CAIE S2 2016 November — Question 7

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2016
SessionNovember
TopicHypothesis test of a normal distribution

7 In the past the time, in minutes, taken for a particular rail journey has been found to have mean 20.5 and standard deviation 1.2. Some new railway signals are installed. In order to test whether the mean time has decreased, a random sample of 100 times for this journey are noted. The sample mean is found to be 20.3 minutes. You should assume that the standard deviation is unchanged.
  1. Carry out a significance test, at the \(4 \%\) level, of whether the population mean time has decreased. Later another significance test of the same hypotheses, using another random sample of size 100 , is carried out at the \(4 \%\) level.
  2. Given that the population mean is now 20.1, find the probability of a Type II error.
  3. State what is meant by a Type II error in this context.