3 One train leaves a station each hour. The train is either on time or late. If the train is on time, the probability that the next train is on time is 0.95 . If the train is late, the probability that the next train is on time is 0.6 . On a particular day, the 0900 train is on time.
- Illustrate the possible outcomes for the 1000,1100 and 1200 trains on a probability tree diagram.
- Find the probability that
(A) all three of these trains are on time,
(B) just one of these three trains is on time,
(C) the 1200 train is on time. - Given that the 1200 train is on time, find the probability that the 1000 train is also on time.