OCR MEI S1 2005 January — Question 3 3 marks

Exam BoardOCR MEI
ModuleS1 (Statistics 1)
Year2005
SessionJanuary
Marks3
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicPrinciple of Inclusion/Exclusion
TypeFinding Unknown Probabilities in Venn Diagrams
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This is a straightforward application of the inclusion-exclusion principle with one algebraic constraint. Students must set up equations using P(A∪B) = 1 - 0.1 = 0.9, P(A∩B) = 0.3, and P(A) = 2P(B), then solve a simple linear system. It requires understanding of Venn diagram regions and basic probability laws, but involves only routine algebraic manipulation with no conceptual surprises—slightly easier than average for A-level.
Spec2.03a Mutually exclusive and independent events2.03c Conditional probability: using diagrams/tables

3 The Venn diagram illustrates the occurrence of two events \(A\) and \(B\). \includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{b35b2b3b-0d26-4a35-b4d2-110bf270d5dc-2_513_826_1713_658} You are given that \(\mathrm { P } ( A \cap B ) = 0.3\) and that the probability that neither \(A\) nor \(B\) occurs is 0.1 . You are also given that \(\mathrm { P } ( A ) = 2 \mathrm { P } ( B )\). Find \(\mathrm { P } ( B )\).

Question 3:
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMark Guidance
Let \(P(B) = x\); using \(P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)\)M1 Correct set of equations
\(0.9 = 2x + x - 0.3\), so \(x = 0.4\)M1 Correct solution
\(P(B) = 0.4\)A1
## Question 3:

| Answer | Mark | Guidance |
|--------|------|----------|
| Let $P(B) = x$; using $P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)$ | M1 | Correct set of equations |
| $0.9 = 2x + x - 0.3$, so $x = 0.4$ | M1 | Correct solution |
| $P(B) = 0.4$ | A1 | |

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3 The Venn diagram illustrates the occurrence of two events $A$ and $B$.\\
\includegraphics[max width=\textwidth, alt={}, center]{b35b2b3b-0d26-4a35-b4d2-110bf270d5dc-2_513_826_1713_658}

You are given that $\mathrm { P } ( A \cap B ) = 0.3$ and that the probability that neither $A$ nor $B$ occurs is 0.1 . You are also given that $\mathrm { P } ( A ) = 2 \mathrm { P } ( B )$.

Find $\mathrm { P } ( B )$.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{OCR MEI S1 2005 Q3 [3]}}