CAIE FP2 2013 June — Question 10 OR

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleFP2 (Further Pure Mathematics 2)
Year2013
SessionJune
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear regression
TypeFind unknown values from regression
DifficultyStandard +0.8 This question requires understanding that the regression line passes through (x̄, ȳ), setting up a system involving means and the constraint that the line has gradient 1, then solving a quadratic equation for p. Part (ii) requires calculating correlation coefficient and finding the perpendicular regression line. It combines multiple statistical concepts with algebraic manipulation beyond routine application.
Spec5.08a Pearson correlation: calculate pmcc5.09c Calculate regression line

The regression line of \(y\) on \(x\), obtained from a random sample of five pairs of values of \(x\) and \(y\), has equation $$y = x + k$$ where \(k\) is a constant. The following table shows the data.
\(x\)2334\(p\)
\(y\)45842
Find the two possible values of \(p\). For the smaller of these two values of \(p\), find
  1. the product moment correlation coefficient,
  2. the equation of the regression line of \(x\) on \(y\).

Question 10(a):
Finding KE after falling ka from PE:
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(mg \times ka - \frac{1}{2}(3mg/2)(ka-a)^2/a\)M1=[A1 Energy equation with EPE term
\(= mga(k - 3k^2/4 + 3k/2 - \frac{3}{4})\)
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(= \frac{1}{4}mga(10k - 3 - 3k^2)\) A.G.A1 3 marks total
Finding equation for k (or ka) at B using KE = 0:
AnswerMarks
\(3k^2 - 10k + 3 = 0\) (A.E.F.)M1
Finding both roots and selecting root > 1:
AnswerMarks Guidance
Roots 3 and \(\frac{1}{3}\), so \(k = 3\) A.G.M1 A1 3 marks total
Finding time \(t_1\) to fall \(a\) from \(A\) (under no tension):
AnswerMarks
\(a = \frac{1}{2}gt_1^2\), \(t_1 = \sqrt{(2a/g)}\)B1
Finding ext. \(e\) or distance fallen at equilibrium point O:
AnswerMarks
\(mg = 3mge/2a\), \(e = 2a/3\) or \(AO = 5a/3\)B1
State or find SHM equation at x below (or above) O:
AnswerMarks
\(m\frac{d^2x}{dt^2} = mg - 3mg(x+e)/2a\)M1
\(\frac{d^2x}{dt^2} = -3gx/2a\)A1
State or use correct amplitude \(x_0\) and \(\omega^2\):
AnswerMarks
\(x_0 = 4a/3\) and \(\omega^2 = 3g/2a\)B1
Finding time \(t_2\) to fall from \(a\) to \(3a\) below A:
AnswerMarks
\([-]\ e = x_0\cos\omega t_2\)M1
\(t_2 = \sqrt{(2a/3g)}\cos^{-1}(-\frac{1}{2})\) (A.E.F.)A1
Finding total time \(t_1 + t_2\):
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(\sqrt{(2a/g)} + (2\pi/3)\sqrt{(2a/3g)}\) A.G.A1 8 marks, 14 total
Question 10(b):
Finding 4 summations required:
\(\Sigma x = 12 + p\), \(\Sigma x^2 = 38 + p^2\)
\(\Sigma y = 23\), \([\Sigma y^2 = 125]\)
AnswerMarks
\(\Sigma xy = 63 + 2p\)M1
EITHER: Substitute \(b_1 = 1\) in formula for gradient:
\(63 + 2p - (12+p)\times 23/5\)
\(= 38 + p^2 - (12+p)^2/5\)
AnswerMarks Guidance
or \(39 - 13p = 4p^2 - 24p + 46\)M1 A1 A1 A1 for each side
OR: Substitute in normal equations:
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(5k + (12+p) = 23\) and \((12+p)k + (38+p^2) = 63 + 2p\)(M1 A1 A1) A1 for each equation
Obtain and solve quadratic for p (A.E.F):
\(0.8p^2 - 2.2p + 1.4 = 0\)
AnswerMarks Guidance
or \(4p^2 - 11p + 7 = 0\)M1 A1
\(p = 1,\ 1.75\) (or \(7/4\))A1, A1 8 marks total
Question 10(b)(i):
Finding equation for correlation coefficient with \(p = 1\):
EITHER:
AnswerMarks
\(r = (65 - 13\times 23/5)\ /\ \sqrt{\{(39 - 13^2/5)(125 - 23^2/5)\}}\)M1 A1
\(= 5.2\ /\ \sqrt{(5.2\times 19.2)}\) or \(1.04\ /\ \sqrt{(1.04\times 3.84)}\)
OR:
\(r^2 = 1\times(65 - 13\times 23/5)/(125 - 23^2/5)\)
or \(1\times(39 - 13^2/5)/(125 - 23^2/5)\)
AnswerMarks
\(= 5.2/19.2\) or \(1.04/3.84\)M1 A1
Evaluate r:
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(r = \sqrt{39/12}\) or \(0.52\)A1 3 marks total
Question 10(b)(ii):
EITHER: Recall or find gradient \(b_2\) of line:
AnswerMarks
\(b_2 = 5.2/19.2\) or \(r^2\ [= 0.2708]\)M1
Find regression line of x on y:
\(x - 13/5 = b_2(y - 23/5)\)
\(x = (13/48)y + 65/48\)
AnswerMarks
or \(0.271y + 1.35\)M1, A1
OR: Use normal equations for \(x = a_2 + b_2 y\):
AnswerMarks
\(5a_2 + 23b_2 = 13\) and \(23a_2 + 125b_2 = 65\)(M1), (M1)
Solve for \(a_2\), \(b_2\):
\(b_2 = 13/48\) or \(0.271\)
AnswerMarks Guidance
And \(a_2 = 65/48\) or \(1.35\)(A1) 3 marks, 14 total
# Question 10(a):

**Finding KE after falling ka from PE:**

$mg \times ka - \frac{1}{2}(3mg/2)(ka-a)^2/a$ | M1=[A1 | Energy equation with EPE term

$= mga(k - 3k^2/4 + 3k/2 - \frac{3}{4})$

$= \frac{1}{4}mga(10k - 3 - 3k^2)$ **A.G.** | A1 | 3 marks total

---

**Finding equation for k (or ka) at B using KE = 0:**

$3k^2 - 10k + 3 = 0$ (A.E.F.) | M1 |

---

**Finding both roots and selecting root > 1:**

Roots 3 and $\frac{1}{3}$, so $k = 3$ **A.G.** | M1 A1 | 3 marks total

---

**Finding time $t_1$ to fall $a$ from $A$ (under no tension):**

$a = \frac{1}{2}gt_1^2$, $t_1 = \sqrt{(2a/g)}$ | B1 |

---

**Finding ext. $e$ or distance fallen at equilibrium point O:**

$mg = 3mge/2a$, $e = 2a/3$ or $AO = 5a/3$ | B1 |

---

**State or find SHM equation at x below (or above) O:**

$m\frac{d^2x}{dt^2} = mg - 3mg(x+e)/2a$ | M1 |

$\frac{d^2x}{dt^2} = -3gx/2a$ | A1 |

---

**State or use correct amplitude $x_0$ and $\omega^2$:**

$x_0 = 4a/3$ and $\omega^2 = 3g/2a$ | B1 |

---

**Finding time $t_2$ to fall from $a$ to $3a$ below A:**

$[-]\ e = x_0\cos\omega t_2$ | M1 |

$t_2 = \sqrt{(2a/3g)}\cos^{-1}(-\frac{1}{2})$ (A.E.F.) | A1 |

---

**Finding total time $t_1 + t_2$:**

$\sqrt{(2a/g)} + (2\pi/3)\sqrt{(2a/3g)}$ **A.G.** | A1 | 8 marks, 14 total

---

# Question 10(b):

**Finding 4 summations required:**

$\Sigma x = 12 + p$, $\Sigma x^2 = 38 + p^2$

$\Sigma y = 23$, $[\Sigma y^2 = 125]$

$\Sigma xy = 63 + 2p$ | M1 |

---

**EITHER: Substitute $b_1 = 1$ in formula for gradient:**

$63 + 2p - (12+p)\times 23/5$

$= 38 + p^2 - (12+p)^2/5$

or $39 - 13p = 4p^2 - 24p + 46$ | M1 A1 A1 | A1 for each side

---

**OR: Substitute in normal equations:**

$5k + (12+p) = 23$ and $(12+p)k + (38+p^2) = 63 + 2p$ | (M1 A1 A1) | A1 for each equation

---

**Obtain and solve quadratic for p (A.E.F):**

$0.8p^2 - 2.2p + 1.4 = 0$

or $4p^2 - 11p + 7 = 0$ | M1 A1 |

$p = 1,\ 1.75$ (or $7/4$) | A1, A1 | 8 marks total

---

# Question 10(b)(i):

**Finding equation for correlation coefficient with $p = 1$:**

**EITHER:**

$r = (65 - 13\times 23/5)\ /\ \sqrt{\{(39 - 13^2/5)(125 - 23^2/5)\}}$ | M1 A1 |

$= 5.2\ /\ \sqrt{(5.2\times 19.2)}$ or $1.04\ /\ \sqrt{(1.04\times 3.84)}$

**OR:**

$r^2 = 1\times(65 - 13\times 23/5)/(125 - 23^2/5)$

or $1\times(39 - 13^2/5)/(125 - 23^2/5)$

$= 5.2/19.2$ or $1.04/3.84$ | M1 A1 |

**Evaluate r:**

$r = \sqrt{39/12}$ or $0.52$ | A1 | 3 marks total

---

# Question 10(b)(ii):

**EITHER: Recall or find gradient $b_2$ of line:**

$b_2 = 5.2/19.2$ or $r^2\ [= 0.2708]$ | M1 |

**Find regression line of x on y:**

$x - 13/5 = b_2(y - 23/5)$

$x = (13/48)y + 65/48$

or $0.271y + 1.35$ | M1, A1 |

---

**OR: Use normal equations for $x = a_2 + b_2 y$:**

$5a_2 + 23b_2 = 13$ and $23a_2 + 125b_2 = 65$ | (M1), (M1) |

**Solve for $a_2$, $b_2$:**

$b_2 = 13/48$ or $0.271$

And $a_2 = 65/48$ or $1.35$ | (A1) | 3 marks, 14 total
The regression line of $y$ on $x$, obtained from a random sample of five pairs of values of $x$ and $y$, has equation

$$y = x + k$$

where $k$ is a constant. The following table shows the data.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
$x$ & 2 & 3 & 3 & 4 & $p$ \\
\hline
$y$ & 4 & 5 & 8 & 4 & 2 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

Find the two possible values of $p$.

For the smaller of these two values of $p$, find\\
(i) the product moment correlation coefficient,\\
(ii) the equation of the regression line of $x$ on $y$.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE FP2 2013 Q10 OR}}