = 86.6 + 1.20(y - 63.9)$ | | |
| $= 1.20y + 9.92$ | M1 A1 | |
| | | 3 marks, Total: 11 |

---

# Question 11A (i):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $AB = \sqrt{(4a^2 + 12a^2)} = 4a$ | M1 A1 | A.G. |
| $\angle CAB = \sin^{-1} 2a\sqrt{3}/4a$ or $\cos^{-1} 2a/4a$ or $\tan^{-1} 2a\sqrt{3}/2a$ | | |
| $= 60°$ so $\angle SAB = 30°$ | M1 A1 | A.G. |
| | | 4 marks |

## Question 11A (ii):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\frac{1}{2}N_A + \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}N_B + \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}F_A = W$ | M1 A1 | Resolve vertically and horizontally; $F_A$ may be in either direction |
| and $\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}N_A = \frac{1}{2}N_B + \frac{1}{2}F_A$ | | |
| $N_A = \frac{1}{2}W$ | A1 | A.G. |
| | | 3 marks |

## Question 11A (iii):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $N_A = \frac{1}{2}W$ | (M1 A1) | Resolve in dirn. $PQ$ to find $N_A$; A.G. |
| $N_B + F_A = \frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W$ | (A1) | Second resolution e.g. in dirn. $PS$ |
| $\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W \times 3a/2 + \frac{1}{2}W \times (2\sqrt{3}-3)a = N_B \times 2a$ | M1 A1 A1 | Take moments e.g. about $A$; A1 for each side of equation |
| $N_B = \{(7\sqrt{3}-6)/8\}W$ | M1 A1 | |
| $F_A = \sqrt{3}N_A - N_B$ or $\frac{1}{2}\sqrt{3}W - N_B$ | | |
| $= \{3(2-\sqrt{3})/8\}W$ | M1 A1 | A.E.F. |
| | | 7 marks, Total: 14 |

---

# Question 11B:

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $s_P^2 = (236.0 - 42.8^2/8)/7$ | | |
| $= 351/350$ or $1.003$ or $1.001^2$ | M1 | allow biased: $0.8775$ or $0.9367^2$ |
| $42.8/8 \pm t\sqrt{(s_P^2/8)}$ | M1 | allow $z$ in place of $t$ |
| $t_{7,\, 0.975} = 2.365$ | A1 | |
| $5.35 \pm 0.84$ or $[4.51, 6.19]$ | A1 | |
| | | 4 marks |
| $(5.35 - k)/\sqrt{(s_P^2/8)} \geqslant [\text{or} >] \, t$ | M1 | Formulate inequality for $k$ |
| $t_{7,\, 0.9} = 1.415$ | A1 | |
| $5.35 - k \geqslant 0.50$, $k_{\max} = 4.85$ | A1 | A0 if $=$ or $\leqslant$ was used for $k$ above |
| | | 3 marks |
| $H_0$: $\mu_P = \mu_Q$, $H_1$: $\mu_P > \mu_Q$ | B1 | |
| Normal distributions for $[P$ and$]$ $Q$ and equal variances | B1 | State assumption A.E.F. |
| $s^2 = (7 \times 1.003 + 11 \times 1.962)/18$ | | |
| $= 1.589$ or $1.261^2$ | M1 A1 | Pooled common variance |
| $t = (5.35 - 4.60)/(s\sqrt{(1/8 + 1/12)})$ | | |
| $= 1.30$ | M1 A1 | |
| $t < t_{18,\, 0.9} = 1.33$ so $Q$'s mean is not less than $P$'s | B1$\checkmark$ | A.E.F., $\checkmark$ on $t$ |
| | | 7 marks, Total: 14 |
10 Samples of rock from a number of geological sites were analysed for the quantities of two types, $X$ and $Y$, of rare minerals. The results, in milligrams, for 10 randomly chosen samples, each of 10 kg , are summarised as follows.

$$\Sigma x = 866 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 121276 \quad \Sigma y = 639 \quad \Sigma y ^ { 2 } = 55991 \quad \Sigma x y = 73527$$

Find the product moment correlation coefficient.

Stating your hypotheses, test at the $5 \%$ significance level whether there is non-zero correlation between quantities of the two rare minerals.

Find the equation of the regression line of $x$ on $y$ in the form $x = p y + q$, where $p$ and $q$ are constants to be determined.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE FP2 2014 Q10 [11]}}