OCR S3 2006 January — Question 2 9 marks

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS3 (Statistics 3)
Year2006
SessionJanuary
Marks9
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicT-tests (unknown variance)
TypeSingle sample t-test
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward one-sample t-test with clear hypotheses (H₀: μ ≥ 2000 vs H₁: μ < 2000), small sample size requiring justification of the t-test, and standard calculations of sample mean, standard deviation, and test statistic. The 10% significance level and all necessary information are provided, making this a routine application of the t-test procedure with no conceptual challenges beyond standard S3 material.
Spec5.05c Hypothesis test: normal distribution for population mean

2 A particular type of engine used in rockets is designed to have a mean lifetime of at least 2000 hours. A check of four randomly chosen engines yielded the following lifetimes in hours. $$\begin{array} { l l l l } 1896.4 & 2131.5 & 1903.3 & 1901.6 \end{array}$$ A significance test of whether engines meet the design is carried out. It may be assumed that lifetimes have a normal distribution.
  1. Give a reason why a \(t\)-test should be used.
  2. Carry out the test at the \(10 \%\) significance level.

AnswerMarks Guidance
(i) \(\sigma^2\) unknownB1 1
(ii) \(H_0: \mu=2000\) (or \(\geq\)), \(H_1:\mu<2000\)B1
\(\bar{x}=1958.2, s=115.57\)B1B1 or 1958,115.6
EITHER: Test statistic \(=\frac{1958.2-2000}{115.57/2}\)M1
\(=-0.7234\)A1 art \(-0.723\)
Critical value \(-1.638\)B1
Test statistic not in CR, accept \(H_0\)M1 Or equivalent
Accept that specification is being metA1 Conclusion in context
OR: Critical region: \(\bar{x}-2000 < -t\frac{115.57/2}\)M1
\(t=-1.638\)B1
\(\bar{x} < 1905.2\)A1 art 1900 or 1910
As aboveM1A1 8
(i) $\sigma^2$ unknown | B1 | 1

(ii) $H_0: \mu=2000$ (or $\geq$), $H_1:\mu<2000$ | B1 |
$\bar{x}=1958.2, s=115.57$ | B1B1 | or 1958,115.6
EITHER: Test statistic $=\frac{1958.2-2000}{115.57/2}$ | M1 |
$=-0.7234$ | A1 | art $-0.723$
Critical value $-1.638$ | B1 |
Test statistic not in CR, accept $H_0$ | M1 | Or equivalent
Accept that specification is being met | A1 | Conclusion in context
OR: Critical region: $\bar{x}-2000 < -t\frac{115.57/2}$ | M1 |
$t=-1.638$ | B1 |
$\bar{x} < 1905.2$ | A1 | art 1900 or 1910
As above | M1A1 | 8 | Conclusion in context

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2 A particular type of engine used in rockets is designed to have a mean lifetime of at least 2000 hours. A check of four randomly chosen engines yielded the following lifetimes in hours.

$$\begin{array} { l l l l } 
1896.4 & 2131.5 & 1903.3 & 1901.6
\end{array}$$

A significance test of whether engines meet the design is carried out. It may be assumed that lifetimes have a normal distribution.\\
(i) Give a reason why a $t$-test should be used.\\
(ii) Carry out the test at the $10 \%$ significance level.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR S3 2006 Q2 [9]}}