CAIE S2 2015 November — Question 3 6 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2015
SessionNovember
Marks6
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicMeasures of Location and Spread
TypeConfidence intervals for population mean
DifficultyModerate -0.3 This is a straightforward application of standard formulas for unbiased estimates and confidence intervals. Part (i) requires direct substitution into memorized formulas for sample mean and unbiased variance. Part (ii) is a routine confidence interval calculation using the t-distribution. The question involves no problem-solving or conceptual challenges—just careful arithmetic and formula recall, making it slightly easier than average.
Spec5.05b Unbiased estimates: of population mean and variance5.05c Hypothesis test: normal distribution for population mean

3 Jagdeesh measured the lengths, \(x\) minutes, of 60 randomly chosen lectures. His results are summarised below. $$n = 60 \quad \Sigma x = 3420 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 195200$$
  1. Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance.
  2. Calculate a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean.

Question 3:
Part (i):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(\frac{3420}{60} (= 57)\)B1
\(\frac{60}{59}\left(\frac{195200}{60} - \text{`}57\text{'}^2\right) = 4.40678\)M1 Oe
\(= 4.41\) (3 sf)A1 [3] As final answer
Part (ii):
AnswerMarks Guidance
Answer/WorkingMarks Guidance
\(\text{`}57\text{'} \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\text{`}4.40678\text{'}}{60}}\)M1
\(z = 2.326\)B1 \(2.326 - 2.329\) (accept 2.33 if no better seen)
\([56.4 \text{ to } 57.6]\) (3 sf)A1 [3] NB: use of biased variance in (ii) can score in full
## Question 3:

### Part (i):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\frac{3420}{60} (= 57)$ | B1 | |
| $\frac{60}{59}\left(\frac{195200}{60} - \text{`}57\text{'}^2\right) = 4.40678$ | M1 | Oe |
| $= 4.41$ (3 sf) | A1 [3] | As final answer |

### Part (ii):

| Answer/Working | Marks | Guidance |
|---|---|---|
| $\text{`}57\text{'} \pm z\sqrt{\frac{\text{`}4.40678\text{'}}{60}}$ | M1 | |
| $z = 2.326$ | B1 | $2.326 - 2.329$ (accept 2.33 if no better seen) |
| $[56.4 \text{ to } 57.6]$ (3 sf) | A1 [3] | NB: use of biased variance in (ii) can score in full |

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3 Jagdeesh measured the lengths, $x$ minutes, of 60 randomly chosen lectures. His results are summarised below.

$$n = 60 \quad \Sigma x = 3420 \quad \Sigma x ^ { 2 } = 195200$$

(i) Calculate unbiased estimates of the population mean and variance.\\
(ii) Calculate a $98 \%$ confidence interval for the population mean.

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2015 Q3 [6]}}