CAIE S2 2024 March — Question 1 4 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2024
SessionMarch
Marks4
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TopicMeasures of Location and Spread
TypeStandard unbiased estimates calculation
DifficultyEasy -1.2 This is a straightforward application of standard formulas for unbiased estimates of mean and variance from summary statistics. Part (a) requires direct substitution into memorized formulas (mean = Σx/n, variance = [Σx² - (Σx)²/n]/(n-1)), and part (b) tests basic knowledge that the sample should be random/representative. No problem-solving or conceptual insight required beyond formula recall.
Spec5.05b Unbiased estimates: of population mean and variance

1 The lengths, \(X \mathrm {~cm}\), of a sample of 100 insects of a certain type were summarised as follows. $$n = 100 \quad \sum x = 36.8 \quad \sum x ^ { 2 } = 17.34$$
  1. Calculate unbiased estimates for the population mean and variance of \(X\).
  2. State a necessary condition for the estimates found in part (a) to be reliable.

Question 1:
Part (a):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
\(\text{est}(\mu) = 0.368 = \frac{46}{125}\)B1 OE
\(\text{est}(\sigma^2) = \frac{100}{99}\left(\frac{17.34}{100} - \text{their } 0.368^2\right)\) or \(\frac{1}{99}\left(17.34 - \frac{36.8^2}{100}\right)\)M1 For use of a correct formula (ft *their* \(\mu\))
\(= 0.0384\) (3 sf)A1
3
Part (b):
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
Must be a random sampleB1 E.g. Values must have been randomly selected; Sample should be representative of the population; All values should have equal chance of being selected; It should be an unbiased sample; Independent sample/insect lengths are independent of one another. ISW
1
## Question 1:

**Part (a):**

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| $\text{est}(\mu) = 0.368 = \frac{46}{125}$ | **B1** | OE |
| $\text{est}(\sigma^2) = \frac{100}{99}\left(\frac{17.34}{100} - \text{their } 0.368^2\right)$ or $\frac{1}{99}\left(17.34 - \frac{36.8^2}{100}\right)$ | **M1** | For use of a correct formula (ft *their* $\mu$) |
| $= 0.0384$ (3 sf) | **A1** | |
| | **3** | |

**Part (b):**

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| Must be a random sample | **B1** | E.g. Values must have been randomly selected; Sample should be representative of the population; All values should have equal chance of being selected; It should be an unbiased sample; Independent sample/insect lengths are independent of one another. ISW |
| | **1** | |

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1 The lengths, $X \mathrm {~cm}$, of a sample of 100 insects of a certain type were summarised as follows.

$$n = 100 \quad \sum x = 36.8 \quad \sum x ^ { 2 } = 17.34$$
\begin{enumerate}[label=(\alph*)]
\item Calculate unbiased estimates for the population mean and variance of $X$.
\item State a necessary condition for the estimates found in part (a) to be reliable.
\end{enumerate}

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2024 Q1 [4]}}