CAIE S2 2019 June — Question 4 5 marks

Exam BoardCAIE
ModuleS2 (Statistics 2)
Year2019
SessionJune
Marks5
PaperDownload PDF ↗
Mark schemeDownload PDF ↗
TopicLinear combinations of normal random variables
TypeFixed container with random contents
DifficultyStandard +0.3 This is a straightforward application of linear combinations of normal distributions with fixed coefficients (10 large + 20 small + box). Students need to find the mean (10×60 + 20×30 + 8 = 1208) and variance (10×1.2 + 20×0.7 = 26), then standardize and use tables. It's slightly above average difficulty due to the multi-component setup, but requires only direct application of standard formulas without problem-solving insight.
Spec5.04b Linear combinations: of normal distributions

4 A factory supplies boxes of children's bricks. Each box contains 10 randomly chosen large bricks and 20 randomly chosen small bricks. The masses, in grams, of large and small bricks have the distributions \(\mathrm { N } ( 60,1.2 )\) and \(\mathrm { N } ( 30,0.7 )\) respectively. The mass of an empty box is 8 g . Find the probability that the total weight of a box and its contents is less than 1200 g .

Question 4:
AnswerMarks Guidance
AnswerMarks Guidance
Total \(\sim N(1208, \ldots)\)B1
\(\text{Var(total)} = 10 \times 1.2 + 20 \times 0.7 \ (+ 0) = 26\)B1 May be implied by next line
\(\pm \frac{1200 - \text{"1208"}}{\sqrt{\text{"26"}}} \ (= -1.569)\)M1 FT their mean and var of total mass, e.g. allow 1200 and 11.24 (from \(10 \times 1.2^2 + 20 \times 0.7^2\))
\(1 - \Phi(\text{"1.569"})\)M1 Correct area consistent with their working
\(= 0.0583\) (3 sf)A1
Total: 5
## Question 4:

| Answer | Marks | Guidance |
|--------|-------|----------|
| Total $\sim N(1208, \ldots)$ | B1 | |
| $\text{Var(total)} = 10 \times 1.2 + 20 \times 0.7 \ (+ 0) = 26$ | B1 | May be implied by next line |
| $\pm \frac{1200 - \text{"1208"}}{\sqrt{\text{"26"}}} \ (= -1.569)$ | M1 | **FT** their mean and var of total mass, e.g. allow 1200 and 11.24 (from $10 \times 1.2^2 + 20 \times 0.7^2$) |
| $1 - \Phi(\text{"1.569"})$ | M1 | Correct area consistent with their working |
| $= 0.0583$ (3 sf) | A1 | |
| **Total: 5** | | |

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4 A factory supplies boxes of children's bricks. Each box contains 10 randomly chosen large bricks and 20 randomly chosen small bricks. The masses, in grams, of large and small bricks have the distributions $\mathrm { N } ( 60,1.2 )$ and $\mathrm { N } ( 30,0.7 )$ respectively. The mass of an empty box is 8 g . Find the probability that the total weight of a box and its contents is less than 1200 g .\\

\hfill \mbox{\textit{CAIE S2 2019 Q4 [5]}}