OCR S2 Specimen — Question 6

Exam BoardOCR
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
SessionSpecimen
TopicApproximating the Binomial to the Poisson distribution
TypeBinomial of Poisson approximations

6 On average a motorway police force records one car that has run out of petrol every two days.
  1. (a) Using a Poisson distribution, calculate the probability that, in one randomly chosen day, the police force records exactly two cars that have run out of petrol.
    (b) Using a Poisson distribution and a suitable approximation to the binomial distribution, calculate the probability that, in one year of 365 days, there are fewer than 205 days on which the police force records no cars that have run out of petrol.
  2. State an assumption needed for the Poisson distribution to be appropriate in part (i), and explain why this assumption is unlikely to be valid.