OCR MEI S1 — Question 3 18 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Marks18
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicMeasures of Location and Spread
TypeCalculate statistics from raw data
DifficultyModerate -0.8 This is a straightforward multi-part statistics question requiring basic calculations: computing a mean from raw data, drawing a histogram from grouped data, calculating mean and standard deviation from a frequency table, and applying a linear transformation. All techniques are standard S1 content with no problem-solving insight required—purely procedural application of formulas.
Spec2.02b Histogram: area represents frequency2.02f Measures of average and spread2.02g Calculate mean and standard deviation

3 At East Cornwall College, the mean GCSE score of each student is calculated. This is done by allocating a number of points to each GCSE grade in the following way.
GradeA*ABCDEFGU
Points876543210
  1. Calculate the mean GCSE score, \(X\), of a student who has the following GCSE grades: $$\mathrm { A } ^ { * } , \mathrm {~A} ^ { * } , \mathrm {~A} , \mathrm {~A} , \mathrm {~A} , \mathrm {~B} , \mathrm {~B} , \mathrm {~B} , \mathrm {~B} , \mathrm { C } , \mathrm { D } .$$ 60 students study AS Mathematics at the college. The mean GCSE scores of these students are summarised in the table below.
    Mean GCSE scoreNumber of students
    \(4.5 \leqslant X < 5.5\)8
    \(5.5 \leqslant X < 6.0\)14
    \(6.0 \leqslant X < 6.5\)19
    \(6.5 \leqslant X < 7.0\)13
    \(7.0 \leqslant X \leqslant 8.0\)6
  2. Draw a histogram to illustrate this information.
  3. Calculate estimates of the sample mean and the sample standard deviation. The scoring system for AS grades is shown in the table below.
    AS GradeABCDEU
    Score60504030200
    The Mathematics department at the college predicts each student's AS score, \(Y\), using the formula \(Y = 13 X - 46\), where \(X\) is the student's average GCSE score.
  4. What AS grade would the department predict for a student with an average GCSE score of 7.4 ?
  5. What do you think the prediction should be for a student with an average GCSE score of 5.5? Give a reason for your answer.
  6. Using your answers to part (iii), estimate the sample mean and sample standard deviation of the predicted AS scores of the 60 students in the department.

Question 3:
(i)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Mean score \(= \frac{2 \times 8 + 3 \times 7 + 4 \times 6 + 5 + 4}{11} = 6.36\)M1 for \(\sum fx / 11\)
\(= 6.36\)A1 CAO
(ii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Linear sensible scalesG1
Frequency densities of 8, 28, 38, 26, 6 or \(4k, 14k, 19k, 13k, 3k\) for sensible values of \(k\)G1 either on script or on graph
Appropriate label for vertical scale e.g. 'Frequency density', 'frequency per \(\frac{1}{2}\) unit', 'students per mean GCSE score'G1 dep on reasonable attempt at fd; allow Key
(iii)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Correct mid points: 5, 5.75, 6.25, 6.75, 7.5B1
\(\sum fx = 372\), \(\sum fx^2 = 2334.875\)B1FT
Sample mean \(= 372/60 = 6.2\)B1 CAO
\(S_{xx} = 2334.875 - \frac{372^2}{60} = 28.475\)M1 for their \(S_{xx}\)
Sample s.d. \(= \sqrt{\frac{28.475}{59}} = 0.695\)A1 CAO
(iv)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Prediction of score \(= 13 \times 7.4 - 46 = 50.2\)M1 for \(13 \times 7.4 - 46\)
So predicted AS grade would be BA1 dep on 50.2 (or 50) seen
(v)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Prediction of score \(= 13 \times 5.5 - 46 = 25.5\)M1 for \(13 \times 5.5 - 46\)
So predicted grade would be D/E (allow D or E)A1 dep on 25.5 (or 26 or 25) seen
Because score roughly halfway from 20 to 30, OR (for D) closer to D than E, OR (for E) past E but not up to D boundaryE1 explanation of conversion — logical statement/argument supporting choice
(vi)
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Mean \(= 13 \times 6.2 - 46 = 34.6\)B1 FT their 6.2
Standard deviation \(= 13 \times 0.695 = 9.035\)M1 for \(13 \times\) their 0.695
A1 FT
## Question 3:

**(i)**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Mean score $= \frac{2 \times 8 + 3 \times 7 + 4 \times 6 + 5 + 4}{11} = 6.36$ | M1 | for $\sum fx / 11$ |
| $= 6.36$ | A1 CAO | |

**(ii)**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Linear sensible scales | G1 | |
| Frequency densities of 8, 28, 38, 26, 6 or $4k, 14k, 19k, 13k, 3k$ for sensible values of $k$ | G1 | either on script or on graph |
| Appropriate label for vertical scale e.g. 'Frequency density', 'frequency per $\frac{1}{2}$ unit', 'students per mean GCSE score' | G1 | dep on reasonable attempt at fd; allow Key |

**(iii)**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Correct mid points: 5, 5.75, 6.25, 6.75, 7.5 | B1 | |
| $\sum fx = 372$, $\sum fx^2 = 2334.875$ | B1FT | |
| Sample mean $= 372/60 = 6.2$ | B1 CAO | |
| $S_{xx} = 2334.875 - \frac{372^2}{60} = 28.475$ | M1 | for their $S_{xx}$ |
| Sample s.d. $= \sqrt{\frac{28.475}{59}} = 0.695$ | A1 CAO | |

**(iv)**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Prediction of score $= 13 \times 7.4 - 46 = 50.2$ | M1 | for $13 \times 7.4 - 46$ |
| So predicted AS grade would be B | A1 | dep on 50.2 (or 50) seen |

**(v)**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Prediction of score $= 13 \times 5.5 - 46 = 25.5$ | M1 | for $13 \times 5.5 - 46$ |
| So predicted grade would be D/E (allow D or E) | A1 | dep on 25.5 (or 26 or 25) seen |
| Because score roughly halfway from 20 to 30, OR (for D) closer to D than E, OR (for E) past E but not up to D boundary | E1 | explanation of conversion — logical statement/argument supporting choice |

**(vi)**

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Mean $= 13 \times 6.2 - 46 = 34.6$ | B1 | FT their 6.2 |
| Standard deviation $= 13 \times 0.695 = 9.035$ | M1 | for $13 \times$ their 0.695 |
| | A1 FT | |

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3 At East Cornwall College, the mean GCSE score of each student is calculated. This is done by allocating a number of points to each GCSE grade in the following way.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
Grade & A* & A & B & C & D & E & F & G & U \\
\hline
Points & 8 & 7 & 6 & 5 & 4 & 3 & 2 & 1 & 0 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

(i) Calculate the mean GCSE score, $X$, of a student who has the following GCSE grades:

$$\mathrm { A } ^ { * } , \mathrm {~A} ^ { * } , \mathrm {~A} , \mathrm {~A} , \mathrm {~A} , \mathrm {~B} , \mathrm {~B} , \mathrm {~B} , \mathrm {~B} , \mathrm { C } , \mathrm { D } .$$

60 students study AS Mathematics at the college. The mean GCSE scores of these students are summarised in the table below.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{|l|l|}
\hline
Mean GCSE score & Number of students \\
\hline
$4.5 \leqslant X < 5.5$ & 8 \\
\hline
$5.5 \leqslant X < 6.0$ & 14 \\
\hline
$6.0 \leqslant X < 6.5$ & 19 \\
\hline
$6.5 \leqslant X < 7.0$ & 13 \\
\hline
$7.0 \leqslant X \leqslant 8.0$ & 6 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

(ii) Draw a histogram to illustrate this information.\\
(iii) Calculate estimates of the sample mean and the sample standard deviation.

The scoring system for AS grades is shown in the table below.

\begin{center}
\begin{tabular}{ | c | c | c | c | c | c | c | }
\hline
AS Grade & A & B & C & D & E & U \\
\hline
Score & 60 & 50 & 40 & 30 & 20 & 0 \\
\hline
\end{tabular}
\end{center}

The Mathematics department at the college predicts each student's AS score, $Y$, using the formula $Y = 13 X - 46$, where $X$ is the student's average GCSE score.\\
(iv) What AS grade would the department predict for a student with an average GCSE score of 7.4 ?\\
(v) What do you think the prediction should be for a student with an average GCSE score of 5.5? Give a reason for your answer.\\
(vi) Using your answers to part (iii), estimate the sample mean and sample standard deviation of the predicted AS scores of the 60 students in the department.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI S1  Q3 [18]}}